2026
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15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
Spencer Arrighetti
Spencer Arrighetti RHP HOU
101 matchups scored · 12 game days
11 HRs Allowed
10.9% HR Rate (Pool)
7.6% Overall HR/FB
3.78 FIP
4.73 xFIP
-0.95 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot ?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards. Pool + today context
0.92
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
7.6%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
10th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
65.2%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.78
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
39th pctile
4.73
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.95
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
7th pctile
10.9%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
101
Pool Matchups
11
HRs Allowed (Pool)
6
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
10.9%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 17 2 5 29.4% 2.5 97.7mph 102.3mph 31.6° 391ft Up +18.5pp
Last 15 22 3 5 22.7% 1.67 97.8mph 102.3mph 31.6° 391ft Up +11.8pp
Last 30 47 6 9 19.1% 1.5 97.5mph 103.5mph 31.3° 393ft Up +8.2pp
Batted-Ball Damage
89 tracked BBE from 101 pool matchups
96.7
Avg Max EV
110.1
Max EV Allowed
58
Hard-Hit Proxy · 65.2%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
104.1
Avg HR EV
31.3°
Avg HR Launch
395
Avg HR Distance
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-26 Riley Greene 105.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-26 Kerry Carpenter 105.3mph 105.3mph 28° 412ft Yes
2026-06-26 James Outman 105.3mph 105.3mph 30° 407ft Yes
2026-06-26 Matt Vierling 102.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-26 Colt Keith 100.3mph 100.3mph 45° 341ft Yes
2026-06-20 Petey Halpin 105.9mph · · · ·
2026-06-20 Travis Bazzana 105.8mph 100.8mph 29° 406ft Yes
2026-06-20 Patrick Bailey 101.1mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
12 days · 11 total HRs
HRs Allowed
11 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-26 Kerry Carpenter #89 50 Comerica Park 105.3mph 28.0° 412ft
2026-06-26 James Outman #155 38 Comerica Park 105.3mph 30.0° 407ft
2026-06-26 Colt Keith #190 33 Comerica Park 100.3mph 45.0° 341ft
2026-06-20 Kyle Manzardo #108 47 Minute Maid Park 100.0mph 26.0° 388ft
2026-06-20 Travis Bazzana #135 43 Minute Maid Park 100.8mph 29.0° 406ft
2026-06-08 Zach Neto #37 55 Angel Stadium 102.8mph 37.0° 395ft
2026-06-03 Henry Davis #72 52 Minute Maid Park 107.7mph 35.0° 396ft
2026-06-03 Nick Gonzales #194 34 Minute Maid Park 105.5mph 23.0° 370ft
2026-05-28 Josh Jung #94 26 Globe Life Field 103.6mph 29.0° 424.0ft
2026-05-22 Pete Crow-Armstrong #202 29 Wrigley Field 104.7mph 31.0° 406.0ft
2026-04-26 Aaron Judge #13 73 Minute Maid Park 109.3mph 31.0° 401.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Curveball 365 32.8% -0.8 79.0 3.2° 0
Fastball 334 30.0% -0.2 82.7 28.8° 3
Sweeper 162 14.6% +0.7 82.3 26.8° 2
Sinker 116 10.4% -1.8 81.1 20.0° 0
Changeup 77 6.9% +1.5 80.8 -0.3° 0
Cutter 58 5.2% -0.5 87.0 20.9° 1
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
65.2%
65.2%
All Scored Matchups
101 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-26 Zach McKinstry #234 22 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-26 Colt Keith #190 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-26 Matt Vierling #171 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-26 Kevin McGonigle #166 37 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-26 James Outman #155 38 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-06-26 Riley Greene #136 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-26 Kerry Carpenter #89 50 🟠 C ❄ COLD 💥
2026-06-26 Spencer Torkelson #88 50 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-26 Dillon Dingler #21 65 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-20 Steven Kwan #213 19 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-20 Patrick Bailey #208 21 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-20 Petey Halpin #205 22 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-20 Brayan Rocchio #184 31 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-20 Travis Bazzana #135 43 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-20 Rhys Hoskins #133 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-20 Daniel Schneemann #109 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-20 Kyle Manzardo #108 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-14 Isaac Collins #210 25 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-14 Carter Jensen #119 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-14 Lane Thomas #113 46 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-14 Michael Massey #102 47 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-14 Jac Caglianone #82 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-08 Nolan Schanuel #99 36 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-08 Logan O'Hoppe #93 38 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-08 Jo Adell #65 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-08 Oswald Peraza #46 53 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-08 Zach Neto #37 55 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-08 Vaughn Grissom #32 58 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-08 Mike Trout #23 63 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-03 Jhostynxon Garcia #237 24 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-03 Jared Triolo #228 26 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-03 Nick Gonzales #194 34 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-03 Marcell Ozuna #127 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-03 Bryan Reynolds #81 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-03 Henry Davis #72 52 🟠 C 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-03 Spencer Horwitz #40 60 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-03 Oneil Cruz #20 66 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-03 Brandon Lowe #12 70 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-28 Alejandro Osuna #108 11 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-28 Nicky Lopez #101 21 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-28 Josh Jung #94 26 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-28 Evan Carter #64 38 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-28 Kyle Higashioka #61 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-28 Ezequiel Duran #46 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-28 Joc Pederson #45 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-28 Brandon Nimmo #39 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-28 Jake Burger #26 52 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-22 Nico Hoerner #235 20 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-22 Carson Kelly #214 26 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-22 Pete Crow-Armstrong #202 29 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-22 Alex Bregman #190 31 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-22 Seiya Suzuki #123 40 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-22 Dansby Swanson #114 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-22 Michael Busch #78 45 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-22 Moisés Ballesteros #43 55 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-22 Ian Happ #21 64 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-15 Josh Smith #236 22 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-15 Danny Jansen #166 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-15 Josh Jung #149 41 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-15 Evan Carter #138 43 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-15 Joc Pederson #127 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-15 Jake Burger #108 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-15 Brandon Nimmo #107 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-15 Ezequiel Duran #101 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-15 Corey Seager #53 62 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-09 Matt McLain #83 33 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-09 Eugenio Suárez #55 39 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-05-09 Tyler Stephenson #52 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-09 Ke'Bryan Hayes #42 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-09 TJ Friedl #39 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-09 Spencer Steer #25 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-09 Sal Stewart #13 52 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-09 Nathaniel Lowe #10 54 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-09 Elly De La Cruz #9 54 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-02 Roman Anthony #255 7 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-02 Trevor Story #254 7 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-02 Jarren Duran #252 8 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-02 Carlos Narváez #241 10 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-02 Marcelo Mayer #240 10 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-02 Ceddanne Rafaela #239 10 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-02 Caleb Durbin #219 14 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-02 Wilyer Abreu #215 15 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-02 Willson Contreras #175 21 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-26 José Caballero #226 29 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-26 Jazz Chisholm Jr. #204 32 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-26 J.C. Escarra #174 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-26 Cody Bellinger #169 38 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-26 Paul Goldschmidt #137 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-26 Ryan McMahon #125 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-26 Trent Grisham #117 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-26 Ben Rice #18 72 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-26 Aaron Judge #13 73 🟡 B 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-20 Steven Kwan #121 32 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-20 Brayan Rocchio #93 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-20 Kyle Manzardo #64 47 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-20 Angel Martínez #53 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-20 Rhys Hoskins #41 54 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-20 Daniel Schneemann #36 55 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-20 Bo Naylor #34 57 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-20 José Ramírez #19 65 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-20 Chase DeLauter #8 72 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
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