Walker Buehler
RHP
SD
11
HRs Allowed
7.9%
HR Rate (Pool)
20.7%
Overall HR/FB
3.85
FIP
3.77
xFIP
+0.08
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.69
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
20.7%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
90th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
71.2%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.85
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
43th pctile
3.77
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.08
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
54th pctile
7.9%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
139
Pool Matchups
11
HRs Allowed (Pool)
7
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
7.9%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12.5% | 1.0 | 98.8mph | 102.9mph | 27.5° | 384ft | Up +4.6pp |
| Last 15 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 12.0% | 1.0 | 98.3mph | 101.9mph | 31.3° | 378ft | Up +4.1pp |
| Last 30 | 41 | 5 | 5 | 12.2% | 1.0 | 99.7mph | 102.3mph | 30.6° | 389ft | Up +4.3pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
98.3
Avg Max EV
111.9
Max EV Allowed
84
Hard-Hit Proxy · 71.2%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
103.6
Avg HR EV
30.4°
Avg HR Launch
396
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Freddie Freeman | 103.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Mookie Betts | 101.7mph | 101.7mph | 23° | 360ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-20 | Wyatt Langford | 108.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Ezequiel Duran | 107.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Brandon Nimmo | 105.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Josh Jung | 104.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Jake Burger | 104.1mph | 104.1mph | 32° | 408ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-20 | Kyle Higashioka | 103.9mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Mookie Betts | #115 | 46 | Petco Park | 101.7mph | 23.0° | 360ft |
| 2026-06-20 | Jake Burger | #113 | 46 | Globe Life Field | 104.1mph | 32.0° | 408ft |
| 2026-06-14 | Jeremiah Jackson | #84 | 50 | Camden Yards | 99.9mph | 39.0° | 365ft |
| 2026-06-03 | Kyle Schwarber | #8 | 71 | Citizens Bank Park | 101.5mph | 32.0° | 391ft |
| 2026-06-03 | J.T. Realmuto | #193 | 34 | Citizens Bank Park | 104.4mph | 27.0° | 422ft |
| 2026-05-27 | Trea Turner | #122 | 45 | Petco Park | 103.5mph | 38.0° | 382.0ft |
| 2026-05-16 | J.P. Crawford | #174 | 34 | T-Mobile Park | 98.1mph | 27.0° | 378.0ft |
| 2026-05-10 | Jordan Walker | #124 | 29 | Petco Park | 108.3mph | 31.0° | 425.0ft |
| 2026-05-05 | Casey Schmitt | #56 | 45 | Oracle Park | 106.1mph | 36.0° | 386.0ft |
| 2026-04-28 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #210 | 20 | Petco Park | 106.3mph | 26.0° | 410.0ft |
| 2026-04-22 | Hunter Goodman | #19 | 67 | Coors Field | 105.7mph | 23.0° | 427.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 296 | 23.3% | -1.4 | 82.6 | 20.0° | 0 |
| Fastball | 259 | 20.4% | -0.4 | 86.6 | 23.8° | 2 |
| Sinker | 216 | 17.0% | -1.6 | 85.9 | 15.0° | 0 |
| Knuckle Curve | 152 | 11.9% | +3.8 | 85.9 | 1.5° | 3 |
| Slider | 135 | 10.6% | -3.5 | 82.1 | 20.3° | 0 |
| Changeup | 113 | 8.9% | +5.6 | 87.1 | 5.2° | 2 |
| Sweeper | 101 | 7.9% | +0.2 | 75.7 | 28.7° | 2 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
71.2%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Alex Freeland | #213 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Kyle Tucker | #197 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Andy Pages | #122 | 45 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Mookie Betts | #115 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-26 | Freddie Freeman | #77 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Max Muncy | #28 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Shohei Ohtani | #20 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Nicky Lopez | #206 | 22 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Ezequiel Duran | #159 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Kyle Higashioka | #144 | 40 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Josh Jung | #140 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Wyatt Langford | #129 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Brandon Nimmo | #120 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Jarred Kelenic | #118 | 46 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Jake Burger | #113 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-20 | Joc Pederson | #76 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Leody Taveras | #189 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Taylor Ward | #140 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Jeremiah Jackson | #84 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-14 | Blaze Alexander | #83 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Gunnar Henderson | #64 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Samuel Basallo | #41 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Adley Rutschman | #36 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Colton Cowser | #18 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Pete Alonso | #12 | 72 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Eugenio Suárez | #87 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Tyler Stephenson | #71 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Matt Mclain | #58 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Sal Stewart | #57 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Spencer Steer | #52 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Nathaniel Lowe | #28 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Jj Bleday | #11 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Justin Crawford | #221 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | J.T. Realmuto | #193 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-03 | Adolis García | #181 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Brandon Marsh | #114 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Bryson Stott | #113 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Alec Bohm | #90 | 49 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Trea Turner | #88 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Bryce Harper | #17 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Kyle Schwarber | #8 | 71 | 🟡 B | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-05-27 | Adolis García | #223 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-27 | J.T. Realmuto | #205 | 33 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Justin Crawford | #153 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Trea Turner | #122 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-27 | Edmundo Sosa | #121 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Bryson Stott | #117 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Alec Bohm | #113 | 46 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Bryce Harper | #33 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Kyle Schwarber | #6 | 81 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Jacob Wilson | #241 | 19 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Lawrence Butler | #230 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Jeff McNeil | #229 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Tyler Soderstrom | #146 | 37 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Carlos Cortes | #130 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Brent Rooker | #61 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Nick Kurtz | #45 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Max Muncy | #42 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Shea Langeliers | #35 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Mitch Garver | #212 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Cole Young | #207 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Randy Arozarena | #187 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | J.P. Crawford | #174 | 34 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-05-16 | Josh Naylor | #163 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Brendan Donovan | #145 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Julio Rodríguez | #114 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Dominic Canzone | #72 | 54 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Luke Raley | #7 | 86 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Masyn Winn | #226 | 13 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Victor Scott II | #208 | 16 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Pedro Pagés | #199 | 18 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Ivan Herrera | #198 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Nolan Gorman | #189 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Alec Burleson | #176 | 21 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Nathan Church | #161 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | JJ Wetherholt | #145 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Jordan Walker | #124 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-05 | Rafael Devers | #258 | 6 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Luis Arraez | #234 | 12 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Matt Chapman | #233 | 12 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Patrick Bailey | #204 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Willy Adames | #203 | 17 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Harrison Bader | #192 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Heliot Ramos | #176 | 21 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Jung Hoo Lee | #163 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Casey Schmitt | #56 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-28 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #210 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-28 | Alex Bregman | #180 | 28 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Matt Shaw | #175 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Michael Busch | #174 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Nico Hoerner | #164 | 32 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Carson Kelly | #148 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Seiya Suzuki | #125 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Dansby Swanson | #117 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Ian Happ | #95 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Troy Johnston | #88 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Kyle Karros | #87 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | TJ Rumfield | #86 | 46 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Willi Castro | #77 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Brenton Doyle | #76 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Edouard Julien | #67 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Ezequiel Tovar | #55 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Hunter Goodman | #19 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | 💥 |
| 2026-04-22 | Mickey Moniak | #7 | 73 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-16 | J.P. Crawford | #135 | 24 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Josh Naylor | #134 | 24 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Brendan Donovan | #132 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Julio Rodríguez | #128 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Cole Young | #123 | 28 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Randy Arozarena | #118 | 30 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Cal Raleigh | #114 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Dominic Canzone | #52 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-16 | Luke Raley | #31 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Tyler Freeman | #236 | 18 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Kyle Karros | #232 | 13 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-10 | TJ Rumfield | #204 | 23 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Edouard Julien | #187 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Ezequiel Tovar | #174 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Willi Castro | #172 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Brenton Doyle | #161 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Mickey Moniak | #15 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Abraham Toro | #135 | 28 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Jarren Duran | #126 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #119 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Alex Bregman | #101 | 36 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Romy Gonzalez | #88 | 40 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Carlos Narvaez | #75 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Roman Anthony | #66 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Wilyer Abreu | #62 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Trevor Story | #61 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Patrick Bailey | #198 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Jung Hoo Lee | #197 | 27 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Tyler Fitzgerald | #182 | 25 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Dominic Smith | #152 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Wilmer Flores | #119 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Heliot Ramos | #103 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Casey Schmitt | #100 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Matt Chapman | #79 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Willy Adames | #74 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |