2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
ATL
@ 7:15p
SF
Oracle Park · 14 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Oracle Park

First pitch 7:15p · roof open
Park 0.82× Wind 16 mph slight_out 63°F open
+0
13 mph · slight_out
59°F
7:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
13 mph · slight_out
59°F
8:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
13 mph · slight_out
59°F
9:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
13 mph · slight_out
59°F
10:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
13 mph · slight_out
59°F
11:15p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.07

63°F, wind 16 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +3. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

SF Bullpen Proxy
1.01 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.00 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Drake Baldwin Drake Baldwin 63 🔵 C+ +525 ❄ COLD 27 0.218 92.1 17.7% 30.4% 407 20.7% 0.0% 19.8% 13
2 Matt Olson Matt Olson 63 🔵 C+ +390 ❄ COLD 28 0.270 92.8 13.4% 21.2% 409 21.5% 7.7% 13.0% 31
3 Austin Riley Austin Riley 40 ⚪ D +700 · 151 0.155 91.0 10.3% 11.8% 409 7.7% 0.0% 7.2% 24
4 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 33 ⚪ D +700 🌤️ WARM 197 0.163 87.2 4.0% 10.9% 383 12.7% 7.7% 7.6% 40
5 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 33 ⚪ D +850 ❄ COLD 198 0.140 87.7 7.2% 10.2% 390 8.1% 0.0% 6.4% 23
6 Mike Yastrzemski Mike Yastrzemski 31 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 205 0.145 90.6 3.6% 12.0% 374 8.0% 10.0% 11.5% 12
7 Mauricio Dubon Mauricio Dubon 29 ⚪ D +900 🌧️ COOL 209 0.148 86.4 5.5% 9.9% 392 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 42
Reynaldo López
Reynaldo López RHP
1.33 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.30 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 52 🟠 C +500 · 81 0.226 89.5 8.9% 22.0% vs RHP 394 17.1% 7.7% 13.4% 34
2 Willy Adames Willy Adames 50 🟠 C +500 🌧️ COOL 89 0.198 88.6 7.5% 19.6% vs RHP 389 15.8% 23.1% 19.2% 32
3 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 49 ⚪ D +425 · 95 0.197 91.9 7.9% 20.0% vs RHP 403 13.6% 15.4% 17.8% 29
4 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 36 ⚪ D +700 🌤️ WARM 177 0.151 88.4 6.6% 16.2% vs RHP 398 6.5% 7.7% 8.3% 23
5 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 32 ⚪ D +900 🌤️ WARM 203 0.148 87.9 4.2% 10.0% vs RHP 378 5.7% 7.7% 7.1% 39
6 Drew Gilbert Drew Gilbert 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 225 0.128 85.4 3.8% 14.3% vs RHP 393 2.7% 0.0% 6.5% 22
7 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 22 ⚪ D +850 ❄ COLD 234 0.122 87.2 1.4% 2.9% vs RHP 357 0.0% 0.0% 5.4% 37
🏟️
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