2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
CIN
@ 6:40p
PIT
PNC Park · 18 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

PNC Park

First pitch 6:40p · roof open
Park 0.76× Wind 7 mph slight_out 78°F open
-10
2 mph · in
65°F
6:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-10
2 mph · in
65°F
7:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-10
2 mph · in
65°F
8:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-10
2 mph · in
65°F
9:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-10
2 mph · in
65°F
10:40p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.76

78°F, wind 7 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Andrew Abbott
Andrew Abbott LHP
1.34 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.22 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 39 0.254 90.6 9.2% 22.2% vs LHP 391 17.6% 25.0% 21.0% 37
2 Esmerlyn Valdez Esmerlyn Valdez 59 🟠 C · · 42 0.266 93.6 14.7% 22.2% 380 0.0% 0.0% 16.6% 7
3 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 51 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 84 0.195 91.4 8.6% 29.4% vs LHP 410 13.5% 25.0% 19.2% 35
4 Henry Davis Henry Davis 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 94 0.159 90.4 9.2% 11.1% vs LHP 396 12.1% 50.0% 12.6% 10
5 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 140 0.175 89.5 6.4% 20.0% vs LHP 378 16.0% 8.3% 8.9% 40
6 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 182 0.110 89.5 7.5% 15.4% vs LHP 414 7.9% 16.7% 8.2% 7
7 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 33 ⚪ D · · 196 0.130 87.3 7.5% 0.0% vs LHP 393 5.3% 0.0% 5.8% 0
8 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 17 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 239 0.057 83.3 3.1% 0.0% vs LHP 410 2.7% 0.0% 5.0% 36
9 Jared Triolo Jared Triolo 16 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 240 0.053 87.2 2.5% 0.0% vs LHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 5.0% 27
Paul Skenes
Paul Skenes RHP
0.89 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.08 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 101 0.201 89.5 9.1% 17.8% vs RHP 394 13.5% 30.0% 18.0% 23
2 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 106 0.231 94.4 9.4% 19.4% vs RHP 394 15.5% 0.0% 14.4% 5
3 Jj Bleday Jj Bleday 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 111 0.280 89.7 8.0% 32.3% vs RHP 385 0.0% 0.0% 20.9% 27
4 Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe 43 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 133 0.216 88.8 8.4% 32.1% vs RHP 398 15.6% 0.0% 12.3% 16
5 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 42 ⚪ D · · 138 0.196 90.7 9.5% 18.4% vs RHP 395 9.4% 8.3% 10.5% 33
6 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 34 ⚪ D · · 184 0.141 90.8 8.0% 16.2% vs RHP 384 7.9% 12.5% 9.9% 15
7 Matt Mclain Matt Mclain 30 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 207 0.154 88.9 7.8% 10.2% vs RHP 398 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 16
8 Eugenio Suarez Eugenio Suarez 29 ⚪ D · · 210 0.153 87.0 6.8% 23.8% vs RHP 389 0.0% 0.0% 14.7% 23
9 Blake Dunn Blake Dunn 20 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 238 0.107 89.1 4.2% 9.5% vs RHP 381 3.4% 0.0% 6.2% 32
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