Colin Rea
RHP
CHC
16
HRs Allowed
14.0%
HR Rate (Pool)
14.0%
Overall HR/FB
4.15
FIP
4.02
xFIP
+0.13
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.23
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
14.0%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
65th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
73.8%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.15
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
55th pctile
4.02
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.13
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
57th pctile
14.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
114
Pool Matchups
16
HRs Allowed (Pool)
12
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
14.0%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 25.0% | 2.0 | 97.8mph | 107.8mph | 29.8° | 400ft | Up +11.0pp |
| Last 15 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 25.0% | 2.0 | 97.8mph | 107.8mph | 29.8° | 400ft | Up +11.0pp |
| Last 30 | 42 | 5 | 7 | 16.7% | 1.4 | 100.0mph | 107.1mph | 27.7° | 407ft | Up +2.7pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
98.6
Avg Max EV
112.5
Max EV Allowed
76
Hard-Hit Proxy · 73.8%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
105.3
Avg HR EV
27.1°
Avg HR Launch
394
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | William Contreras | 109.3mph | 109.3mph | 23° | 449ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-26 | Garrett Mitchell | 109.1mph | 109.1mph | 35° | 407ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-26 | Jackson Chourio | 104.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Kazuma Okamoto | 107.3mph | 107.3mph | 37° | 377ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-20 | Daulton Varsho | 105.6mph | 105.6mph | 24° | 368ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-20 | Davis Schneider | 101.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Edouard Julien | 106.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Hunter Goodman | 106.0mph | 106.0mph | 24° | 413ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Garrett Mitchell | #43 | 59 | American Family Field | 109.1mph | 35.0° | 407ft |
| 2026-06-26 | William Contreras | #73 | 54 | American Family Field | 109.3mph | 23.0° | 449ft |
| 2026-06-20 | Kazuma Okamoto | #41 | 60 | Wrigley Field | 107.3mph | 37.0° | 377ft |
| 2026-06-20 | Daulton Varsho | #131 | 44 | Wrigley Field | 105.6mph | 24.0° | 368ft |
| 2026-06-09 | Hunter Goodman | #2 | 86 | Coors Field | 106.0mph | 24.0° | 413ft |
| 2026-06-09 | Ezequiel Tovar | #71 | 52 | Coors Field | 106.0mph | 24.0° | 433ft |
| 2026-05-28 | Bryan Reynolds | #71 | 36 | PNC Park | 106.6mph | 27.0° | 400.0ft |
| 2026-05-23 | Christian Walker | #52 | 61 | Wrigley Field | 105.6mph | 18.0° | 369.0ft |
| 2026-05-17 | Tristan Peters | #233 | 25 | Rate Field | 101.8mph | 23.0° | 359.0ft |
| 2026-05-17 | Edgar Quero | #259 | 16 | Rate Field | 103.8mph | 24.0° | 407.0ft |
| 2026-05-12 | Austin Riley | #119 | 33 | Truist Park | 107.0mph | 35.0° | 409.0ft |
| 2026-05-12 | Mike Yastrzemski | #221 | 19 | Truist Park | 102.8mph | 35.0° | 380.0ft |
| 2026-05-06 | Spencer Steer | #60 | 41 | Wrigley Field | 104.1mph | 27.0° | 411.0ft |
| 2026-05-06 | Matt McLain | #132 | 32 | Wrigley Field | 99.1mph | 29.0° | 371.0ft |
| 2026-05-01 | Geraldo Perdomo | #43 | 39 | Wrigley Field | 100.8mph | 26.0° | 366.0ft |
| 2026-04-25 | Max Muncy | #23 | 73 | Dodger Stadium | 110.1mph | 22.0° | 387.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 573 | 41.2% | +1.0 | 83.9 | 25.7° | 4 |
| Changeup | 243 | 17.5% | -1.6 | 81.1 | 1.2° | 0 |
| Slider | 151 | 10.9% | -1.0 | 84.8 | 15.7° | 4 |
| Sinker | 140 | 10.1% | +0.2 | 83.8 | 17.3° | 3 |
| Sweeper | 116 | 8.3% | -3.1 | 81.2 | 23.8° | 0 |
| Cutter | 92 | 6.6% | +1.9 | 85.4 | 17.2° | 0 |
| Curveball | 75 | 5.4% | +5.8 | 81.9 | -2.7° | 1 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
73.8%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | David Hamilton | #153 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Christian Yelich | #105 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Andrew Vaughn | #91 | 50 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-26 | William Contreras | #73 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-26 | Brice Turang | #44 | 59 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Garrett Mitchell | #43 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-26 | Jackson Chourio | #6 | 74 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Jake Bauers | #3 | 79 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Myles Straw | #193 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Nathan Lukes | #188 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Daulton Varsho | #131 | 44 | ⚪ D | · — | 💥 |
| 2026-06-20 | Andrés Giménez | #90 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | George Springer | #45 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Brandon Valenzuela | #43 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Kazuma Okamoto | #41 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-20 | Davis Schneider | #29 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Willi Castro | #148 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Edouard Julien | #142 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | TJ Rumfield | #116 | 45 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Troy Johnston | #102 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Ezequiel Tovar | #71 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-09 | Jake McCarthy | #53 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Kyle Karros | #35 | 59 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Hunter Goodman | #2 | 86 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-03 | Lawrence Butler | #212 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Jeff McNeil | #195 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Alika Williams | #168 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Zack Gelof | #124 | 42 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Carlos Cortes | #112 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Brent Rooker | #82 | 50 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Tyler Soderstrom | #64 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Nick Kurtz | #22 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Shea Langeliers | #13 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-28 | Nick Gonzales | #105 | 15 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-28 | Konnor Griffin | #73 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-28 | Bryan Reynolds | #71 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-28 | Marcell Ozuna | #59 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-28 | Ryan O'Hearn | #37 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-28 | Henry Davis | #30 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-28 | Spencer Horwitz | #23 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-28 | Oneil Cruz | #20 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-28 | Brandon Lowe | #8 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-23 | César Salazar | #286 | 11 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Jeremy Peña | #269 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Brice Matthews | #202 | 37 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Isaac Paredes | #176 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Cam Smith | #167 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Braden Shewmake | #148 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Zach Cole | #58 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Christian Walker | #52 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-23 | Yordan Alvarez | #20 | 71 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Edgar Quero | #259 | 16 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-17 | Tristan Peters | #233 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-17 | Chase Meidroth | #197 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Sam Antonacci | #128 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Andrew Benintendi | #105 | 50 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Derek Hill | #66 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Miguel Vargas | #23 | 75 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Colson Montgomery | #10 | 82 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Munetaka Murakami | #4 | 91 | 🔥 A+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Mike Yastrzemski | #221 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-12 | Mauricio Dubón | #169 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | #156 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Austin Riley | #119 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-12 | Michael Harris II | #63 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Drake Baldwin | #56 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Dominic Smith | #37 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Ozzie Albies | #28 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Matt Olson | #5 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Eugenio Suárez | #133 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Matt McLain | #132 | 32 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-06 | Tyler Stephenson | #121 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | TJ Friedl | #100 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Ke'Bryan Hayes | #82 | 38 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Spencer Steer | #60 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-06 | Sal Stewart | #39 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Elly De La Cruz | #31 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Nathaniel Lowe | #11 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Jose Fernandez | #101 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Jorge Barrosa | #87 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Alek Thomas | #86 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Adrian Del Castillo | #55 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Ketel Marte | #49 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Geraldo Perdomo | #43 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-01 | Nolan Arenado | #29 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Corbin Carroll | #28 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Ildemaro Vargas | #24 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Alex Freeland | #119 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Hyeseong Kim | #105 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Andy Pages | #83 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Kyle Tucker | #79 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Will Smith | #66 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Teoscar Hernández | #34 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Freddie Freeman | #24 | 72 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Max Muncy | #23 | 73 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-25 | Shohei Ohtani | #12 | 80 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-20 | J.T. Realmuto | #139 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-20 | Alec Bohm | #134 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-20 | Bryson Stott | #124 | 32 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-20 | Trea Turner | #123 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-20 | Justin Crawford | #91 | 40 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-20 | Brandon Marsh | #88 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-20 | Adolis García | #55 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-20 | Bryce Harper | #27 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-20 | Kyle Schwarber | #6 | 74 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Chandler Simpson | #243 | 11 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Jake Mangum | #227 | 21 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Taylor Walls | #204 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Josh Lowe | #130 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Christopher Morel | #79 | 44 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Yandy Diaz | #73 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Jonathan Aranda | #44 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Junior Caminero | #18 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Brandon Lowe | #9 | 50 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |