COL
@
7:10p
MIN
Stadium Conditions
Target Field
First pitch 7:10p
· roof open
Park 1.06×
Wind 4 mph in
76°F
open
-6
7 mph · in
62°F
7:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
7 mph · in
62°F
8:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
7 mph · in
62°F
9:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
7 mph · in
62°F
10:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
7 mph · in
62°F
11:10p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.06
76°F, wind 4 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Byron Buxton | 89 | 🟢 A | +475 | · | 1 | 0.328 | 90.7 | 16.5% | 35.0% vs RHP | 402 | 33.8% | 41.7% | 32.1% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Kody Clemens | 69 | 🔵 C+ | +525 | · | 13 | 0.224 | 92.3 | 13.3% | 19.1% vs RHP | 388 | 13.2% | 18.2% | 18.7% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Royce Lewis | 64 | 🔵 C+ | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 25 | 0.154 | 88.6 | 13.8% | 20.0% vs RHP | 397 | 17.5% | 25.0% | 17.3% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Brooks Lee | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 35 | 0.194 | 87.6 | 8.1% | 23.8% vs RHP | 369 | 16.7% | 27.3% | 22.5% | 41 |
| 5 |
|
Victor Caratini | 56 | 🟠 C | +750 | 🔥 HOT | 52 | 0.140 | 89.4 | 10.6% | 20.8% vs RHP | 401 | 7.5% | 33.3% | 17.9% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Josh Bell | 56 | 🟠 C | +850 | · | 62 | 0.143 | 89.6 | 11.8% | 21.2% vs RHP | 402 | 8.8% | 20.0% | 13.0% | 34 |
| 7 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 53 | 🟠 C | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 74 | 0.148 | 86.0 | 9.9% | 13.5% vs RHP | 406 | 6.2% | 22.2% | 13.3% | 31 |
| 8 |
|
Tristan Gray | 45 | ⚪ D | +800 | ❄ COLD | 125 | 0.116 | 89.0 | 9.5% | 15.0% vs RHP | 389 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 15 |
| 9 |
|
Luke Keaschall | 37 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 168 | 0.083 | 84.5 | 6.8% | 5.1% vs RHP | 369 | 3.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 30 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 74 | 🟡 B | +420 | · | 5 | 0.267 | 90.9 | 12.4% | 37.0% vs RHP | 404 | 24.6% | 18.2% | 32.8% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Mickey Moniak | 70 | 🟡 B | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 11 | 0.299 | 89.7 | 11.4% | 25.0% vs RHP | 417 | 16.0% | 0.0% | 24.5% | 3 |
| 3 |
|
Tj Rumfield | 48 | ⚪ D | +750 | ❄ COLD | 97 | 0.199 | 84.3 | 7.7% | 21.1% vs RHP | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.7% | 41 |
| 4 |
|
Jake Mccarthy | 44 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 128 | 0.164 | 84.4 | 6.7% | 15.6% vs RHP | 418 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.7% | 34 |
| 5 |
|
Willi Castro | 44 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 129 | 0.122 | 88.4 | 7.5% | 11.6% vs RHP | 425 | 6.8% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar ⚡ | 44 | ⚪ D | +950 | ❄ COLD | 130 | 0.137 | 88.0 | 8.6% | 18.2% vs RHP | 415 | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 21 |
| 7 |
|
Troy Johnston | 40 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 149 | 0.151 | 89.3 | 5.0% | 10.0% vs RHP | 415 | 1.8% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 22 |
| 8 |
|
Edouard Julien | 38 | ⚪ D | +900 | · | 162 | 0.097 | 91.4 | 8.4% | 11.1% vs RHP | 389 | 3.1% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 15 |