Jeffrey Springs
LHP
ATH
27
HRs Allowed
21.1%
HR Rate (Pool)
14.3%
Overall HR/FB
4.31
FIP
4.2
xFIP
+0.11
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.8
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
14.3%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
68th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
75.2%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.31
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
61th pctile
4.2
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.11
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
56th pctile
21.1%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
128
Pool Matchups
27
HRs Allowed (Pool)
10
Top-15 Matchups
3
HRs to Top-15
21.1%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 50.0% | 3.5 | 102.0mph | 100.6mph | 29.2° | 405ft | Up +28.9pp |
| Last 15 | 23 | 3 | 10 | 43.5% | 3.33 | 102.9mph | 103.0mph | 28.1° | 423ft | Up +22.4pp |
| Last 30 | 50 | 6 | 17 | 34.0% | 2.83 | 99.9mph | 104.5mph | 27.7° | 408ft | Up +12.9pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
98.4
Avg Max EV
112.7
Max EV Allowed
82
Hard-Hit Proxy · 75.2%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
102.4
Avg HR EV
28.8°
Avg HR Launch
398
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Oswald Peraza | 108.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Zach Neto | 101.3mph | 101.3mph | 24° | 401ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-19 | Logan O'Hoppe | 97.2mph | 97.2mph | 32° | 396ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-19 | Nolan Schanuel | 95.1mph | 93.6mph | 33° | 362ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-14 | Hunter Goodman | 112.7mph | 106.4mph | 25° | 421ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-14 | Tyler Freeman | 106.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Willi Castro | 104.5mph | 104.5mph | 32° | 444ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-14 | Ezequiel Tovar | 104.4mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Zach Neto | #4 | 78 | Sutter Health Park | 101.3mph | 24.0° | 401ft |
| 2026-06-19 | Logan O'Hoppe | #86 | 50 | Sutter Health Park | 97.2mph | 32.0° | 396ft |
| 2026-06-19 | Nolan Schanuel | #150 | 38 | Sutter Health Park | 93.6mph | 33.0° | 362ft |
| 2026-06-14 | Hunter Goodman | #2 | 86 | Las Vegas Ballpark | 106.4mph | 25.0° | 421ft |
| 2026-06-14 | TJ Rumfield | #94 | 48 | Las Vegas Ballpark | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Troy Johnston | #138 | 42 | Las Vegas Ballpark | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Willi Castro | #175 | 36 | Las Vegas Ballpark | 104.5mph | 32.0° | 444ft |
| 2026-06-08 | Jake Bauers | #5 | 79 | Las Vegas Ballpark | 106.1mph | 28.0° | 457ft |
| 2026-06-08 | Brice Turang | #34 | 57 | Las Vegas Ballpark | 108.2mph | 24.0° | 443ft |
| 2026-06-08 | William Contreras | #69 | 45 | Las Vegas Ballpark | 106.7mph | 27.0° | 463ft |
| 2026-06-03 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #67 | 54 | Wrigley Field | 99.1mph | 26.0° | 378ft |
| 2026-06-03 | Seiya Suzuki | #126 | 42 | Wrigley Field | 108.9mph | 32.0° | 408ft |
| 2026-05-27 | Julio Rodríguez | #61 | 57 | Sutter Health Park | 105.8mph | 29.0° | 418.0ft |
| 2026-05-27 | Rob Refsnyder | #148 | 40 | Sutter Health Park | 107.7mph | 23.0° | 368.0ft |
| 2026-05-22 | Ramón Laureano | #76 | 47 | Petco Park | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Nick Castellanos | #156 | 36 | Petco Park | 107.2mph | 33.0° | 382.0ft |
| 2026-05-22 | Manny Machado | #181 | 33 | Petco Park | 109.6mph | 20.0° | 370.0ft |
| 2026-05-17 | Harrison Bader | #74 | 56 | Sutter Health Park | 93.9mph | 25.0° | 346.0ft |
| 2026-05-17 | Luis Arraez | #208 | 31 | Sutter Health Park | 95.1mph | 42.0° | 340.0ft |
| 2026-05-12 | JJ Wetherholt | #40 | 44 | Sutter Health Park | 98.3mph | 31.0° | 380.0ft |
| 2026-05-06 | Adolis García | #90 | 37 | Citizens Bank Park | 106.0mph | 31.0° | 421.0ft |
| 2026-04-30 | Elias Díaz | #67 | 34 | Sutter Health Park | 97.7mph | 29.0° | 373.0ft |
| 2026-04-30 | Maikel Garcia | #129 | 19 | Sutter Health Park | 99.9mph | 30.0° | 395.0ft |
| 2026-04-25 | Josh Jung | #190 | 35 | Globe Life Field | 100.6mph | 30.0° | 381.0ft |
| 2026-04-19 | Colson Montgomery | #48 | 63 | Sutter Health Park | 104.6mph | 27.0° | 419.0ft |
| 2026-04-19 | Miguel Vargas | #64 | 58 | Sutter Health Park | 98.5mph | 35.0° | 390.0ft |
| 2026-03-28 | Alejandro Kirk | #108 | 40 | Rogers Centre | 101.5mph | 23.0° | 394.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 618 | 43.2% | +1.3 | 84.0 | 30.2° | 9 |
| Slider | 369 | 25.8% | -0.4 | 82.9 | 20.4° | 5 |
| Changeup | 323 | 22.6% | +1.9 | 75.6 | 15.0° | 5 |
| Sweeper | 87 | 6.1% | +3.0 | 78.6 | 16.8° | 2 |
| Cutter | 32 | 2.2% | -0.4 | 79.8 | 8.7° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
75.2%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Nolan Schanuel | #150 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-19 | Logan O'Hoppe | #86 | 50 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-19 | Jo Adell | #82 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Oswald Peraza | #81 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Vaughn Grissom | #69 | 53 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Zach Neto | #4 | 78 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-14 | Willi Castro | #175 | 36 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-14 | Troy Johnston | #138 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-14 | Tyler Freeman | #120 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Braxton Fulford | #116 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Kyle Karros | #96 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-14 | TJ Rumfield | #94 | 48 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-14 | Ezequiel Tovar | #85 | 50 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Hunter Goodman | #2 | 86 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-08 | Joey Ortiz | #115 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Luis Rengifo | #113 | 26 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Sal Frelick | #94 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-08 | William Contreras | #69 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-08 | Christian Yelich | #60 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-08 | David Hamilton | #43 | 54 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Garrett Mitchell | #41 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Brice Turang | #34 | 57 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-08 | Jake Bauers | #5 | 79 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-03 | Nico Hoerner | #229 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Alex Bregman | #185 | 34 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Dansby Swanson | #171 | 36 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Seiya Suzuki | #126 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-03 | Pedro Ramírez | #116 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Michael Busch | #95 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Miguel Amaya | #86 | 49 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #67 | 54 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | 💥 |
