Taj Bradley
RHP
MIN
13
HRs Allowed
10.1%
HR Rate (Pool)
12.2%
Overall HR/FB
3.55
FIP
3.81
xFIP
-0.25
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.87
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
12.2%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
47th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
71.8%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.55
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
32th pctile
3.81
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.25
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
35th pctile
10.1%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
129
Pool Matchups
13
HRs Allowed (Pool)
9
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
10.1%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 13.3% | 1.0 | 99.0mph | 109.3mph | 31.5° | 416ft | Up +3.2pp |
| Last 15 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 17.4% | 1.33 | 99.7mph | 107.6mph | 33.5° | 402ft | Up +7.3pp |
| Last 30 | 50 | 6 | 10 | 20.0% | 1.67 | 100.0mph | 105.3mph | 31.7° | 398ft | Up +9.9pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
98.7
Avg Max EV
116.2
Max EV Allowed
79
Hard-Hit Proxy · 71.8%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
105.3
Avg HR EV
31.1°
Avg HR Launch
400
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Hunter Goodman | 116.2mph | 116.2mph | 27° | 451ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-26 | Jake McCarthy | 108.6mph | 102.4mph | 36° | 381ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-26 | Troy Johnston | 104.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Willi Castro | 100.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Ildemaro Vargas | 104.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Corbin Carroll | 100.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Alec Burleson | 110.4mph | 110.4mph | 39° | 397ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-14 | Lars Nootbaar | 107.9mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Hunter Goodman | #5 | 74 | Target Field | 116.2mph | 27.0° | 451ft |
| 2026-06-26 | Jake McCarthy | #123 | 45 | Target Field | 102.4mph | 36.0° | 381ft |
| 2026-06-14 | Alec Burleson | #23 | 67 | Target Field | 110.4mph | 39.0° | 397ft |
| 2026-06-14 | JJ Wetherholt | #161 | 38 | Target Field | 101.5mph | 32.0° | 380ft |
| 2026-06-09 | Dillon Dingler | #28 | 62 | Comerica Park | 97.2mph | 39.0° | 367ft |
| 2026-06-09 | Kerry Carpenter | #74 | 51 | Comerica Park | 100.3mph | 25.0° | 365ft |
| 2026-06-09 | Riley Greene | #134 | 42 | Comerica Park | 101.3mph | 37.0° | 367ft |
| 2026-06-03 | Andrew Benintendi | #117 | 44 | Target Field | 102.9mph | 30.0° | 402ft |
| 2026-05-29 | Oneil Cruz | #68 | 54 | PNC Park | 110.8mph | 26.0° | 450ft |
| 2026-05-29 | Bryan Reynolds | #181 | 34 | PNC Park | 110.0mph | 26.0° | 422ft |
| 2026-04-29 | J.P. Crawford | #254 | 10 | Target Field | 98.5mph | 30.0° | 374.0ft |
| 2026-04-24 | Junior Caminero | #64 | 62 | Tropicana Field | 112.7mph | 21.0° | 435.0ft |
| 2026-04-24 | Jonathan Aranda | #105 | 54 | Tropicana Field | 105.0mph | 36.0° | 414.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 676 | 48.5% | -0.8 | 85.3 | 28.7° | 5 |
| Cutter | 320 | 23.0% | +0.1 | 81.0 | 10.4° | 3 |
| Splitter | 259 | 18.6% | +0.0 | 85.0 | 5.9° | 0 |
| Curveball | 139 | 10.0% | +5.0 | 81.0 | 4.2° | 4 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
71.8%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Edouard Julien | #160 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Troy Johnston | #147 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Ezequiel Tovar | #132 | 44 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Willi Castro | #130 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Jake McCarthy | #123 | 45 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-26 | TJ Rumfield | #46 | 58 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Mickey Moniak | #11 | 70 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Hunter Goodman | #5 | 74 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-20 | Geraldo Perdomo | #187 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Ildemaro Vargas | #166 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Adrian Del Castillo | #161 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Nolan Arenado | #154 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Ketel Marte | #98 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Gabriel Moreno | #46 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Corbin Carroll | #19 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | José Fermín | #211 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Nathan Church | #174 | 36 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-14 | JJ Wetherholt | #161 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-14 | Iván Herrera | #110 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Bryan Torres | #89 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Alec Burleson | #23 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-14 | Lars Nootbaar | #19 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Jordan Walker | #14 | 71 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Colt Keith | #230 | 12 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Zach McKinstry | #221 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Matt Vierling | #196 | 30 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Gleyber Torres | #191 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Kevin McGonigle | #189 | 31 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Riley Greene | #134 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-09 | Spencer Torkelson | #96 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Kerry Carpenter | #74 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-09 | Dillon Dingler | #28 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-03 | Rikuu Nishida | #264 | 6 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Jacob Gonzalez | #254 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Sam Antonacci | #248 | 20 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Tristan Peters | #240 | 23 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Chase Meidroth | #191 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Andrew Benintendi | #117 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-03 | Colson Montgomery | #46 | 58 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Drew Romo | #38 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Miguel Vargas | #23 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-29 | Nick Gonzales | #252 | 10 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-29 | Konnor Griffin | #195 | 32 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-29 | Marcell Ozuna | #182 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-29 | Bryan Reynolds | #181 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-29 | Ryan O'Hearn | #169 | 36 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-29 | Henry Davis | #132 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-29 | Spencer Horwitz | #100 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-29 | Oneil Cruz | #68 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-29 | Brandon Lowe | #36 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Isiah Kiner-Falefa | #285 | 13 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Nick Sogard | #279 | 18 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Connor Wong | #262 | 24 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Mickey Gasper | #261 | 24 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Marcelo Mayer | #240 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #180 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Wilyer Abreu | #173 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Jarren Duran | #152 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Willson Contreras | #97 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Daylen Lile | #229 | 12 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Jacob Young | #215 | 14 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Nasim Nuñez | #214 | 14 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Luis García Jr. | #180 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Jorbit Vivas | #170 | 21 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Brady House | #83 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | CJ Abrams | #45 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Curtis Mead | #30 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | James Wood | #9 | 75 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | J.P. Crawford | #254 | 10 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-29 | Leo Rivas | #249 | 12 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Josh Naylor | #241 | 13 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Cole Young | #231 | 16 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Randy Arozarena | #230 | 16 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Brendan Donovan | #223 | 17 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Julio Rodríguez | #215 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Cal Raleigh | #194 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Luke Raley | #168 | 26 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Taylor Walls | #237 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Chandler Simpson | #236 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Ben Williamson | #230 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Nick Fortes | #216 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Cedric Mullins | #200 | 32 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Yandy Díaz | #190 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Jonny DeLuca | #157 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Jonathan Aranda | #105 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-24 | Junior Caminero | #64 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-18 | TJ Friedl | #270 | 4 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Matt McLain | #259 | 12 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Will Benson | #249 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Ke'Bryan Hayes | #242 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Eugenio Suárez | #223 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Tyler Stephenson | #157 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Spencer Steer | #136 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Elly De La Cruz | #101 | 50 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Sal Stewart | #81 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Ernie Clement | #162 | 25 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Andrés Giménez | #154 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Nathan Lukes | #143 | 28 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | #129 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Jesús Sánchez | #128 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Brandon Valenzuela | #112 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Daulton Varsho | #104 | 52 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Gleyber Torres | #188 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Javier Baez | #173 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Colt Keith | #158 | 34 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Zach McKinstry | #98 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Wenceel Perez | #87 | 37 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Dillon Dingler | #82 | 33 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Spencer Torkelson | #80 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Riley Greene | #41 | 48 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Kerry Carpenter | #8 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-02 | Drew Waters | #52 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-02 | Michael Massey | #51 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-02 | Kyle Isbel | #48 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-02 | Jonathan India | #45 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-02 | Maikel Garcia | #33 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-02 | Bobby Witt Jr. | #22 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-02 | Jac Caglianone | #13 | 34 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-02 | Salvador Perez | #11 | 43 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-02 | Vinnie Pasquantino | #10 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Adley Rutschman | #88 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Dylan Carlson | #85 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Ryan Mountcastle | #79 | 40 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Jackson Holliday | #51 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Coby Mayo | #40 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Gunnar Henderson | #38 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Tyler O'Neill | #31 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Jordan Westburg | #19 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Colton Cowser | #5 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |