CHC
@
6:45p
MIL
Stadium Conditions
American Family Field
First pitch 6:45p
· roof retractable
Park 1.12×
Wind 5 mph slight_out
66°F
retractable
+7
6 mph · out
56°F
6:45p
Boost for HR environment
+7
6 mph · out
56°F
7:45p
Boost for HR environment
+7
6 mph · out
56°F
8:45p
Boost for HR environment
+7
6 mph · out
56°F
9:45p
Boost for HR environment
+7
6 mph · out
56°F
10:45p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.12
66°F, wind 5 mph NE (slight_out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jake Bauers | 79 | 🟡 B | +625 | 🌤️ WARM | 3 | 0.273 | 92.8 | 12.2% | 37.5% vs RHP | 401 | 20.4% | 22.2% | 34.5% | 20 |
| 2 |
|
Jackson Chourio | 74 | 🟡 B | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 6 | 0.233 | 92.4 | 12.4% | 20.0% vs RHP | 395 | 17.9% | 25.0% | 30.3% | 40 |
| 3 |
|
Garrett Mitchell | 59 | 🟠 C | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 43 | 0.153 | 92.3 | 12.1% | 23.8% vs RHP | 422 | 7.0% | 20.0% | 15.6% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Brice Turang | 59 | 🟠 C | +950 | · | 44 | 0.196 | 91.0 | 10.1% | 27.5% vs RHP | 406 | 10.7% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
William Contreras | 54 | 🟠 C | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 71 | 0.149 | 90.6 | 9.3% | 18.4% vs RHP | 416 | 11.1% | 18.2% | 12.3% | 37 |
| 6 |
|
Andrew Vaughn | 53 | 🟠 C | +950 | 🔥 HOT | 77 | 0.190 | 89.8 | 6.8% | 7.7% vs RHP | 412 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 12.3% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Christian Yelich ⚡ | 48 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 104 | 0.134 | 88.3 | 8.4% | 14.3% vs RHP | 399 | 7.1% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 27 |
| 8 |
|
David Hamilton ⚡ | 39 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 155 | 0.098 | 86.3 | 6.9% | 7.5% vs RHP | 383 | 5.5% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 15 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +700 | · | 34 | 0.230 | 91.7 | 5.3% | 22.4% vs RHP | 393 | 19.8% | 42.9% | 26.6% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Ian Happ | 56 | 🟠 C | +850 | ❄ COLD | 63 | 0.241 | 90.1 | 5.9% | 27.1% vs RHP | 403 | 21.2% | 7.1% | 17.4% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 48 | ⚪ D | +900 | · | 100 | 0.174 | 89.3 | 4.3% | 15.9% vs RHP | 397 | 13.9% | 28.6% | 18.4% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Michael Busch | 45 | ⚪ D | +950 | · | 121 | 0.158 | 88.4 | 5.3% | 14.8% vs RHP | 400 | 12.2% | 21.4% | 11.7% | 34 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Shaw | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 122 | 0.182 | 86.5 | 3.5% | 13.3% vs RHP | 366 | 11.9% | 25.0% | 11.0% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
Seiya Suzuki | 41 | ⚪ D | +900 | 🌤️ WARM | 146 | 0.167 | 89.5 | 4.6% | 23.5% vs RHP | 409 | 10.0% | 0.0% | 11.5% | 24 |
| 7 |
|
Carson Kelly | 34 | ⚪ D | · | · | 189 | 0.116 | 88.8 | 4.1% | 5.3% vs RHP | 421 | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Alex Bregman | 33 | ⚪ D | +950 | ❄ COLD | 191 | 0.128 | 87.8 | 3.4% | 16.7% vs RHP | 395 | 6.3% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 35 |
| 9 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 221 | 0.105 | 85.6 | 1.6% | 4.5% vs RHP | 383 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 42 |