2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
NYY
@ 7:10p
BOS
Fenway Park · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Fenway Park

First pitch 7:10p · roof open
Park 0.98× Wind 5 mph in 75°F open
-2
2 mph · cross
66°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
2 mph · cross
66°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
2 mph · cross
66°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
2 mph · cross
66°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
2 mph · cross
66°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Neutral · Combined 0.98

75°F, wind 5 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +0 — mild park boost, weather flat.

Payton Tolle
Payton Tolle LHP
0.86 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.65 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Paul Goldschmidt Paul Goldschmidt 65 🔵 C+ · · 21 0.263 87.0 9.1% 42.1% vs LHP 391 20.5% 41.7% 27.8% 40
2 Amed Rosario Amed Rosario 52 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 79 0.219 90.6 8.8% 15.0% vs LHP 399 11.8% 20.0% 14.1% 16
3 Spencer Jones Spencer Jones 49 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 91 0.219 96.8 4.7% 23.5% 443 14.3% 14.3% 28.4% 10
4 Cody Bellinger Cody Bellinger 46 ⚪ D · · 114 0.187 89.1 7.2% 17.4% vs LHP 379 12.3% 15.4% 13.9% 39
5 Jasson Dominguez Jasson Dominguez 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 132 0.250 89.9 4.8% 16.7% vs LHP 362 0.0% 0.0% 16.6% 31
6 Jose Caballero Jose Caballero 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 206 0.136 84.1 4.8% 30.0% vs LHP 375 0.0% 0.0% 13.9% 30
7 Anthony Volpe Anthony Volpe 27 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 219 0.099 88.3 5.1% 14.3% vs LHP 409 2.6% 0.0% 6.6% 27
Will Warren
Will Warren RHP
0.87 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.13 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 57 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 51 0.229 90.1 9.3% 33.3% vs RHP 402 18.7% 15.4% 27.2% 34
2 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 49 ⚪ D · · 93 0.173 89.7 8.8% 13.0% vs RHP 402 13.3% 25.0% 16.1% 38
3 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 113 0.162 89.6 8.6% 36.7% vs RHP 396 14.7% 16.7% 15.4% 32
4 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 39 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 153 0.175 86.4 6.1% 15.4% vs RHP 370 9.5% 7.7% 10.1% 43
5 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 179 0.137 84.9 4.5% 17.4% vs RHP 381 7.0% 25.0% 13.7% 36
6 Carlos Narvaez Carlos Narvaez 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 214 0.088 91.4 7.4% 11.1% vs RHP 386 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 10
7 Marcelo Mayer Marcelo Mayer 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 220 0.093 86.1 6.4% 2.9% vs RHP 388 3.6% 0.0% 6.4% 24
8 Masataka Yoshida Masataka Yoshida 23 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 233 0.094 88.2 3.2% 3.3% vs RHP 393 3.7% 0.0% 6.5% 18
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