2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
Will Warren
Will Warren RHP NYY
139 matchups scored · 16 game days
15 HRs Allowed
10.8% HR Rate (Pool)
14.8% Overall HR/FB
3.04 FIP
3.05 xFIP
-0.01 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
0.94
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
14.8%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
71th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
73.2%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.04
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
17th pctile
3.05
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.01
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
48th pctile
10.8%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
139
Pool Matchups
15
HRs Allowed (Pool)
19
Top-15 Matchups
2
HRs to Top-15
10.8%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 16 2 2 12.5% 1.0 101.5mph 107.1mph 35.0° 412ft Flat +1.7pp
Last 15 23 3 3 13.0% 1.0 100.1mph 106.4mph 31.7° 413ft Up +2.2pp
Last 30 49 6 6 12.2% 1.0 100.0mph 106.4mph 28.2° 411ft Flat +1.4pp
Batted-Ball Damage
112 tracked BBE from 139 pool matchups
99.7
115.0
82
0
105.6
28.5°
399
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-26 Willson Contreras 111.9mph 111.9mph 36° 418ft Yes
2026-06-26 Wilyer Abreu 105.8mph · · · ·
2026-06-26 Caleb Durbin 105.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-20 Blake Dunn 105.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-20 Sal Stewart 104.0mph · · · ·
2026-06-20 Spencer Steer 102.3mph 102.3mph 34° 407ft Yes
2026-06-20 Nathaniel Lowe 102.3mph · · · ·
2026-06-20 Jose Trevino 100.8mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
16 days · 15 total HRs
HRs Allowed
15 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-26 Willson Contreras #52 57 Fenway Park 111.9mph 36.0° 418ft
2026-06-20 Spencer Steer #59 56 Yankee Stadium 102.3mph 34.0° 407ft
2026-06-14 Davis Schneider #184 33 Rogers Centre 105.1mph 25.0° 413ft
2026-06-08 Angel Martínez #82 40 Progressive Field 105.1mph 27.0° 414ft
2026-05-31 Brent Rooker #116 47 Sutter Health Park 108.6mph 24.0° 404ft
2026-05-31 Jonah Heim #220 30 Sutter Health Park 105.7mph 23.0° 409ft
2026-05-25 Salvador Perez #92 46 Kauffman Stadium 107.3mph 24.0° 422.0ft
2026-05-25 Bobby Witt Jr. #116 42 Kauffman Stadium 108.7mph 28.0° 432.0ft
2026-05-06 Corey Seager #23 49 Yankee Stadium 101.7mph 42.0° 350.0ft
2026-05-06 Evan Carter #92 37 Yankee Stadium 99.6mph 26.0° 368.0ft
2026-05-01 Pete Alonso #10 49 Yankee Stadium 107.6mph 30.0° 367.0ft
2026-04-24 Yainer Diaz #94 57 Minute Maid Park 104.9mph 26.0° 387.0ft
2026-04-18 Carter Jensen #19 73 Yankee Stadium 103.4mph 26.0° 357.0ft
2026-04-13 Mike Trout #13 50 Yankee Stadium 109.2mph 25.0° 445.0ft
2026-03-28 Dominic Smith #183 26 Oracle Park 102.4mph 32.0° 386.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 569 40.9% -0.9 84.2 31.3° 4
Sinker 378 27.2% -0.0 86.4 5.4° 3
Sweeper 288 20.7% +1.3 80.8 16.3° 1
Changeup 116 8.3% -0.6 76.9 -12.2° 0
Curveball 40 2.9% -0.4 84.6 11.9° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
73.2%
73.2%
All Scored Matchups
139 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-26 Masataka Yoshida #233 23 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-26 Marcelo Mayer #220 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-26 Carlos Narváez #209 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-26 Caleb Durbin #179 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-26 Ceddanne Rafaela #151 39 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-26 Jarren Duran #116 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-26 Wilyer Abreu #96 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-26 Willson Contreras #52 57 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-20 Blake Dunn #197 27 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-20 Jose Trevino #190 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-20 Nathaniel Lowe #74 52 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-20 Matt McLain #65 55 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-20 Spencer Steer #59 56 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-20 Sal Stewart #56 57 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-20 Noelvi Marte #23 67 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-20 JJ Bleday #17 69 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-14 Nathan Lukes #221 21 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-14 Davis Schneider #184 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-14 Ernie Clement #160 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-14 George Springer #109 46 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-14 Jesús Sánchez #62 57 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-14 Alejandro Kirk #52 58 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-14 Kazuma Okamoto #46 59 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-08 Steven Kwan #123 16 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-08 Patrick Bailey #121 22 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-08 Daniel Schneemann #117 25 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-08 Brayan Rocchio #105 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-08 Chase DeLauter #96 36 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-08 Angel Martínez #82 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-08 Kyle Manzardo #81 40 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-08 Travis Bazzana #79 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-08 José Ramírez #77 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-06 Marcelo Mayer #222 22 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-06 Mickey Gasper #211 26 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-06 Caleb Durbin #183 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-06 Ceddanne Rafaela #142 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-06 Masataka Yoshida #131 42 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-06 Wilyer Abreu #124 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-06 Jarren Duran #55 56 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-06 Willson Contreras #33 63 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-31 Darell Hernaiz #258 19 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Jonah Heim #220 30 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-31 Lawrence Butler #205 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Jeff McNeil #172 39 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-31 Carlos Cortes #143 42 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-31 Brent Rooker #116 47 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-31 Zack Gelof #109 48 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Tyler Soderstrom #83 53 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Nick Kurtz #59 59 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-25 Kyle Isbel #213 22 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-25 Vinnie Pasquantino #210 23 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-25 Maikel Garcia #209 23 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-25 Isaac Collins #202 26 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-25 Carter Jensen #194 28 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-25 Michael Massey #188 29 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-25 Jac Caglianone #117 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-25 Bobby Witt Jr. #116 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-25 Salvador Perez #92 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-19 Tyler Heineman #229 20 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-19 Yohendrick Piñango #219 25 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-19 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. #171 34 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-19 Jesús Sánchez #117 42 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-19 Andrés Giménez #109 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-19 George Springer #108 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-19 Davis Schneider #88 47 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-19 Daulton Varsho #78 50 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-19 Kazuma Okamoto #17 71 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-12 Blaze Alexander #239 13 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-12 Taylor Ward #174 27 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-12 Dylan Beavers #166 28 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-12 Leody Taveras #104 34 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-12 Jeremiah Jackson #83 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-12 Coby Mayo #61 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-12 Pete Alonso #48 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-12 Samuel Basallo #30 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-12 Gunnar Henderson #19 50 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-06 Josh Smith #154 28 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-06 Evan Carter #92 37 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-06 Danny Jansen #55 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-06 Jake Burger #54 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-06 Wyatt Langford #49 43 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-05-06 Joc Pederson #24 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-06 Corey Seager #23 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-06 Brandon Nimmo #20 50 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-06 Josh Jung #3 58 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-01 Blaze Alexander #89 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-01 Leody Taveras #21 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-01 Jeremiah Jackson #15 46 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-01 Dylan Beavers #14 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-01 Pete Alonso #10 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-01 Samuel Basallo #8 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-01 Gunnar Henderson #7 51 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-01 Taylor Ward #6 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-01 Coby Mayo #2 55 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-24 Dustin Harris #155 43 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Carlos Correa #130 48 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-24 Brice Matthews #112 53 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-24 Jose Altuve #111 53 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Isaac Paredes #110 53 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-24 Yainer Diaz #94 57 🟠 C 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-04-24 Christian Walker #58 64 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-24 Cam Smith #51 66 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Yordan Alvarez #4 88 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-18 Kyle Isbel #118 47 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-18 Isaac Collins #104 49 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-18 Jonathan India #93 52 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-18 Vinnie Pasquantino #92 52 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-18 Salvador Perez #75 56 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-18 Bobby Witt Jr. #74 56 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-18 Maikel Garcia #63 60 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-18 Jac Caglianone #45 63 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-18 Carter Jensen #19 73 🟡 B ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-13 Nolan Schanuel #45 26 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-13 Luis Rengifo #44 28 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-13 Logan O'Hoppe #25 35 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-13 Mike Trout #13 50 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-13 Taylor Ward #11 34 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-13 Jorge Soler #8 35 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-13 Jo Adell #7 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-13 Yoan Moncada #3 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-13 Zach Neto #2 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-08 Jacob Wilson #139 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-08 Luis Urias #127 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-08 Lawrence Butler #63 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-08 Tyler Soderstrom #48 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-08 JJ Bleday #43 48 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-08 Max Muncy #14 57 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-08 Nick Kurtz #11 68 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-08 Brent Rooker #7 56 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-08 Shea Langeliers #3 60 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-28 Patrick Bailey #224 24 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-28 Jung Hoo Lee #223 26 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-28 Tyler Fitzgerald #207 24 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-28 Dominic Smith #183 26 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-03-28 Wilmer Flores #158 28 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-28 Heliot Ramos #134 32 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-28 Casey Schmitt #132 34 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-28 Matt Chapman #107 39 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-28 Willy Adames #103 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
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