2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers LHP BAL
108 matchups scored · 13 game days
14 HRs Allowed
13.0% HR Rate (Pool)
12.9% Overall HR/FB
4.29 FIP
4.49 xFIP
-0.20 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
1.08
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
12.9%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
54th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
69.8%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.29
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
60th pctile
4.49
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.20
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
38th pctile
13.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
108
Pool Matchups
14
HRs Allowed (Pool)
6
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
13.0%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 16 2 1 6.2% 0.5 91.1mph 114.6mph 40.0° 413ft Down -6.8pp
Last 15 21 3 2 9.5% 0.67 93.9mph 110.4mph 35.5° 422ft Down -3.5pp
Last 30 46 6 6 13.0% 1.0 98.1mph 106.4mph 33.8° 402ft Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
96 tracked BBE from 108 pool matchups
98.0
116.8
67
0
104.2
31.4°
396
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-26 Jacob Young 105.2mph · · · ·
2026-06-26 Andrés Chaparro 104.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-26 Dylan Crews 103.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-20 Shohei Ohtani 114.6mph 114.6mph 40° 413ft Yes
2026-06-20 Freddie Freeman 101.8mph · · · ·
2026-06-14 Gavin Sheets 109.3mph · · · ·
2026-06-14 Rodolfo Durán 106.3mph 106.3mph 31° 432ft Yes
2026-06-14 Manny Machado 105.6mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
13 days · 14 total HRs
HRs Allowed
14 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-20 Shohei Ohtani #4 80 Dodger Stadium 114.6mph 40.0° 413ft
2026-06-14 Rodolfo Durán #43 60 Camden Yards 106.3mph 31.0° 432ft
2026-06-09 Randy Arozarena #97 49 Camden Yards 100.6mph 30.0° 360ft
2026-06-09 Mitch Garver #166 36 Camden Yards 108.4mph 37.0° 406ft
2026-06-04 Willson Contreras #47 53 Fenway Park 100.2mph 33.0° 403ft
2026-05-29 Kazuma Okamoto #50 58 Camden Yards 108.3mph 32.0° 397ft
2026-05-24 Dillon Dingler #19 68 Camden Yards 104.0mph 33.0° 382.0ft
2026-05-18 Junior Caminero #37 62 Tropicana Field 105.8mph 23.0° 380.0ft
2026-04-25 Willson Contreras #35 67 Camden Yards 104.2mph 29.0° 418.0ft
2026-04-25 Caleb Durbin #138 45 Camden Yards 98.7mph 32.0° 386.0ft
2026-04-25 Andruw Monasterio #152 43 Camden Yards 103.6mph 28.0° 388.0ft
2026-04-19 José Ramírez #68 57 Progressive Field 103.6mph 30.0° 379.0ft
2026-04-14 Ildemaro Vargas #141 34 Camden Yards 99.2mph 33.0° 379.0ft
2026-04-01 Corey Seager #72 53 Camden Yards 101.8mph 29.0° 422.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 528 43.1% +0.1 83.0 37.5° 6
Changeup 272 22.2% +1.0 83.8 5.9° 1
Sinker 146 11.9% -0.9 82.9 11.9° 0
Sweeper 144 11.8% +0.1 74.7 19.9° 1
Cutter 135 11.0% +0.6 80.4 16.6° 1
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
69.8%
69.8%
All Scored Matchups
108 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-26 Nasim Nuñez #236 21 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-26 Andrés Chaparro #146 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-26 Jacob Young #126 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-26 Daylen Lile #120 46 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-26 Keibert Ruiz #72 54 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-26 Dylan Crews #41 59 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-26 CJ Abrams #15 68 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-26 Curtis Mead #9 72 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-26 James Wood #7 74 🟡 B ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-20 Alex Freeland #149 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-20 Kyle Tucker #138 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-20 Mookie Betts #77 52 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-20 Freddie Freeman #51 58 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-20 Andy Pages #48 59 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-20 Max Muncy #12 73 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-20 Shohei Ohtani #4 80 🟢 A 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-14 Xander Bogaerts #91 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-14 Jackson Merrill #78 52 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-14 Manny Machado #55 58 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-14 Rodolfo Durán #43 60 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-14 Gavin Sheets #31 64 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-09 Mitch Garver #166 36 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-06-09 Cole Young #158 37 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-09 Josh Naylor #141 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-09 Randy Arozarena #97 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-09 Rob Refsnyder #81 50 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-09 Patrick Wisdom #80 50 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-09 Julio Rodríguez #10 68 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-04 Connor Wong #125 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-04 Caleb Durbin #120 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-04 Carlos Narváez #111 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-04 Andruw Monasterio #106 35 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-04 Isiah Kiner-Falefa #102 37 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-04 Ceddanne Rafaela #83 41 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-04 Wilyer Abreu #77 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-04 Willson Contreras #47 53 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-04 Jarren Duran #32 57 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-29 Charles McAdoo #239 18 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-05-29 Myles Straw #174 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-29 Brandon Valenzuela #146 40 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-29 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. #141 41 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-29 Daulton Varsho #123 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-29 George Springer #63 55 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-29 Ernie Clement #60 56 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-29 Kazuma Okamoto #50 58 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-29 Yohendrick Piñango #47 60 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-24 Wenceel Pérez #216 33 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-24 Hao-Yu Lee #191 36 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-24 Kevin McGonigle #147 41 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-24 Jahmai Jones #106 47 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-24 Matt Vierling #105 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-24 Spencer Torkelson #100 48 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-24 Riley Greene #99 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-24 Zack Short #73 53 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-24 Dillon Dingler #19 68 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-18 Cedric Mullins #245 16 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-18 Nick Fortes #240 18 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-18 Chandler Simpson #239 18 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-18 Taylor Walls #224 25 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-18 Jonny DeLuca #208 30 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-18 Ben Williamson #204 31 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-18 Yandy Díaz #130 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-18 Jonathan Aranda #78 52 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-18 Junior Caminero #37 62 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-25 Isiah Kiner-Falefa #179 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-25 Andruw Monasterio #152 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-25 Caleb Durbin #138 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-25 Trevor Story #133 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-25 Ceddanne Rafaela #132 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-25 Connor Wong #84 56 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-25 Jarren Duran #60 61 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-25 Wilyer Abreu #38 66 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-25 Willson Contreras #35 67 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-19 Juan Brito #211 26 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-19 Steven Kwan #191 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-19 Austin Hedges #175 35 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 Brayan Rocchio #153 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-19 David Fry #137 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-19 Angel Martínez #109 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-19 Rhys Hoskins #69 57 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 José Ramírez #68 57 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-19 Daniel Schneemann #63 58 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-14 Jorge Barrosa #155 25 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-14 Alek Thomas #143 32 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-14 Jose Fernandez #142 36 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-14 Ildemaro Vargas #141 34 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-04-14 Gabriel Moreno #138 32 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-14 Geraldo Perdomo #136 34 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-14 Tim Tawa #132 27 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-14 Ketel Marte #108 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-01 Josh Smith #213 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-01 Marcus Semien #198 38 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-01 Jonah Heim #192 36 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-01 Josh Jung #177 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-01 Kyle Higashioka #176 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-01 Adolis Garcia #175 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-01 Jake Burger #142 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-01 Wyatt Langford #122 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-01 Corey Seager #72 53 🟠 C 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-03-26 Christian Vazquez #150 25 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-26 Ryan Jeffers #149 32 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-26 Luke Keaschall #148 32 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-26 Royce Lewis #145 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-26 Edouard Julien #142 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-26 Brooks Lee #141 32 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-26 Trevor Larnach #136 35 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-26 Matt Wallner #89 51 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-26 Byron Buxton #82 56 🟠 C · — ·
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