2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
SEA
@ 7:10p
CLE
Progressive Field · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Progressive Field

First pitch 7:10p · roof open
Park 0.89× Wind 1 mph slight_out 74°F open
-4
4 mph · slight_out
65°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
4 mph · slight_out
65°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
4 mph · slight_out
65°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
4 mph · slight_out
65°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
4 mph · slight_out
65°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.89

74°F, wind 1 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Joey Cantillo
Joey Cantillo LHP
1.19 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.05 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone 68 🔵 C+ +850 · 16 0.282 93.0 11.8% 27.1% 396 16.4% 30.0% 24.0% 24
2 Colt Emerson Colt Emerson 56 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 56 0.253 86.6 7.2% 28.6% 370 16.7% 28.6% 24.4% 23
3 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 47 ⚪ D · · 109 0.183 90.3 8.9% 29.6% vs LHP 410 18.0% 9.1% 12.0% 31
4 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 43 ⚪ D +600 🌤️ WARM 135 0.152 87.8 9.8% 7.7% vs LHP 391 13.8% 11.1% 8.0% 19
5 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 39 ⚪ D +900 ❄ COLD 152 0.158 91.6 8.0% 20.0% vs LHP 385 8.6% 0.0% 11.7% 7
6 Cole Young Cole Young 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 175 0.137 88.3 6.6% 15.0% vs LHP 385 9.1% 16.7% 7.0% 40
7 Rob Refsnyder Rob Refsnyder 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 193 0.086 86.5 7.6% 16.7% vs LHP 388 25.0% 0.0% 7.4% 14
8 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 33 ⚪ D +1000 🌤️ WARM 195 0.117 88.0 6.6% 7.1% vs LHP 390 9.8% 8.3% 5.9% 33
Luis Castillo
Luis Castillo RHP
1.08 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.04 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Travis Bazzana Travis Bazzana 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 98 0.213 88.6 6.8% 21.9% vs RHP 395 13.9% 16.7% 21.6% 30
2 Kyle Manzardo Kyle Manzardo 48 ⚪ D · · 102 0.169 89.0 10.7% 23.7% vs RHP 388 11.4% 18.2% 16.8% 25
3 Daniel Schneemann Daniel Schneemann 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 159 0.140 87.7 7.9% 14.3% vs RHP 398 7.6% 14.3% 12.9% 18
4 Brayan Rocchio Brayan Rocchio 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 215 0.125 86.4 5.1% 11.8% vs RHP 382 5.4% 0.0% 6.9% 33
5 Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey 26 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 222 0.071 90.0 7.8% 4.8% vs RHP 407 3.2% 0.0% 6.2% 13
6 Petey Halpin Petey Halpin 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 228 0.062 86.9 9.0% 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 5.6% 13
7 Steven Kwan Steven Kwan 13 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 241 0.047 83.1 1.9% 2.3% vs RHP 381 1.4% 0.0% 5.9% 24
🏟️
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