Nathan Eovaldi
RHP
TEX
13
HRs Allowed
10.0%
HR Rate (Pool)
23.0%
Overall HR/FB
4.79
FIP
3.49
xFIP
+1.30
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.87
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
23.0%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
93th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
66.3%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.79
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
74th pctile
3.49
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+1.30
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
94th pctile
10.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
130
Pool Matchups
13
HRs Allowed (Pool)
10
Top-15 Matchups
2
HRs to Top-15
10.0%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 100.1mph | · | · | · | Down -10.0pp |
| Last 15 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 9.1% | 0.67 | 97.1mph | 103.2mph | 32.0° | 412ft | Flat -0.9pp |
| Last 30 | 49 | 6 | 5 | 10.2% | 0.83 | 97.7mph | 103.6mph | 28.8° | 393ft | Flat +0.2pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
97.3
Avg Max EV
115.9
Max EV Allowed
69
Hard-Hit Proxy · 66.3%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
105.0
Avg HR EV
30.1°
Avg HR Launch
392
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Xander Bogaerts | 109.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Manny Machado | 107.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Jackson Merrill | 106.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Jarren Duran | 108.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Masataka Yoshida | 105.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Willson Contreras | 101.5mph | 101.5mph | 35° | 392ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-09 | Carter Jensen | 111.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Jac Caglianone | 107.9mph | 105.0mph | 29° | 431ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Willson Contreras | #24 | 66 | Fenway Park | 101.5mph | 35.0° | 392ft |
| 2026-06-09 | Jac Caglianone | #119 | 44 | Kauffman Stadium | 105.0mph | 29.0° | 431ft |
| 2026-06-02 | Nolan Gorman | #146 | 40 | Busch Stadium | 100.7mph | 30.0° | 373ft |
| 2026-05-28 | Isaac Paredes | #87 | 28 | Globe Life Field | 101.8mph | 25.0° | 357.0ft |
| 2026-05-23 | mike trout | #35 | 66 | Angel Stadium | 108.9mph | 25.0° | 411.0ft |
| 2026-05-06 | Aaron Judge | #1 | 65 | Yankee Stadium | 110.0mph | 34.0° | 399.0ft |
| 2026-04-24 | Nick Kurtz | #77 | 60 | Globe Life Field | 115.9mph | 23.0° | 417.0ft |
| 2026-04-24 | Carlos Cortes | #99 | 56 | Globe Life Field | 104.7mph | 30.0° | 409.0ft |
| 2026-04-24 | Tyler Soderstrom | #151 | 45 | Globe Life Field | 102.8mph | 30.0° | 415.0ft |
| 2026-04-24 | Zack Gelof | #194 | 34 | Globe Life Field | 104.8mph | 26.0° | 375.0ft |
| 2026-04-18 | Luke Raley | #69 | 58 | T-Mobile Park | 112.7mph | 39.0° | 381.0ft |
| 2026-03-26 | Kyle Schwarber | #12 | 58 | Citizens Bank Park | 99.6mph | 33.0° | 383.0ft |
| 2026-03-26 | Alec Bohm | #106 | 30 | Citizens Bank Park | 97.0mph | 32.0° | 354.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Splitter | 519 | 36.8% | -1.9 | 85.5 | 0.5° | 4 |
| Curveball | 292 | 20.7% | -1.0 | 78.4 | 12.7° | 2 |
| Cutter | 290 | 20.6% | +0.9 | 83.6 | 26.1° | 4 |
| Fastball | 173 | 12.3% | +3.4 | 87.1 | 18.9° | 5 |
| Sinker | 126 | 8.9% | +0.5 | 76.4 | 10.8° | 2 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
66.3%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Samad Taylor | #207 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Xander Bogaerts | #161 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Jackson Merrill | #112 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Manny Machado | #88 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Gavin Sheets | #61 | 58 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Ty France | #51 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Rodolfo Durán | #20 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Isiah Kiner-Falefa | #219 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Masataka Yoshida | #212 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Marcelo Mayer | #188 | 33 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Carlos Narváez | #187 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Caleb Durbin | #157 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #115 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Wilyer Abreu | #79 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Jarren Duran | #75 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Willson Contreras | #24 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-09 | Kyle Isbel | #213 | 23 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Isaac Collins | #208 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Vinnie Pasquantino | #156 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Jac Caglianone | #119 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-09 | Carter Jensen | #85 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Michael Massey | #79 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Victor Scott II | #244 | 15 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Jimmy Crooks | #239 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Masyn Winn | #209 | 28 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Bryan Torres | #187 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Nolan Gorman | #146 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-02 | Alec Burleson | #121 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | JJ Wetherholt | #111 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Iván Herrera | #39 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Jordan Walker | #26 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-28 | Christian Vázquez | #92 | 26 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-28 | Brice Matthews | #90 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-28 | Isaac Paredes | #87 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-28 | José Altuve | #83 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-28 | Carlos Correa | #82 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-28 | Yainer Diaz | #65 | 38 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-28 | Cam Smith | #63 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-28 | Christian Walker | #9 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-28 | Yordan Álvarez | #5 | 76 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-23 | logan o'hoppe | #246 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-23 | yoán moncada | #184 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | nolan schanuel | #131 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-23 | josh lowe | #123 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-23 | oswald peraza | #95 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | jo adell | #59 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-23 | jorge soler | #46 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | zach neto | #40 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-23 | mike trout | #35 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-17 | César Salazar | #253 | 18 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Nick Allen | #224 | 28 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Braden Shewmake | #216 | 30 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Cam Smith | #86 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Brice Matthews | #78 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Zach Dezenzo | #36 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Christian Walker | #29 | 72 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Zach Cole | #19 | 78 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Yordan Alvarez | #2 | 93 | 🔥 A+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Jose Fernandez | #87 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Jorge Barrosa | #80 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Alek Thomas | #79 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Ketel Marte | #78 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Nolan Arenado | #70 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Adrian Del Castillo | #68 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Geraldo Perdomo | #67 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Ildemaro Vargas | #57 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Corbin Carroll | #53 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | José Caballero | #59 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Ryan McMahon | #38 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Austin Wells | #25 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Trent Grisham | #16 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Cody Bellinger | #15 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Giancarlo Stanton | #8 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | #5 | 57 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Ben Rice | #2 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Aaron Judge | #1 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-29 | José Caballero | #195 | 21 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Ryan McMahon | #152 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Austin Wells | #151 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Cody Bellinger | #144 | 30 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | #129 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Trent Grisham | #120 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Giancarlo Stanton | #64 | 41 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Ben Rice | #33 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Aaron Judge | #22 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Jeff McNeil | #227 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Jacob Wilson | #226 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Lawrence Butler | #220 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Zack Gelof | #194 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-24 | Tyler Soderstrom | #151 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-24 | Max Muncy | #125 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Shea Langeliers | #124 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Carlos Cortes | #99 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-24 | Nick Kurtz | #77 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-18 | Leo Rivas | #267 | 7 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | J.P. Crawford | #248 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Brendan Donovan | #237 | 21 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Josh Naylor | #236 | 21 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Randy Arozarena | #231 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Julio Rodríguez | #227 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Cole Young | #218 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Cal Raleigh | #212 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Luke Raley | #69 | 58 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-07 | Ben Williamson | #240 | 14 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Cole Young | #199 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | J.P. Crawford | #194 | 21 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Mitch Garver | #177 | 26 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Randy Arozarena | #133 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Jorge Polanco | #107 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Julio Rodriguez | #105 | 36 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Cal Raleigh | #56 | 52 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Dominic Canzone | #51 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Adley Rutschman | #125 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Dylan Carlson | #123 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Ryan Mountcastle | #114 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Jackson Holliday | #77 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Coby Mayo | #62 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Gunnar Henderson | #56 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Tyler O'Neill | #44 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Jordan Westburg | #23 | 48 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Colton Cowser | #13 | 50 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Bryson Stott | #131 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-26 | J.T. Realmuto | #118 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Trea Turner | #117 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Alec Bohm | #106 | 30 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-03-26 | Nick Castellanos | #99 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Brandon Marsh | #92 | 36 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Max Kepler | #86 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Bryce Harper | #53 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Kyle Schwarber | #12 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |