HOU
@
6:40p
DET
Stadium Conditions
Comerica Park
First pitch 6:40p
· roof open
Park 0.97×
Wind 8 mph cross
71°F
open
-5
6 mph · cross
59°F
6:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
6 mph · cross
59°F
7:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
6 mph · cross
59°F
8:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
6 mph · cross
59°F
9:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
6 mph · cross
59°F
10:40p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Neutral · Combined 0.97
71°F, wind 8 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +0 — mild park boost, weather flat.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 14 | 0.307 | 94.3 | 12.5% | 26.6% vs RHP | 400 | 26.7% | 0.0% | 23.1% | 42 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Walker | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 40 | 0.240 | 90.1 | 9.3% | 28.8% vs RHP | 390 | 20.5% | 16.7% | 20.2% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Taylor Trammell | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 96 | 0.153 | 89.7 | 8.1% | 14.3% vs RHP | 422 | 10.0% | 50.0% | 14.6% | 8 |
| 4 |
|
Cam Smith | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 131 | 0.140 | 89.6 | 10.0% | 16.7% vs RHP | 418 | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Jeremy Peña | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 141 | 0.163 | 86.8 | 6.0% | 16.1% vs RHP | 388 | 8.8% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 142 | 0.164 | 87.1 | 7.3% | 18.9% vs RHP | 367 | 10.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Jose Altuve | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 150 | 0.155 | 85.9 | 7.6% | 25.9% vs RHP | 376 | 6.5% | 0.0% | 17.4% | 36 |
| 8 |
|
Yainer Diaz | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 169 | 0.128 | 87.7 | 6.3% | 15.8% vs RHP | 383 | 6.1% | 16.7% | 9.2% | 17 |
| 9 |
|
Joey Loperfido | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 183 | 0.127 | 89.1 | 8.0% | 6.7% vs RHP | 379 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 24 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 17 | 0.293 | 90.9 | 9.3% | 32.0% vs RHP | 397 | 22.4% | 23.1% | 28.7% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Spencer Torkelson | 53 | 🟠 C | · | · | 75 | 0.192 | 90.1 | 9.5% | 22.4% vs RHP | 394 | 15.2% | 15.4% | 18.8% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 53 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 76 | 0.229 | 90.8 | 7.8% | 24.4% vs RHP | 373 | 14.8% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 21 |
| 4 |
|
Riley Greene | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 127 | 0.153 | 91.7 | 9.2% | 13.5% vs RHP | 393 | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 30 |
| 5 |
|
James Outman | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 147 | 0.165 | 87.1 | 5.6% | 20.0% vs RHP | 418 | 6.2% | 16.7% | 12.3% | 7 |
| 6 |
|
Matt Vierling | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 157 | 0.141 | 87.4 | 6.3% | 9.7% vs RHP | 377 | 9.3% | 14.3% | 7.5% | 22 |
| 7 |
|
Colt Keith ⚡ | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 176 | 0.114 | 88.7 | 7.1% | 9.1% vs RHP | 380 | 3.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 24 |
| 8 |
|
Kevin Mcgonigle | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 178 | 0.140 | 88.0 | 7.3% | 6.5% vs RHP | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 39 |
| 9 |
|
Zach Mckinstry | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 231 | 0.083 | 84.8 | 3.9% | 5.7% vs RHP | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 24 |