Cade Cavalli
RHP
WSH
13
HRs Allowed
10.0%
HR Rate (Pool)
7.4%
Overall HR/FB
3.17
FIP
4.15
xFIP
-0.99
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.87
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
7.4%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
10th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
80.9%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.17
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
21th pctile
4.15
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.99
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
7th pctile
10.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
130
Pool Matchups
13
HRs Allowed (Pool)
12
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
10.0%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 92.7mph | · | · | · | Down -10.0pp |
| Last 15 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 13.6% | 1.0 | 96.3mph | 103.7mph | 28.0° | 390ft | Up +3.6pp |
| Last 30 | 40 | 5 | 5 | 12.5% | 1.0 | 97.3mph | 103.8mph | 28.8° | 388ft | Up +2.5pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
98.9
Avg Max EV
111.5
Max EV Allowed
89
Hard-Hit Proxy · 80.9%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
103.7
Avg HR EV
29.0°
Avg HR Launch
389
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Yandy Díaz | 109.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Jonathan Aranda | 105.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Junior Caminero | 104.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Richie Palacios | 101.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Luke Raley | 104.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Dominic Canzone | 103.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Colt Emerson | 98.6mph | 98.6mph | 36° | 386ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-07 | Gabriel Moreno | 106.4mph | 106.4mph | 24° | 368ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Colt Emerson | #17 | 71 | Nationals Park | 98.6mph | 36.0° | 386ft |
| 2026-06-07 | Corbin Carroll | #76 | 50 | Chase Field | 106.0mph | 24.0° | 417ft |
| 2026-06-07 | Gabriel Moreno | #132 | 40 | Chase Field | 106.4mph | 24.0° | 368ft |
| 2026-06-01 | Liam Hicks | #92 | 39 | Nationals Park | 100.9mph | 33.0° | 379ft |
| 2026-06-01 | Kyle Stowers | #94 | 38 | Nationals Park | 107.0mph | 27.0° | 391ft |
| 2026-05-16 | Samuel Basallo | #88 | 50 | Nationals Park | 109.2mph | 22.0° | 376.0ft |
| 2026-05-16 | Tyler O'Neill | #249 | 15 | Nationals Park | 110.9mph | 21.0° | 402.0ft |
| 2026-05-05 | Byron Buxton | #44 | 48 | Nationals Park | 106.4mph | 41.0° | 387.0ft |
| 2026-04-23 | Ozzie Albies | #77 | 39 | Nationals Park | 104.5mph | 35.0° | 396.0ft |
| 2026-04-18 | Heliot Ramos | #165 | 37 | Nationals Park | 99.9mph | 27.0° | 378.0ft |
| 2026-04-07 | Brendan Donovan | #100 | 29 | Nationals Park | 94.0mph | 34.0° | 350.0ft |
| 2026-04-01 | Bryce Harper | #7 | 46 | Citizens Bank Park | 106.0mph | 25.0° | 425.0ft |
| 2026-04-01 | J.T. Realmuto | #70 | 33 | Citizens Bank Park | 98.8mph | 28.0° | 401.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 487 | 35.0% | +1.1 | 84.3 | 27.6° | 3 |
| Knuckle Curve | 402 | 28.9% | -0.1 | 81.1 | -0.9° | 2 |
| Sinker | 221 | 15.9% | -0.2 | 84.2 | 10.0° | 0 |
| Sweeper | 157 | 11.3% | +0.3 | 79.1 | 12.2° | 0 |
| Changeup | 122 | 8.8% | -0.9 | 81.1 | 0.8° | 1 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
80.9%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Chandler Simpson | #214 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Richie Palacios | #202 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Taylor Walls | #186 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Hunter Feduccia | #143 | 41 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Cedric Mullins | #142 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Yandy Díaz | #114 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Jonathan Aranda | #97 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Junior Caminero | #47 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Josh Naylor | #166 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Cole Young | #153 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Mitch Garver | #120 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Julio Rodríguez | #89 | 50 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Luke Raley | #29 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Colt Emerson | #17 | 71 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-13 | Dominic Canzone | #13 | 74 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Geraldo Perdomo | #213 | 25 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Ryan Waldschmidt | #201 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Tommy Troy | #200 | 28 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Gabriel Moreno | #132 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-07 | Nolan Arenado | #131 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Ketel Marte | #101 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Corbin Carroll | #76 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-01 | Leo Jiménez | #142 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Jakob Marsee | #137 | 24 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Otto Lopez | #107 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Joe Mack | #104 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Connor Norby | #96 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Kyle Stowers | #94 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-01 | Liam Hicks | #92 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-01 | Xavier Edwards | #88 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Owen Caissie | #55 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Steven Kwan | #250 | 16 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Daniel Schneemann | #152 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Patrick Bailey | #141 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Brayan Rocchio | #139 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-26 | José Ramírez | #66 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Travis Bazzana | #65 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Chase DeLauter | #61 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Kyle Manzardo | #51 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Angel Martínez | #24 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Luis Robert Jr. | #103 | 21 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Marcus Semien | #94 | 26 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Bo Bichette | #86 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Carson Benge | #80 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Francisco Lindor | #69 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Brett Baty | #51 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Mark Vientos | #36 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Francisco Alvarez | #31 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Juan Soto | #14 | 57 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Tyler O'Neill | #249 | 15 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-16 | Taylor Ward | #238 | 19 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Leody Taveras | #227 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Jeremiah Jackson | #182 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Coby Mayo | #153 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Gunnar Henderson | #135 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Samuel Basallo | #88 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-16 | Pete Alonso | #66 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Adley Rutschman | #65 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Joe Mack | #232 | 12 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Javier Sanoja | #228 | 12 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Christopher Morel | #193 | 19 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Kyle Stowers | #178 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Xavier Edwards | #170 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Owen Caissie | #141 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Jakob Marsee | #140 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Otto Lopez | #129 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Liam Hicks | #65 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Austin Martin | #260 | 3 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Luke Keaschall | #257 | 6 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Victor Caratini | #252 | 8 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Trevor Larnach | #228 | 12 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Josh Bell | #218 | 13 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Matt Wallner | #195 | 17 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Brooks Lee | #136 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Ryan Jeffers | #124 | 28 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Byron Buxton | #44 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-29 | Carson Benge | #258 | 10 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Luis Robert Jr. | #257 | 10 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Marcus Semien | #252 | 11 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Brett Baty | #245 | 13 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Francisco Alvarez | #239 | 14 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Mark Vientos | #234 | 15 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Jorge Polanco | #218 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Francisco Lindor | #217 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Bo Bichette | #206 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Mauricio Dubón | #84 | 37 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Mike Yastrzemski | #83 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Ozzie Albies | #77 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-23 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | #35 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Austin Riley | #30 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Dominic Smith | #24 | 54 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Drake Baldwin | #10 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Matt Olson | #5 | 74 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Michael Harris II | #2 | 79 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Luis Arraez | #224 | 24 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Patrick Bailey | #220 | 25 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Harrison Bader | #209 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Jung Hoo Lee | #186 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Heliot Ramos | #165 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-18 | Matt Chapman | #160 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Rafael Devers | #129 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Casey Schmitt | #86 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Willy Adames | #76 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Victor Scott II | #209 | 19 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Masyn Winn | #195 | 23 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Nolan Arenado | #169 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Lars Nootbaar | #149 | 28 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Alec Burleson | #118 | 33 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Brendan Donovan | #100 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-07 | Ivan Herrera | #63 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Nolan Gorman | #38 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Willson Contreras | #25 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Bryson Stott | #96 | 32 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-01 | J.T. Realmuto | #70 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-01 | Trea Turner | #66 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Alec Bohm | #51 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Nick Castellanos | #41 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Brandon Marsh | #28 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Max Kepler | #24 | 40 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Bryce Harper | #7 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-01 | Kyle Schwarber | #2 | 58 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Nico Hoerner | #135 | 24 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Matt Shaw | #29 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Kyle Tucker | #22 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Ian Happ | #16 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Carson Kelly | #13 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #11 | 47 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Dansby Swanson | #10 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Seiya Suzuki | #7 | 48 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Michael Busch | #2 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |