2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez LHP WSH
40 matchups scored · 5 game days
4 HRs Allowed
10.0% HR Rate (Pool)
18.9% Overall HR/FB
3.02 FIP
2.77 xFIP
+0.26 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
0.8
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
18.9%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
87th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
71.8%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.02
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
17th pctile
2.77
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.26
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
63th pctile
10.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
40
Pool Matchups
4
HRs Allowed (Pool)
0
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
10.0%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 18 2 2 11.1% 1.0 93.9mph 104.7mph 25.5° 416ft Flat +1.1pp
Last 15 24 3 2 8.3% 0.67 96.4mph 104.7mph 25.5° 416ft Flat -1.7pp
Last 30 40 5 4 10.0% 0.8 97.3mph 105.6mph 28.2° 400ft Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
39 tracked BBE from 40 pool matchups
97.3
113.0
28
0
105.6
28.2°
400
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-26 Coby Mayo 113.0mph · · · ·
2026-06-26 Blaze Alexander 106.8mph · · · ·
2026-06-26 Gunnar Henderson 105.8mph · · · ·
2026-06-26 Tyler O'Neill 104.0mph · · · ·
2026-06-26 Taylor Ward 102.9mph · · · ·
2026-06-21 Ryan Vilade 106.8mph 106.8mph 26° 436ft Yes
2026-06-21 Yandy Díaz 104.1mph · · · ·
2026-06-21 Jonny DeLuca 102.6mph 102.6mph 25° 396ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
5 days · 4 total HRs
HRs Allowed
4 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-21 Jonny DeLuca #141 41 Tropicana Field 102.6mph 25.0° 396ft
2026-06-21 Ryan Vilade #184 34 Tropicana Field 106.8mph 26.0° 436ft
2026-06-09 Bryce Eldridge #149 39 Oracle Park 105.3mph 35.0° 405ft
2026-06-03 Esteury Ruiz #102 46 Nationals Park 107.8mph 27.0° 365ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Curveball 163 29.3% -1.3 81.8 -8.2° 0
Slider 154 27.7% +1.3 79.4 9.7° 1
Fastball 145 26.1% +1.3 83.5 8.5° 1
Sinker 83 14.9% -1.3 91.0 -3.0° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
71.8%
71.8%
All Scored Matchups
40 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-26 Leody Taveras #186 34 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-26 Tyler O'Neill #185 34 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-26 Taylor Ward #158 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-26 Blaze Alexander #140 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-26 Jackson Holliday #90 50 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-26 Coby Mayo #70 54 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-26 Samuel Basallo #45 58 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-26 Gunnar Henderson #36 60 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-26 Pete Alonso #23 64 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Chandler Simpson #236 14 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Taylor Walls #230 20 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-21 Nick Fortes #226 21 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-21 Ben Williamson #213 26 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-21 Ryan Vilade #184 34 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-21 Jonny DeLuca #141 41 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-06-21 Yandy Díaz #116 45 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Jonathan Aranda #98 48 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Junior Caminero #81 53 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-15 Isaac Collins #143 22 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-15 Nick Loftin #111 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-15 Starling Marte #104 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-15 Lane Thomas #88 44 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-15 Carter Jensen #79 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-15 Jac Caglianone #63 50 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-09 Daniel Susac #229 12 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-09 Jung Hoo Lee #197 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-09 Matt Chapman #184 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-09 Bryce Eldridge #149 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-09 Rafael Devers #133 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-09 Willy Adames #84 50 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-09 Casey Schmitt #54 55 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-03 Christopher Morel #250 20 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-03 Javier Sanoja #246 20 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-03 Joe Mack #219 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-03 Xavier Edwards #158 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-03 Otto Lopez #154 38 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-03 Connor Norby #153 38 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-03 Esteury Ruiz #102 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-03 Heriberto Hernández #99 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-03 Kyle Stowers #98 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
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