Results · 2026-06-26

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Results · 2026-06-26

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 3 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#8 Colson Montgomery vs Steven Cruz FIP 6.76 HR/FB 77.8% #12 Jac Caglianone vs David Sandlin FIP 6.61 HR/FB 37.5% #13 Kody Clemens vs Tomoyuki Sugano FIP 5.29 HR/FB 20.8%

📦 STACK Tomoyuki Sugano FIP 5.29 HR/FB 12.2% → #1 Byron Buxton, #13 Kody Clemens

📦 STACK NYM Bullpen Proxy FIP 3.98 HR/FB 12.5% → #2 Kyle Schwarber, #10 Bryce Harper

📦 STACK Colin Rea FIP 4.82 HR/FB 12.1% → #3 Jake Bauers, #6 Jackson Chourio

📦 STACK Taj Bradley FIP 4.25 HR/FB 12.5% → #5 Hunter Goodman, #11 Mickey Moniak

📦 STACK Trevor Rogers FIP 4.31 HR/FB 8.3% → #7 James Wood, #9 Curtis Mead, #15 Cj Abrams

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-06-25. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

91.2% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Due	BP	Weather	Hit?
1	Byron Buxton (R) ⁶	89	+5.5	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) COL @ MIN · Target Field	7:10p	🟢 A	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	25	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%16.5% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.37 FIP4.81 IP720.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-27 Weather · Target Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76.5°F Wind4 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-27 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 4 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +0	?
2	Kyle Schwarber (L)	88	·	NYM Bullpen Proxy PHI @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🟢 A	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	29	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%20.8% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.04 FIP3.98 IP686.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+43 Weather · Citi Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79.2°F Wind2.0 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+43 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 2 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +1	?
3	Jake Bauers (L) ⁴	79	+5.5	Colin Rea (RHP) CHC @ MIL · American Family Field	6:45p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB17.0% HR/91.59 FIP4.82 IP734.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+12 Weather · American Family Field mild air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp65.5°F Wind5.0 mph NE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+12 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note66°F, wind 5 mph NE (slight_out) — modifier: +0	?
4	Kazuma Okamoto (R) ²	74	+6.0	Nathan Eovaldi (RHP) TEX @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.0% HR/91.23 FIP4.20 IP725.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant	?
5	Hunter Goodman (R) ²	74	-1.5	Taj Bradley (RHP) COL @ MIN · Target Field	7:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	22	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.7×	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.1% HR/91.09 FIP4.26 IP736.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-27 Weather · Target Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76.5°F Wind4 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-27 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 4 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +0	?
6	Jackson Chourio (R) ³	74	+3.9	Colin Rea (RHP) CHC @ MIL · American Family Field	6:45p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	10	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.5×	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB17.0% HR/91.59 FIP4.82 IP734.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+14 Weather · American Family Field mild air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp65.5°F Wind5.0 mph NE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+14 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note66°F, wind 5 mph NE (slight_out) — modifier: +0	?
7	James Wood (L) ²	74	+8.2	Trevor Rogers (LHP) WSH @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	20	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%12.6% Avg EV95.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.3×	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.07 FIP4.15 IP728.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+17 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86.7°F Wind4 mph W Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note87°F, wind 4 mph W (out) — modifier: +2	?
8	Colson Montgomery (L) ³	73	-1.6	Steven Cruz (RHP) KC @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%13.8% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.0×	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.20 FIP4.50 IP719.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium	?
9	Curtis Mead (R) ²	72	·	Trevor Rogers (LHP) WSH @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.07 FIP4.15 IP728.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+16 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86.7°F Wind4 mph W Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+16 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note87°F, wind 4 mph W (out) — modifier: +2	?
10	Bryce Harper (L)	70	·	NYM Bullpen Proxy PHI @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%12.5% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.04 FIP3.98 IP686.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+43 Weather · Citi Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79.2°F Wind2.0 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+43 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 2 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +1	?
11	Mickey Moniak (L) ⁴	70	+2.7	Taj Bradley (RHP) COL @ MIN · Target Field	7:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	12	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls3 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.5×	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.1% HR/91.09 FIP4.26 IP736.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-29 Weather · Target Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76.5°F Wind4 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-29 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 4 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +0	?
12	Jac Caglianone (L) ²	69	+4.5	David Sandlin (RHP) KC @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%15.0% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.4×	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.14 FIP4.42 IP710.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium	?
13	Kody Clemens (L) ⁴	69	+0.2	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) COL @ MIN · Target Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	12	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%13.3% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.5×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.37 FIP4.81 IP720.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-29 Weather · Target Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76.5°F Wind4 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-29 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 4 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +0	?
14	Yordan Alvarez (L) ⁴	69	·	Keider Montero (RHP) HOU @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	25	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%12.5% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.5×	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.03 FIP3.96 IP734.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-20 Weather · Comerica Park mild air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71.0°F Wind8.0 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-20 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note71°F, wind 8 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +0	?
