2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
COL
@ 7:10p
MIN
Target Field · 17 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Target Field

First pitch 7:10p · roof open
Park 1.06× Wind 4 mph in 76°F open
-6
7 mph · in
62°F
7:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
7 mph · in
62°F
8:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
7 mph · in
62°F
9:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
7 mph · in
62°F
10:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
7 mph · in
62°F
11:10p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.06

76°F, wind 4 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Tomoyuki Sugano
Tomoyuki Sugano RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.64 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.48 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 89 🟢 A +475 · 1 0.328 90.7 16.5% 35.0% vs RHP 402 33.8% 41.7% 32.1% 39
2 Kody Clemens Kody Clemens 69 🔵 C+ +525 · 13 0.224 92.3 13.3% 19.1% vs RHP 388 13.2% 18.2% 18.7% 36
3 Royce Lewis Royce Lewis 64 🔵 C+ +575 🌤️ WARM 25 0.154 88.6 13.8% 20.0% vs RHP 397 17.5% 25.0% 17.3% 35
4 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 61 🔵 C+ +575 🌧️ COOL 35 0.194 87.6 8.1% 23.8% vs RHP 369 16.7% 27.3% 22.5% 41
5 Victor Caratini Victor Caratini 56 🟠 C +750 🔥 HOT 52 0.140 89.4 10.6% 20.8% vs RHP 401 7.5% 33.3% 17.9% 26
6 Josh Bell Josh Bell 56 🟠 C +850 · 62 0.143 89.6 11.8% 21.2% vs RHP 402 8.8% 20.0% 13.0% 34
7 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 53 🟠 C +950 🌤️ WARM 74 0.148 86.0 9.9% 13.5% vs RHP 406 6.2% 22.2% 13.3% 31
8 Tristan Gray Tristan Gray 45 ⚪ D +800 ❄ COLD 125 0.116 89.0 9.5% 15.0% vs RHP 389 8.3% 0.0% 9.2% 15
9 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 37 ⚪ D +700 🌤️ WARM 168 0.083 84.5 6.8% 5.1% vs RHP 369 3.0% 9.1% 7.0% 30
Taj Bradley
Taj Bradley RHP
1.34 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.33 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Hunter Goodman Hunter Goodman 74 🟡 B +420 · 5 0.267 90.9 12.4% 37.0% vs RHP 404 24.6% 18.2% 32.8% 31
2 Mickey Moniak Mickey Moniak 70 🟡 B +625 🌧️ COOL 11 0.299 89.7 11.4% 25.0% vs RHP 417 16.0% 0.0% 24.5% 3
3 Tj Rumfield Tj Rumfield 48 ⚪ D +750 ❄ COLD 97 0.199 84.3 7.7% 21.1% vs RHP 406 0.0% 0.0% 25.7% 41
4 Jake Mccarthy Jake Mccarthy 44 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 128 0.164 84.4 6.7% 15.6% vs RHP 418 0.0% 0.0% 11.7% 34
5 Willi Castro Willi Castro 44 ⚪ D +750 🌤️ WARM 129 0.122 88.4 7.5% 11.6% vs RHP 425 6.8% 18.2% 15.0% 33
6 Ezequiel Tovar Ezequiel Tovar 44 ⚪ D +950 ❄ COLD 130 0.137 88.0 8.6% 18.2% vs RHP 415 6.9% 9.1% 9.0% 21
7 Troy Johnston Troy Johnston 40 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 149 0.151 89.3 5.0% 10.0% vs RHP 415 1.8% 14.3% 10.0% 22
8 Edouard Julien Edouard Julien 38 ⚪ D +900 · 162 0.097 91.4 8.4% 11.1% vs RHP 389 3.1% 0.0% 8.8% 15
🏟️
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