Joey Cantillo
LHP
CLE
11
HRs Allowed
8.4%
HR Rate (Pool)
14.7%
Overall HR/FB
4.13
FIP
4.07
xFIP
+0.06
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.73
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
14.7%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
70th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
60.0%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.13
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
54th pctile
4.07
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.06
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
53th pctile
8.4%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
131
Pool Matchups
11
HRs Allowed (Pool)
4
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
8.4%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 6.7% | 0.5 | 93.8mph | 104.0mph | 26.0° | 361ft | Flat -1.7pp |
| Last 15 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 4.2% | 0.33 | 95.1mph | 104.0mph | 26.0° | 361ft | Down -4.2pp |
| Last 30 | 41 | 5 | 6 | 14.6% | 1.2 | 96.3mph | 103.6mph | 26.8° | 384ft | Up +6.2pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
95.6
Avg Max EV
111.3
Max EV Allowed
69
Hard-Hit Proxy · 60.0%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
103.9
Avg HR EV
27.6°
Avg HR Launch
386
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Josh Naylor | 105.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Colt Emerson | 104.0mph | 104.0mph | 26° | 361ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-26 | Julio Rodríguez | 103.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Randy Arozarena | 101.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Gleyber Torres | 106.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Kevin McGonigle | 105.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Matt Vierling | 104.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Dillon Dingler | 102.1mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Colt Emerson | #57 | 56 | Progressive Field | 104.0mph | 26.0° | 361ft |
| 2026-06-07 | Josh Jung | #151 | 37 | Globe Life Field | 100.4mph | 30.0° | 382ft |
| 2026-06-07 | Wyatt Langford | #170 | 33 | Globe Life Field | 111.3mph | 21.0° | 381ft |
| 2026-06-07 | Justin Foscue | #175 | 32 | Globe Life Field | 106.5mph | 25.0° | 417ft |
| 2026-06-07 | Michael Helman | #233 | 13 | Globe Life Field | 96.2mph | 31.0° | 378ft |
| 2026-06-02 | Paul Goldschmidt | #80 | 50 | Yankee Stadium | 103.0mph | 28.0° | 386ft |
| 2026-05-26 | James Wood | #6 | 77 | Progressive Field | 109.8mph | 28.0° | 401.0ft |
| 2026-05-21 | Dillon Dingler | #23 | 51 | Comerica Park | 99.6mph | 35.0° | 371.0ft |
| 2026-05-16 | Dane Myers | #101 | 47 | Progressive Field | 95.5mph | 30.0° | 354.0ft |
| 2026-05-01 | Brent Rooker | #99 | 32 | Sutter Health Park | 108.9mph | 25.0° | 422.0ft |
| 2026-04-19 | Taylor Ward | #164 | 37 | Progressive Field | 107.4mph | 25.0° | 394.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 546 | 38.7% | +1.3 | 85.4 | 26.6° | 7 |
| Changeup | 404 | 28.7% | -1.0 | 74.7 | 3.3° | 2 |
| Curveball | 303 | 21.5% | -1.4 | 80.2 | -8.8° | 0 |
| Slider | 110 | 7.8% | +0.4 | 83.9 | 7.6° | 0 |
| Cutter | 47 | 3.3% | +7.1 | 80.5 | 21.9° | 2 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
60.0%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Josh Naylor | #198 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Rob Refsnyder | #196 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Cole Young | #178 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Randy Arozarena | #150 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Cal Raleigh | #135 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Julio Rodríguez | #111 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Colt Emerson | #57 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-26 | Dominic Canzone | #16 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Yainer Diaz | #180 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Jake Meyers | #155 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Jeremy Peña | #127 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Isaac Paredes | #119 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Cam Smith | #94 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Brice Matthews | #79 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Christian Walker | #38 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Jahmai Jones | #160 | 36 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Kevin McGonigle | #148 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Matt Vierling | #141 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Hao-Yu Lee | #96 | 49 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Gleyber Torres | #86 | 51 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Riley Greene | #52 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Spencer Torkelson | #49 | 57 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Wenceel Pérez | #28 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Dillon Dingler | #12 | 75 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Michael Helman | #233 | 13 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-07 | Justin Foscue | #175 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-07 | Wyatt Langford | #170 | 33 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | 💥 |
| 2026-06-07 | Ezequiel Duran | #169 | 34 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Josh Jung | #151 | 37 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-07 | Brandon Nimmo | #110 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Jake Burger | #88 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Joc Pederson | #37 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | José Caballero | #207 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Austin Wells | #188 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Anthony Volpe | #130 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Trent Grisham | #125 | 42 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | #122 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Paul Goldschmidt | #80 | 50 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-02 | Cody Bellinger | #77 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Amed Rosario | #28 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Ben Rice | #16 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Nasim Nuñez | #248 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Andrés Chaparro | #209 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Dylan Crews | #62 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Daylen Lile | #52 | 59 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Jacob Young | #43 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Keibert Ruiz | #38 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-26 | CJ Abrams | #26 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Curtis Mead | #25 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | James Wood | #6 | 77 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-21 | Wenceel Pérez | #109 | 17 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Kevin McGonigle | #78 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Matt Vierling | #72 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Hao-Yu Lee | #67 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Riley Greene | #43 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Spencer Torkelson | #42 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Jahmai Jones | #35 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Zack Short | #26 | 50 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Dillon Dingler | #23 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-16 | Ke'Bryan Hayes | #169 | 35 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Blake Dunn | #168 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Jose Trevino | #150 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Matt McLain | #126 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Dane Myers | #101 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-16 | Spencer Steer | #38 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Sal Stewart | #31 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Elly De La Cruz | #28 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | JJ Bleday | #14 | 79 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Logan O'Hoppe | #98 | 15 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Oswald Peraza | #97 | 16 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Yoán Moncada | #95 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Nolan Schanuel | #94 | 18 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Jo Adell | #89 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Zach Neto | #88 | 22 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Josh Lowe | #84 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Jorge Soler | #77 | 25 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Mike Trout | #64 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Maikel Garcia | #123 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Lane Thomas | #76 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Isaac Collins | #75 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Jac Caglianone | #70 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Salvador Perez | #69 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Bobby Witt Jr. | #57 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Vinnie Pasquantino | #43 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Kyle Isbel | #33 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Carter Jensen | #18 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Brent Rooker | #99 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-05-01 | Lawrence Butler | #54 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Jeff McNeil | #53 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Jacob Wilson | #52 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Max Muncy | #48 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Tyler Soderstrom | #40 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Nick Kurtz | #39 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Shea Langeliers | #18 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Carlos Cortes | #5 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Nathan Lukes | #156 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Ernie Clement | #125 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Andrés Giménez | #107 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Daulton Varsho | #101 | 53 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | George Springer | #54 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Jesús Sánchez | #53 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | #47 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Davis Schneider | #40 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Kazuma Okamoto | #39 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · — | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Sam Huff | #235 | 22 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Weston Wilson | #206 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Blaze Alexander | #202 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Coby Mayo | #186 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Johnathan Rodríguez | #169 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Taylor Ward | #164 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-19 | Pete Alonso | #67 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Jeremiah Jackson | #47 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Gunnar Henderson | #27 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Drew Waters | #236 | 22 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Michael Massey | #234 | 22 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Kyle Isbel | #168 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Maikel Garcia | #160 | 34 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Jac Caglianone | #156 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Jonathan India | #155 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Bobby Witt Jr. | #103 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Vinnie Pasquantino | #83 | 43 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Salvador Perez | #64 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Ben Williamson | #244 | 16 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Cole Young | #225 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | J.P. Crawford | #192 | 24 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Mitch Garver | #164 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Jorge Polanco | #113 | 41 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Randy Arozarena | #109 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Dominic Canzone | #90 | 39 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Julio Rodriguez | #81 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Cal Raleigh | #42 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |