2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
PHI
@ 6:45p
WSH
Nationals Park · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Nationals Park

First pitch 6:45p · roof open
Park 1.00× Wind 7 mph in 87°F open
-4
8 mph · cross
75°F
6:45p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
8 mph · cross
75°F
7:45p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
8 mph · cross
75°F
8:45p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
8 mph · cross
75°F
9:45p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
8 mph · cross
75°F
10:45p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.10

87°F, wind 7 mph SW (in) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Cade Cavalli
Cade Cavalli RHP
0.66 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.35 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 75 🟡 B +850 · 3 0.344 93.2 12.8% 46.3% vs RHP 404 27.8% 27.3% 32.8% 24
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 61 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 17 0.246 90.4 9.7% 40.0% vs RHP 401 20.0% 16.7% 22.0% 34
3 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 45 0.184 90.1 8.1% 23.7% vs RHP 392 12.5% 25.0% 20.1% 33
4 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 73 0.161 89.3 7.4% 11.5% vs RHP 393 10.0% 8.3% 8.9% 36
5 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 94 0.134 89.7 5.7% 17.2% vs RHP 385 11.0% 9.1% 7.8% 39
6 Trea Turner Trea Turner 31 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 116 0.102 88.8 5.9% 13.6% vs RHP 394 9.5% 0.0% 7.3% 32
7 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 25 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 128 0.102 86.9 3.0% 7.1% vs RHP 382 3.7% 0.0% 6.8% 20
Cristopher Sánchez
Cristopher Sánchez LHP
0.58 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.08 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 James Wood James Wood 67 🔵 C+ · · 8 0.248 95.8 14.5% 29.4% vs LHP 408 25.8% 16.7% 19.8% 33
2 Curtis Mead Curtis Mead 60 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 21 0.229 88.6 9.8% 20.0% vs LHP 399 22.0% 30.0% 25.0% 26
3 Dylan Crews Dylan Crews 53 🟠 C · · 38 0.167 91.3 9.4% 22.2% vs LHP 415 22.7% 30.0% 18.2% 37
4 Keibert Ruiz Keibert Ruiz 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 60 0.193 89.3 7.0% 20.0% vs LHP 378 14.8% 11.1% 12.5% 25
5 Daylen Lile Daylen Lile 38 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 91 0.155 87.5 7.9% 0.0% vs LHP 403 8.3% 0.0% 6.7% 34
6 Jacob Young Jacob Young 37 ⚪ D · · 95 0.145 89.2 7.4% 5.6% vs LHP 391 9.3% 0.0% 7.6% 21
7 Jorbit Vivas Jorbit Vivas 32 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 114 0.098 83.8 6.0% 5.4% 387 4.9% 25.0% 10.7% 14
8 Andres Chaparro Andres Chaparro 30 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 118 0.093 90.2 8.4% 0.0% vs LHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 5
9 Nasim Nunez Nasim Nunez 11 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 145 0.043 84.6 · 0.0% vs LHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 25
🏟️
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