| 2026-06-03 | Ian Happ | #15 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Victor Robles | #157 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Josh Naylor | #151 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Rob Refsnyder | #148 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-27 | Cole Young | #130 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Colt Emerson | #105 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | J.P. Crawford | #72 | 54 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Julio Rodríguez | #61 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-27 | Randy Arozarena | #54 | 58 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Jhonny Pereda | #49 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Jake Cronenworth | #239 | 20 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | #231 | 22 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Xander Bogaerts | #196 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Manny Machado | #181 | 33 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-22 | Jackson Merrill | #173 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Nick Castellanos | #156 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-22 | Miguel Andujar | #94 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Ramón Laureano | #76 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-22 | Gavin Sheets | #65 | 50 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Drew Gilbert | #209 | 31 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Luis Arraez | #208 | 31 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-17 | Matt Chapman | #163 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Willy Adames | #122 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Daniel Susac | #107 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Rafael Devers | #96 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Eric Haase | #81 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Harrison Bader | #74 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-17 | Casey Schmitt | #25 | 74 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Masyn Winn | #151 | 30 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Victor Scott II | #139 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Pedro Pagés | #81 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Ivan Herrera | #68 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Nolan Gorman | #54 | 42 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Nathan Church | #47 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | JJ Wetherholt | #40 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-12 | Alec Burleson | #35 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Jordan Walker | #10 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Justin Crawford | #187 | 23 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Bryson Stott | #153 | 28 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | J.T. Realmuto | #119 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Alec Bohm | #110 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Trea Turner | #98 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Adolis García | #90 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-06 | Brandon Marsh | #68 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Bryce Harper | #58 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Kyle Schwarber | #30 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Isaac Collins | #151 | 16 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Nick Loftin | #146 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Maikel Garcia | #129 | 19 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-04-30 | Starling Marte | #118 | 22 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Lane Thomas | #102 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Bobby Witt Jr. | #89 | 28 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Elias Díaz | #67 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-30 | Salvador Perez | #54 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Carter Jensen | #17 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Joc Pederson | #257 | 18 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Josh Smith | #256 | 18 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Danny Jansen | #254 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Wyatt Langford | #249 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Jake Burger | #211 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Evan Carter | #209 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Josh Jung | #190 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-25 | Brandon Nimmo | #163 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Corey Seager | #157 | 42 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Tristan Peters | #193 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Edgar Quero | #167 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Luisangel Acuña | #159 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Chase Meidroth | #132 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Miguel Vargas | #64 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-19 | Andrew Benintendi | #52 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Colson Montgomery | #48 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-19 | Everson Pereira | #12 | 80 | 🟢 A | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Munetaka Murakami | #5 | 86 | 🟢 A | · — | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Josh Smith | #153 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Marcus Semien | #148 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Josh Jung | #140 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Adolis Garcia | #128 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Wyatt Langford | #123 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Jake Burger | #122 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Corey Seager | #105 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Paul Goldschmidt | #58 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Jasson Dominguez | #45 | 38 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Anthony Volpe | #39 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Cody Bellinger | #32 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Austin Wells | #26 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Trent Grisham | #16 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | #14 | 56 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Ben Rice | #3 | 58 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Aaron Judge | #1 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Ernie Clement | #206 | 30 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Myles Straw | #196 | 30 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Andrés Giménez | #149 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Alejandro Kirk | #108 | 40 | ⚪ D | · — | 💥 |
| 2026-03-28 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | #59 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Davis Schneider | #39 | 49 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-28 | George Springer | #24 | 56 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Daulton Varsho | #18 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · — | · |