SEA
@
7:10p
CLE
Stadium Conditions
Progressive Field
First pitch 7:10p
· roof open
Park 0.89×
Wind 1 mph slight_out
74°F
open
-4
4 mph · slight_out
65°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
4 mph · slight_out
65°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
4 mph · slight_out
65°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
4 mph · slight_out
65°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
4 mph · slight_out
65°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.89
74°F, wind 1 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 68 | 🔵 C+ | +850 | · | 16 | 0.282 | 93.0 | 11.8% | 27.1% | 396 | 16.4% | 30.0% | 24.0% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Colt Emerson | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 56 | 0.253 | 86.6 | 7.2% | 28.6% | 370 | 16.7% | 28.6% | 24.4% | 23 |
| 3 |
|
Julio Rodríguez | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 109 | 0.183 | 90.3 | 8.9% | 29.6% vs LHP | 410 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 43 | ⚪ D | +600 | 🌤️ WARM | 135 | 0.152 | 87.8 | 9.8% | 7.7% vs LHP | 391 | 13.8% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 19 |
| 5 |
|
Randy Arozarena | 39 | ⚪ D | +900 | ❄ COLD | 152 | 0.158 | 91.6 | 8.0% | 20.0% vs LHP | 385 | 8.6% | 0.0% | 11.7% | 7 |
| 6 |
|
Cole Young | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 175 | 0.137 | 88.3 | 6.6% | 15.0% vs LHP | 385 | 9.1% | 16.7% | 7.0% | 40 |
| 7 |
|
Rob Refsnyder | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 193 | 0.086 | 86.5 | 7.6% | 16.7% vs LHP | 388 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 14 |
| 8 |
|
Josh Naylor ⚡ | 33 | ⚪ D | +1000 | 🌤️ WARM | 195 | 0.117 | 88.0 | 6.6% | 7.1% vs LHP | 390 | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 33 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Travis Bazzana | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 98 | 0.213 | 88.6 | 6.8% | 21.9% vs RHP | 395 | 13.9% | 16.7% | 21.6% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Kyle Manzardo | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 102 | 0.169 | 89.0 | 10.7% | 23.7% vs RHP | 388 | 11.4% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 25 |
| 3 |
|
Daniel Schneemann | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 159 | 0.140 | 87.7 | 7.9% | 14.3% vs RHP | 398 | 7.6% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 18 |
| 4 |
|
Brayan Rocchio | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 215 | 0.125 | 86.4 | 5.1% | 11.8% vs RHP | 382 | 5.4% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Patrick Bailey | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 222 | 0.071 | 90.0 | 7.8% | 4.8% vs RHP | 407 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 13 |
| 6 |
|
Petey Halpin | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 228 | 0.062 | 86.9 | 9.0% | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 13 |
| 7 |
|
Steven Kwan ⚡ | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 241 | 0.047 | 83.1 | 1.9% | 2.3% vs RHP | 381 | 1.4% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 24 |