2026
Pricing
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15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
Payton Tolle
Payton Tolle LHP BOS
112 matchups scored · 13 game days
12 HRs Allowed
10.7% HR Rate (Pool)
10.5% Overall HR/FB
2.94 FIP
3.39 xFIP
-0.45 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot ?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards. Pool + today context
0.92
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
10.5%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
32th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
68.5%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
2.94
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
15th pctile
3.39
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.45
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
25th pctile
10.7%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
112
Pool Matchups
12
HRs Allowed (Pool)
4
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
10.7%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 14 2 1 7.1% 0.5 99.9mph 100.4mph 28.0° 348ft Down -3.6pp
Last 15 22 3 4 18.2% 1.33 97.3mph 105.1mph 27.0° 404ft Up +7.5pp
Last 30 49 6 7 14.3% 1.17 97.0mph 105.2mph 28.0° 407ft Up +3.6pp
Batted-Ball Damage
89 tracked BBE from 112 pool matchups
97.4
Avg Max EV
113.6
Max EV Allowed
61
Hard-Hit Proxy · 68.5%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
104.5
Avg HR EV
29.2°
Avg HR Launch
400
Avg HR Distance
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-26 Jasson Domínguez 107.9mph · · · ·
2026-06-26 Anthony Volpe 106.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-26 Paul Goldschmidt 105.2mph · · · ·
2026-06-21 Cole Young 103.7mph · · · ·
2026-06-21 Julio Rodríguez 102.1mph · · · ·
2026-06-21 Weston Wilson 100.8mph · · · ·
2026-06-21 Josh Naylor 100.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-21 Rob Refsnyder 100.6mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
13 days · 12 total HRs
HRs Allowed
12 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-21 Dominic Canzone #60 58 T-Mobile Park 100.4mph 28.0° 348ft
2026-06-16 George Springer #170 36 Fenway Park 109.2mph 24.0° 438ft
2026-06-16 Davis Schneider #191 32 Fenway Park 105.7mph 32.0° 419ft
2026-06-16 Andrés Giménez #213 23 Fenway Park 104.9mph 24.0° 413ft
2026-05-28 Michael Harris II #19 55 Fenway Park 104.1mph 36.0° 396.0ft
2026-05-28 Ronald Acuña Jr. #79 32 Fenway Park 107.9mph 27.0° 417.0ft
2026-05-28 Ozzie Albies #88 28 Fenway Park 104.4mph 25.0° 416.0ft
2026-05-22 Byron Buxton #12 70 Fenway Park 109.4mph 32.0° 419.0ft
2026-05-22 Austin Martin #256 13 Fenway Park 98.2mph 33.0° 377.0ft
2026-05-16 Drake Baldwin #21 76 Truist Park 106.2mph 22.0° 421.0ft
2026-05-10 Junior Caminero #164 22 Fenway Park 105.2mph 31.0° 404.0ft
2026-04-23 Jazz Chisholm Jr. #127 21 Fenway Park 98.0mph 36.0° 333.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 471 49.5% -0.9 78.8 35.1° 2
Sinker 223 23.4% +1.0 84.6 14.0° 1
Cutter 153 16.1% -1.8 80.9 26.2° 1
Curveball 75 7.9% -0.7 85.1 15.0° 1
Changeup 29 3.0% -0.0 87.8 39.3° 1
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
68.5%
68.5%
All Scored Matchups
112 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-26 Anthony Volpe #219 27 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-26 José Caballero #167 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-26 Cody Bellinger #117 46 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-26 Spencer Jones #94 49 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-26 Jasson Domínguez #84 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-26 Amed Rosario #78 52 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-26 Paul Goldschmidt #22 65 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-21 Weston Wilson #229 20 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Rob Refsnyder #211 27 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-21 Josh Naylor #208 28 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Cole Young #203 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-21 Cal Raleigh #190 34 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-21 Julio Rodríguez #143 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-21 Dominic Canzone #60 58 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-16 Nathan Lukes #225 12 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-16 Myles Straw #221 15 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-16 Andrés Giménez #213 23 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-16 Ernie Clement #197 30 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-16 Davis Schneider #191 32 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-06-16 George Springer #170 36 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-16 Kazuma Okamoto #115 46 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-16 Alejandro Kirk #105 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-09 Nick Fortes #225 16 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-09 Ben Williamson #222 19 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-09 Chandler Simpson #220 20 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-09 Austin Slater #219 20 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-09 Richie Palacios #212 24 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-09 Ryan Vilade #176 35 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-09 Cedric Mullins #125 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-09 Junior Caminero #50 56 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-09 Yandy Díaz #40 58 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-03 Tyler O'Neill #253 18 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-03 Taylor Ward #230 25 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-03 Blaze Alexander #202 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-03 Jackson Holliday #156 38 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-03 Adley Rutschman #109 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-03 Gunnar Henderson #91 48 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-03 Pete Alonso #76 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-03 Coby Mayo #73 52 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-03 Samuel Basallo #47 58 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-28 Mauricio Dubón #99 23 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-28 Ozzie Albies #88 28 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-28 Ronald Acuña Jr. #79 32 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-28 Jorge Mateo #78 32 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-28 Sandy León #69 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-28 Dominic Smith #53 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-28 Austin Riley #36 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-28 Michael Harris II #19 55 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-28 Matt Olson #16 58 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-22 Luke Keaschall #258 12 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-22 Austin Martin #256 13 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-22 Brooks Lee #240 19 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-22 Trevor Larnach #220 25 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-22 Victor Caratini #216 26 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-22 Matt Wallner #186 32 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-22 Josh Bell #162 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-22 Ryan Jeffers #47 54 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-22 Byron Buxton #12 70 🟡 B 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-16 Ha-Seong Kim #225 26 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-16 José Azócar #177 34 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-16 Mauricio Dubón #176 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-16 Ozzie Albies #137 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-16 Austin Riley #81 52 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-16 Sandy León #75 53 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-16 Michael Harris II #41 62 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-16 Drake Baldwin #21 76 🟡 B 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-16 Matt Olson #10 83 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-10 Cedric Mullins #250 3 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-10 Taylor Walls #243 7 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-10 Nick Fortes #242 7 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-10 Chandler Simpson #241 7 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-10 Jake Fraley #235 9 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-10 Ben Williamson #224 13 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-10 Jonathan Aranda #215 14 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-10 Yandy Díaz #171 21 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-10 Junior Caminero #164 22 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-09 Cedric Mullins #258 5 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-09 Taylor Walls #251 8 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-09 Nick Fortes #248 9 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-09 Chandler Simpson #247 9 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-09 Jake Fraley #232 13 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-09 Jonathan Aranda #223 15 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-09 Ben Williamson #214 17 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-09 Junior Caminero #186 20 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-09 Yandy Díaz #162 23 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-04 Colt Keith #193 4 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-04 Gleyber Torres #192 4 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-04 Matt Vierling #178 11 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-04 Dillon Dingler #170 13 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-04 Kevin McGonigle #164 15 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-04 Javier Báez #161 16 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-04 Riley Greene #160 16 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-04 Kerry Carpenter #144 21 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-04 Spencer Torkelson #128 25 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-28 Nathan Lukes #158 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-28 Ernie Clement #157 33 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-28 Andrés Giménez #133 39 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-28 Daulton Varsho #129 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-28 George Springer #92 47 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-28 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. #79 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-28 Davis Schneider #74 52 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-28 Jesús Sánchez #69 53 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-28 Kazuma Okamoto #66 55 🟠 C · — ·
2026-04-23 Austin Wells #141 17 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-23 José Caballero #133 19 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-23 Jazz Chisholm Jr. #127 21 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-23 Trent Grisham #95 33 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-23 Randal Grichuk #70 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-23 Amed Rosario #48 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-23 Giancarlo Stanton #36 50 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-23 Ben Rice #15 61 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-23 Aaron Judge #14 62 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
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