Will Warren
RHP
NYY
15
HRs Allowed
10.8%
HR Rate (Pool)
14.8%
Overall HR/FB
3.04
FIP
3.05
xFIP
-0.01
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.94
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
14.8%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
71th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
73.2%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.04
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
17th pctile
3.05
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.01
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
48th pctile
10.8%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
139
Pool Matchups
15
HRs Allowed (Pool)
19
Top-15 Matchups
2
HRs to Top-15
10.8%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12.5% | 1.0 | 101.5mph | 107.1mph | 35.0° | 412ft | Flat +1.7pp |
| Last 15 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 13.0% | 1.0 | 100.1mph | 106.4mph | 31.7° | 413ft | Up +2.2pp |
| Last 30 | 49 | 6 | 6 | 12.2% | 1.0 | 100.0mph | 106.4mph | 28.2° | 411ft | Flat +1.4pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
99.7
Avg Max EV
115.0
Max EV Allowed
82
Hard-Hit Proxy · 73.2%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
105.6
Avg HR EV
28.5°
Avg HR Launch
399
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Willson Contreras | 111.9mph | 111.9mph | 36° | 418ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-26 | Wilyer Abreu | 105.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Caleb Durbin | 105.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Blake Dunn | 105.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Sal Stewart | 104.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Spencer Steer | 102.3mph | 102.3mph | 34° | 407ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-20 | Nathaniel Lowe | 102.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Jose Trevino | 100.8mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Willson Contreras | #52 | 57 | Fenway Park | 111.9mph | 36.0° | 418ft |
| 2026-06-20 | Spencer Steer | #59 | 56 | Yankee Stadium | 102.3mph | 34.0° | 407ft |
| 2026-06-14 | Davis Schneider | #184 | 33 | Rogers Centre | 105.1mph | 25.0° | 413ft |
| 2026-06-08 | Angel Martínez | #82 | 40 | Progressive Field | 105.1mph | 27.0° | 414ft |
| 2026-05-31 | Brent Rooker | #116 | 47 | Sutter Health Park | 108.6mph | 24.0° | 404ft |
| 2026-05-31 | Jonah Heim | #220 | 30 | Sutter Health Park | 105.7mph | 23.0° | 409ft |
| 2026-05-25 | Salvador Perez | #92 | 46 | Kauffman Stadium | 107.3mph | 24.0° | 422.0ft |
| 2026-05-25 | Bobby Witt Jr. | #116 | 42 | Kauffman Stadium | 108.7mph | 28.0° | 432.0ft |
| 2026-05-06 | Corey Seager | #23 | 49 | Yankee Stadium | 101.7mph | 42.0° | 350.0ft |
| 2026-05-06 | Evan Carter | #92 | 37 | Yankee Stadium | 99.6mph | 26.0° | 368.0ft |
| 2026-05-01 | Pete Alonso | #10 | 49 | Yankee Stadium | 107.6mph | 30.0° | 367.0ft |
| 2026-04-24 | Yainer Diaz | #94 | 57 | Minute Maid Park | 104.9mph | 26.0° | 387.0ft |
| 2026-04-18 | Carter Jensen | #19 | 73 | Yankee Stadium | 103.4mph | 26.0° | 357.0ft |
| 2026-04-13 | Mike Trout | #13 | 50 | Yankee Stadium | 109.2mph | 25.0° | 445.0ft |
| 2026-03-28 | Dominic Smith | #183 | 26 | Oracle Park | 102.4mph | 32.0° | 386.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 569 | 40.9% | -0.9 | 84.2 | 31.3° | 4 |
| Sinker | 378 | 27.2% | -0.0 | 86.4 | 5.4° | 3 |
| Sweeper | 288 | 20.7% | +1.3 | 80.8 | 16.3° | 1 |
| Changeup | 116 | 8.3% | -0.6 | 76.9 | -12.2° | 0 |
| Curveball | 40 | 2.9% | -0.4 | 84.6 | 11.9° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
73.2%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Masataka Yoshida | #233 | 23 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Marcelo Mayer | #220 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Carlos Narváez | #209 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Caleb Durbin | #179 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #151 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Jarren Duran | #116 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Wilyer Abreu | #96 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Willson Contreras | #52 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-20 | Blake Dunn | #197 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Jose Trevino | #190 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Nathaniel Lowe | #74 | 52 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Matt McLain | #65 | 55 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Spencer Steer | #59 | 56 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-20 | Sal Stewart | #56 | 57 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Noelvi Marte | #23 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-20 | JJ Bleday | #17 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Nathan Lukes | #221 | 21 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Davis Schneider | #184 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-14 | Ernie Clement | #160 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | George Springer | #109 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Jesús Sánchez | #62 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Alejandro Kirk | #52 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Kazuma Okamoto | #46 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Steven Kwan | #123 | 16 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Patrick Bailey | #121 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Daniel Schneemann | #117 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Brayan Rocchio | #105 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Chase DeLauter | #96 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Angel Martínez | #82 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-08 | Kyle Manzardo | #81 | 40 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Travis Bazzana | #79 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-08 | José Ramírez | #77 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Marcelo Mayer | #222 | 22 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Mickey Gasper | #211 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Caleb Durbin | #183 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #142 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Masataka Yoshida | #131 | 42 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Wilyer Abreu | #124 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Jarren Duran | #55 | 56 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Willson Contreras | #33 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Darell Hernaiz | #258 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Jonah Heim | #220 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-31 | Lawrence Butler | #205 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Jeff McNeil | #172 | 39 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Carlos Cortes | #143 | 42 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Brent