NYY
@
7:10p
BOS
Stadium Conditions
Fenway Park
First pitch 7:10p
· roof open
Park 0.98×
Wind 5 mph in
75°F
open
-2
2 mph · cross
66°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
2 mph · cross
66°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
2 mph · cross
66°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
2 mph · cross
66°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
2 mph · cross
66°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Neutral · Combined 0.98
75°F, wind 5 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +0 — mild park boost, weather flat.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Paul Goldschmidt | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 21 | 0.263 | 87.0 | 9.1% | 42.1% vs LHP | 391 | 20.5% | 41.7% | 27.8% | 40 |
| 2 |
|
Amed Rosario | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 79 | 0.219 | 90.6 | 8.8% | 15.0% vs LHP | 399 | 11.8% | 20.0% | 14.1% | 16 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Jones | 49 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 91 | 0.219 | 96.8 | 4.7% | 23.5% | 443 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 28.4% | 10 |
| 4 |
|
Cody Bellinger | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 114 | 0.187 | 89.1 | 7.2% | 17.4% vs LHP | 379 | 12.3% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 39 |
| 5 |
|
Jasson Dominguez | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 132 | 0.250 | 89.9 | 4.8% | 16.7% vs LHP | 362 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.6% | 31 |
| 6 |
|
Jose Caballero | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 206 | 0.136 | 84.1 | 4.8% | 30.0% vs LHP | 375 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.9% | 30 |
| 7 |
|
Anthony Volpe | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 219 | 0.099 | 88.3 | 5.1% | 14.3% vs LHP | 409 | 2.6% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 27 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 51 | 0.229 | 90.1 | 9.3% | 33.3% vs RHP | 402 | 18.7% | 15.4% | 27.2% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 93 | 0.173 | 89.7 | 8.8% | 13.0% vs RHP | 402 | 13.3% | 25.0% | 16.1% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Jarren Duran ⚡ | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 113 | 0.162 | 89.6 | 8.6% | 36.7% vs RHP | 396 | 14.7% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 39 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 153 | 0.175 | 86.4 | 6.1% | 15.4% vs RHP | 370 | 9.5% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 43 |
| 5 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 179 | 0.137 | 84.9 | 4.5% | 17.4% vs RHP | 381 | 7.0% | 25.0% | 13.7% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Carlos Narvaez | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 214 | 0.088 | 91.4 | 7.4% | 11.1% vs RHP | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 10 |
| 7 |
|
Marcelo Mayer | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 220 | 0.093 | 86.1 | 6.4% | 2.9% vs RHP | 388 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 24 |
| 8 |
|
Masataka Yoshida ⚡ | 23 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 233 | 0.094 | 88.2 | 3.2% | 3.3% vs RHP | 393 | 3.7% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 18 |