ATL
@
7:15p
SF
Stadium Conditions
Oracle Park
First pitch 7:15p
· roof open
Park 0.82×
Wind 16 mph slight_out
63°F
open
+0
13 mph · slight_out
59°F
7:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
13 mph · slight_out
59°F
8:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
13 mph · slight_out
59°F
9:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
13 mph · slight_out
59°F
10:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
13 mph · slight_out
59°F
11:15p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.07
63°F, wind 16 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +3. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
SF Bullpen Proxy
1.01 HR/9
· FIP-xFIP +0.00
·
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 63 | 🔵 C+ | +525 | ❄ COLD | 27 | 0.218 | 92.1 | 17.7% | 30.4% | 407 | 20.7% | 0.0% | 19.8% | 13 |
| 2 |
|
Matt Olson ⚡ | 63 | 🔵 C+ | +390 | ❄ COLD | 28 | 0.270 | 92.8 | 13.4% | 21.2% | 409 | 21.5% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Austin Riley | 40 | ⚪ D | +700 | · | 151 | 0.155 | 91.0 | 10.3% | 11.8% | 409 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 24 |
| 4 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 33 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 197 | 0.163 | 87.2 | 4.0% | 10.9% | 383 | 12.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 40 |
| 5 |
|
Dominic Smith ⚡ | 33 | ⚪ D | +850 | ❄ COLD | 198 | 0.140 | 87.7 | 7.2% | 10.2% | 390 | 8.1% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 23 |
| 6 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 31 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 205 | 0.145 | 90.6 | 3.6% | 12.0% | 374 | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12 |
| 7 |
|
Mauricio Dubon ⚡ | 29 | ⚪ D | +900 | 🌧️ COOL | 209 | 0.148 | 86.4 | 5.5% | 9.9% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 42 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Casey Schmitt | 52 | 🟠 C | +500 | · | 81 | 0.226 | 89.5 | 8.9% | 22.0% vs RHP | 394 | 17.1% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Willy Adames | 50 | 🟠 C | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 89 | 0.198 | 88.6 | 7.5% | 19.6% vs RHP | 389 | 15.8% | 23.1% | 19.2% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Rafael Devers | 49 | ⚪ D | +425 | · | 95 | 0.197 | 91.9 | 7.9% | 20.0% vs RHP | 403 | 13.6% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Matt Chapman | 36 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 177 | 0.151 | 88.4 | 6.6% | 16.2% vs RHP | 398 | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 23 |
| 5 |
|
Jung Hoo Lee | 32 | ⚪ D | +900 | 🌤️ WARM | 203 | 0.148 | 87.9 | 4.2% | 10.0% vs RHP | 378 | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 39 |
| 6 |
|
Drew Gilbert ⚡ | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 225 | 0.128 | 85.4 | 3.8% | 14.3% vs RHP | 393 | 2.7% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 22 |
| 7 |
|
Luis Arraez ⚡ | 22 | ⚪ D | +850 | ❄ COLD | 234 | 0.122 | 87.2 | 1.4% | 2.9% vs RHP | 357 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 37 |