Rooker | #116 | 47 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-05-31 | Zack Gelof | #109 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Tyler Soderstrom | #83 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Nick Kurtz | #59 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Kyle Isbel | #213 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Vinnie Pasquantino | #210 | 23 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Maikel Garcia | #209 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Isaac Collins | #202 | 26 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Carter Jensen | #194 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Michael Massey | #188 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Jac Caglianone | #117 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Bobby Witt Jr. | #116 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-25 | Salvador Perez | #92 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-19 | Tyler Heineman | #229 | 20 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Yohendrick Piñango | #219 | 25 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | #171 | 34 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Jesús Sánchez | #117 | 42 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Andrés Giménez | #109 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | George Springer | #108 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Davis Schneider | #88 | 47 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Daulton Varsho | #78 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Kazuma Okamoto | #17 | 71 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Blaze Alexander | #239 | 13 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Taylor Ward | #174 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Dylan Beavers | #166 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Leody Taveras | #104 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Jeremiah Jackson | #83 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Coby Mayo | #61 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Pete Alonso | #48 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Samuel Basallo | #30 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Gunnar Henderson | #19 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Josh Smith | #154 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Evan Carter | #92 | 37 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-05-06 | Danny Jansen | #55 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Jake Burger | #54 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Wyatt Langford | #49 | 43 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Joc Pederson | #24 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Corey Seager | #23 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-06 | Brandon Nimmo | #20 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Josh Jung | #3 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Blaze Alexander | #89 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Leody Taveras | #21 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Jeremiah Jackson | #15 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Dylan Beavers | #14 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Pete Alonso | #10 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-01 | Samuel Basallo | #8 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Gunnar Henderson | #7 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Taylor Ward | #6 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Coby Mayo | #2 | 55 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Dustin Harris | #155 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Carlos Correa | #130 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Brice Matthews | #112 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Jose Altuve | #111 | 53 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Isaac Paredes | #110 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Yainer Diaz | #94 | 57 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | 💥 |
| 2026-04-24 | Christian Walker | #58 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Cam Smith | #51 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Yordan Alvarez | #4 | 88 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Kyle Isbel | #118 | 47 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Isaac Collins | #104 | 49 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Jonathan India | #93 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Vinnie Pasquantino | #92 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Salvador Perez | #75 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Bobby Witt Jr. | #74 | 56 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Maikel Garcia | #63 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Jac Caglianone | #45 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Carter Jensen | #19 | 73 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-13 | Nolan Schanuel | #45 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Luis Rengifo | #44 | 28 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Logan O'Hoppe | #25 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Mike Trout | #13 | 50 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-13 | Taylor Ward | #11 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Jorge Soler | #8 | 35 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Jo Adell | #7 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Yoan Moncada | #3 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Zach Neto | #2 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Jacob Wilson | #139 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Luis Urias | #127 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Lawrence Butler | #63 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Tyler Soderstrom | #48 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | JJ Bleday | #43 | 48 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Max Muncy | #14 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Nick Kurtz | #11 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Brent Rooker | #7 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Shea Langeliers | #3 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Patrick Bailey | #224 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Jung Hoo Lee | #223 | 26 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Tyler Fitzgerald | #207 | 24 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Dominic Smith | #183 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-03-28 | Wilmer Flores | #158 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Heliot Ramos | #134 | 32 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Casey Schmitt | #132 | 34 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Matt Chapman | #107 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Willy Adames | #103 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |