2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
WSH
@ 7:05p
BAL
Camden Yards · 18 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Camden Yards

First pitch 7:05p · roof open
Park 1.30× Wind 4 mph out 87°F open
+8
3 mph · cross
73°F
7:05p
Boost for HR environment
+8
3 mph · cross
73°F
8:05p
Boost for HR environment
+8
3 mph · cross
73°F
9:05p
Boost for HR environment
+8
3 mph · cross
73°F
10:05p
Boost for HR environment
+8
3 mph · cross
73°F
11:05p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.56

87°F, wind 4 mph W (out) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers LHP
1.12 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.30 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 James Wood James Wood 74 🟡 B +950 ❄ COLD 7 0.244 95.5 12.6% 29.4% vs LHP 408 25.4% 15.4% 23.3% 36
2 Curtis Mead Curtis Mead 72 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 9 0.242 88.8 8.9% 20.0% vs LHP 400 23.8% 36.4% 35.7% 30
3 Dylan Crews Dylan Crews 59 🟠 C · · 41 0.161 91.1 8.0% 22.2% vs LHP 415 21.7% 27.3% 21.9% 40
4 Cj Abrams Cj Abrams 58 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 46 0.238 90.0 8.3% 16.7% vs LHP 389 0.0% 0.0% 29.6% 34
5 Keibert Ruiz Keibert Ruiz 54 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 70 0.193 89.3 6.1% 20.0% vs LHP 378 14.3% 10.0% 16.9% 27
6 Daylen Lile Daylen Lile 46 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 117 0.153 87.5 6.9% 0.0% vs LHP 403 8.2% 0.0% 8.5% 37
7 Jacob Young Jacob Young 45 ⚪ D · · 123 0.145 89.1 6.5% 5.6% vs LHP 391 9.1% 0.0% 10.2% 24
8 Andres Chaparro Andres Chaparro 40 ⚪ D +900 🌤️ WARM 148 0.093 89.6 8.7% 0.0% vs LHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 10.3% 7
9 Nasim Nunez Nasim Nunez 21 ⚪ D · · 236 0.043 84.8 · 0.0% vs LHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 26
Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez LHP
0.56 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.14 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 64 🔵 C+ +900 🌧️ COOL 22 0.219 94.2 8.3% 12.5% vs LHP 397 20.0% 25.0% 30.5% 27
2 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 36 0.203 89.5 7.0% 53.8% vs LHP 388 19.2% 25.0% 37.9% 37
3 Samuel Basallo Samuel Basallo 59 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 45 0.206 91.3 8.4% 16.7% vs LHP 401 14.0% 16.7% 28.2% 30
4 Coby Mayo Coby Mayo 54 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 68 0.178 91.5 7.6% 43.8% vs LHP 403 15.4% 11.1% 29.4% 14
5 Jackson Holliday Jackson Holliday 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 88 0.186 89.7 8.9% 16.7% 383 3.4% 0.0% 20.3% 15
6 Blaze Alexander Blaze Alexander 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 139 0.128 92.3 6.5% 8.3% vs LHP 392 6.1% 14.3% 10.2% 26
7 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 160 0.107 89.7 5.5% 11.8% vs LHP 393 6.2% 16.7% 11.1% 39
8 Tyler O'Neill Tyler O'Neill 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 185 0.087 88.8 5.7% 0.0% vs LHP 397 7.7% 0.0% 8.6% 10
9 Leody Taveras Leody Taveras 34 ⚪ D · · 186 0.129 87.5 4.9% 0.0% vs LHP 409 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 26
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