15	Juan Soto (L) ⁴	68	·	Zack Wheeler (RHP) PHI @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	PHI Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.21 FIP3.81 IP715.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+43 Weather · Citi Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79.2°F Wind2.0 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+43 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 2 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +1	?
16	Dominic Canzone (L) ³	68	+5.4	Joey Cantillo (LHP) SEA @ CLE · Progressive Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	12	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.21 FIP4.01 IP738.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-1 Weather · Progressive Field warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.2°F Wind1.0 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-1 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 1 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +0	?
17	Dillon Dingler (R) ⁴	68	·	Spencer Arrighetti (RHP) HOU @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.31 FIP4.78 IP737.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-24 Weather · Comerica Park mild air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71.0°F Wind8.0 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-24 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note71°F, wind 8 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +0	?
18	Nick Kurtz (L) ³	67	-8.2	Walbert Ureña (RHP) ATH @ LAA · Angel Stadium	6:38p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV94.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.5×	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.10 FIP4.47 IP743.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-50 Weather · Angel Stadium warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.1°F Wind5.0 mph WSW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-50 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 5 mph WSW (in) — modifier: +0	?
19	Wyatt Langford (R) ²	66	+4.8	Patrick Corbin (LHP) TEX @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	8	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%7.8% Avg EV89.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.10 FIP4.01 IP725.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant	?
20	Shohei Ohtani (L) ⁵	66	-13.6	Walker Buehler (RHP) LAD @ SD · Petco Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.7×	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.08 FIP4.11 IP720.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-35 Weather · Petco Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72.6°F Wind4 mph W Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-35 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 4 mph W (in) — modifier: +0	?
21	Paul Goldschmidt (R)	65	·	Payton Tolle (LHP) NYY @ BOS · Fenway Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV87.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	BOS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.18 FIP4.10 IP702.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+12 Weather · Fenway Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.6°F Wind5.0 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+12 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note75°F, wind 5 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +0	?
22	Pete Alonso (R) ²	64	+4.8	Andrew Alvarez (LHP) WSH @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.8×	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.43 FIP4.78 IP754.7 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+16 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86.7°F Wind4 mph W Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+16 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note87°F, wind 4 mph W (out) — modifier: +2	?
23	Jake Burger (R) ³	64	·	Patrick Corbin (LHP) TEX @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.10 FIP4.01 IP725.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant	?
24	Junior Caminero (R) ⁴	64	+4.8	Zac Gallen (RHP) AZ @ TB · Tropicana Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.28 FIP4.53 IP712.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant	?
25	Royce Lewis (R) ³	64	+0.0	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) COL @ MIN · Target Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	7	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%13.8% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.37 FIP4.81 IP720.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-27 Weather · Target Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76.5°F Wind4 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-27 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 4 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +0	?
26	Miguel Vargas (R) ³	63	+4.0	Steven Cruz (RHP) KC @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%13.8% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.20 FIP4.50 IP719.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium	?
27	Drake Baldwin (L)	63	-1.4	SF Bullpen Proxy ATL @ SF · Oracle Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	14	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls13 BBE Barrel%17.7% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7.5×	SF Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.01 FIP4.23 IP700.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+58 Weather · Oracle Park cool air · strong partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp63.1°F Wind16.0 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+58 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note63°F, wind 16 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +3	?
28	Matt Olson (L)	63	-5.9	SF Bullpen Proxy ATL @ SF · Oracle Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	20	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%13.4% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.0×	SF Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.01 FIP4.23 IP700.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+58 Weather · Oracle Park cool air · strong partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp63.1°F Wind16.0 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+58 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note63°F, wind 16 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +3	?
29	Justin Foscue (R) ²	63	·	Patrick Corbin (LHP) TEX @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	5	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls12 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.10 FIP4.01 IP725.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant	?
30	Max Muncy (S) ³	62	-7.9	Walker Buehler (RHP) LAD @ SD · Petco Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	5	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls51 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.08 FIP4.11 IP720.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-38 Weather · Petco Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72.6°F Wind4 mph W Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-38 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 4 mph W (in) — modifier: +0	?

🔥

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

17.9%

▼ -6.0 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 20.9% prior 15d

Results · 2026-06-26

scoring

⏳

Results scoring in progress

Catch-rate and HR totals for 2026-06-26 update once the night's games finish and the model collects results. Usually live by mid-morning.

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 20.4%

B 19.7%

C+ 15.9%

C 13.0%

D 8.5%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Results · 2026-06-26

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