Tomoyuki Sugano
RHP
COL
15
HRs Allowed
11.5%
HR Rate (Pool)
18.5%
Overall HR/FB
5.27
FIP
4.6
xFIP
+0.67
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
18.5%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
87th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
78.3%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.27
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
84th pctile
4.6
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.67
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
80th pctile
11.5%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
130
Pool Matchups
15
HRs Allowed (Pool)
26
Top-15 Matchups
5
HRs to Top-15
11.5%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 18.8% | 1.5 | 100.9mph | 104.9mph | 24.7° | 424ft | Up +7.3pp |
| Last 15 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 16.0% | 1.33 | 100.2mph | 105.1mph | 25.5° | 424ft | Up +4.5pp |
| Last 30 | 49 | 6 | 7 | 14.3% | 1.17 | 101.1mph | 105.5mph | 24.6° | 407ft | Up +2.8pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
100.2
Avg Max EV
116.7
Max EV Allowed
90
Hard-Hit Proxy · 78.3%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
105.4
Avg HR EV
25.1°
Avg HR Launch
410
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Spencer Horwitz | 106.3mph | 102.7mph | 32° | 434ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-20 | Brandon Lowe | 104.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Nick Kurtz | 111.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Tyler Soderstrom | 108.2mph | 108.2mph | 22° | 462ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-14 | Alika Williams | 106.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Jonah Heim | 105.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Lawrence Butler | 105.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Zack Gelof | 104.4mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Spencer Horwitz | #26 | 66 | Coors Field | 102.7mph | 32.0° | 434ft |
| 2026-06-14 | Max Muncy | #6 | 81 | Las Vegas Ballpark | 103.8mph | 20.0° | 375ft |
| 2026-06-14 | Tyler Soderstrom | #10 | 73 | Las Vegas Ballpark | 108.2mph | 22.0° | 462ft |
| 2026-06-09 | Michael Busch | #66 | 52 | Coors Field | 105.6mph | 28.0° | 424ft |
| 2026-05-27 | Shohei Ohtani | #14 | 72 | Dodger Stadium | 111.3mph | 21.0° | 424.0ft |
| 2026-05-27 | Andy Pages | #27 | 68 | Dodger Stadium | 106.0mph | 21.0° | 352.0ft |
| 2026-05-27 | Freddie Freeman | #31 | 67 | Dodger Stadium | 100.6mph | 28.0° | 378.0ft |
| 2026-05-10 | Kyle Schwarber | #5 | 57 | Citizens Bank Park | 109.1mph | 19.0° | 378.0ft |
| 2026-05-10 | Bryce Harper | #23 | 50 | Citizens Bank Park | 101.8mph | 29.0° | 411.0ft |
| 2026-05-04 | Carson Benge | #49 | 41 | Coors Field | 104.6mph | 31.0° | 436.0ft |
| 2026-04-17 | Max Muncy | #21 | 71 | Coors Field | 105.2mph | 29.0° | 419.0ft |
| 2026-04-10 | Luis Campusano | #103 | 39 | Petco Park | 106.6mph | 22.0° | 396.0ft |
| 2026-04-10 | Gavin Sheets | #132 | 38 | Petco Park | 109.2mph | 26.0° | 434.0ft |
| 2026-03-30 | George Springer | #7 | 60 | Rogers Centre | 105.2mph | 25.0° | 416.0ft |
| 2026-03-30 | Andres Gimenez | #111 | 31 | Rogers Centre | 101.7mph | 24.0° | 406.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 306 | 22.2% | +0.5 | 87.4 | 26.5° | 4 |
| Splitter | 278 | 20.2% | -0.5 | 81.2 | 5.2° | 2 |
| Sinker | 244 | 17.7% | +0.9 | 88.0 | 20.4° | 1 |
| Slider | 160 | 11.6% | +0.9 | 83.9 | 18.0° | 2 |
| Cutter | 154 | 11.2% | +3.0 | 84.0 | 27.1° | 5 |
| Sweeper | 145 | 10.5% | -0.8 | 83.1 | 31.0° | 0 |
| Curveball | 90 | 6.5% | +0.5 | 81.5 | 3.4° | 1 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
78.3%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Jake Mangum | #199 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Nick Gonzales | #174 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Marcell Ozuna | #82 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Ryan O'Hearn | #42 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Spencer Horwitz | #26 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-20 | Bryan Reynolds | #10 | 75 | 🟡 B | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Brandon Lowe | #2 | 82 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Jeff McNeil | #192 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Alika Williams | #179 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Lawrence Butler | #103 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Carlos Cortes | #50 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Zack Gelof | #22 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Tyler Soderstrom | #10 | 73 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-14 | Max Muncy | #6 | 81 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-14 | Jonah Heim | #4 | 84 | 🟢 A | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Nick Kurtz | #1 | 89 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Nico Hoerner | #139 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Alex Bregman | #117 | 45 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Dansby Swanson | #83 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Michael Busch | #66 | 52 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-09 | Moisés Ballesteros | #56 | 54 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Miguel Amaya | #29 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Seiya Suzuki | #11 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #3 | 78 | 🟡 B | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Ian Happ | #1 | 90 | 🔥 A+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Vaughn Grissom | #74 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Jo Adell | #38 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Oswald Peraza | #36 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Zach Neto | #35 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Jorge Soler | #29 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Mike Trout | #2 | 83 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Hyeseong Kim | #186 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Alex Freeland | #94 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Kyle Tucker | #93 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Will Smith | #52 | 59 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Freddie Freeman | #31 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-27 | Teoscar Hernández | #30 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Andy Pages | #27 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-27 | Shohei Ohtani | #14 | 72 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-27 | Max Muncy | #4 | 81 | 🟢 A | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Jose Fernandez | #233 | 21 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Geraldo Perdomo | #227 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Alek Thomas | #189 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Adrian Del Castillo | #172 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Ildemaro Vargas | #145 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Jorge Barrosa | #137 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Nolan Arenado | #111 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Ketel Marte | #86 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Corbin Carroll | #27 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-16 | James McCann | #149 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Jose Fernandez | #139 | 40 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | #124 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Geraldo Perdomo | #108 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Ketel Marte | #63 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Ildemaro Vargas | #53 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Nolan Arenado | #43 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Corbin Carroll | #23 | 75 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Ryan Waldschmidt | #5 | 87 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Justin Crawford | #100 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Bryson Stott | #82 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Alec Bohm | #81 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | J.T. Realmuto | #53 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Brandon Marsh | #46 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Trea Turner | #37 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Adolis García | #27 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Bryce Harper | #23 | 50 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-10 | Kyle Schwarber | #5 | 57 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-04 | Marcus Semien | #89 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Luis Robert Jr. | #73 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Brett Baty | #63 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Carson Benge | #49 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-04 | Francisco Lindor | #48 | 41 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Bo Bichette | #39 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Mark Vientos | #21 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Francisco Alvarez | #20 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Juan Soto | #7 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Eugenio Suárez | #73 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Tyler Stephenson | #40 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Matt McLain | #39 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Ke'Bryan Hayes | #31 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | TJ Friedl | #30 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Spencer Steer | #8 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Sal Stewart | #7 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Nathaniel Lowe | #2 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Elly De La Cruz | #1 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Miguel Andujar | #93 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Nick Castellanos | #85 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Manny Machado | #63 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Jake Cronenworth | #56 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Xander Bogaerts | #44 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | #36 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Jackson Merrill | #24 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Gavin Sheets | #21 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Ramón Laureano | #4 | 76 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Alex Freeland | #100 | 47 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Kyle Tucker | #91 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Will Smith | #76 | 54 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Mookie Betts | #41 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Max Muncy | #21 | 71 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-17 | Teoscar Hernández | #19 | 72 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Andy Pages | #14 | 75 | 🟡 B | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Freddie Freeman | #13 | 75 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Shohei Ohtani | #4 | 85 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Xander Bogaerts | #210 | 30 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Jake Cronenworth | #194 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Miguel Andujar | #155 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Gavin Sheets | #132 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-04-10 | Manny Machado | #119 | 41 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Jackson Merrill | #113 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | #106 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Luis Campusano | #103 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-10 | Ramón Laureano | #59 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Bryson Stott | #92 | 39 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-05 | J.T. Realmuto | #65 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Trea Turner | #64 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Alec Bohm | #52 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Nick Castellanos | #42 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Brandon Marsh | #30 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Max Kepler | #27 | 50 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Bryce Harper | #10 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Kyle Schwarber | #3 | 70 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Ernie Clement | #180 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Myles Straw | #167 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Andres Gimenez | #111 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-03-30 | Alejandro Kirk | #77 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Nathan Lukes | #71 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Bo Bichette | #61 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | #35 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Addison Barger | #26 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | George Springer | #7 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |