2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Luis Gil
Luis Gil RHP NYY
27 matchups scored · 3 game days
3 HRs Allowed
11.1% HR Rate (Pool)
25.4% Overall HR/FB
8.34 FIP
5.57 xFIP
+2.76 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
1.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
25.4%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
95th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
61.5%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
8.34
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
99th pctile
5.57
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+2.76
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
99th pctile
11.1%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
27
Pool Matchups
3
HRs Allowed (Pool)
1
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
11.1%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 18 2 2 11.1% 1.0 98.3mph 105.8mph 30.0° 398ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 15 18 2 2 11.1% 1.0 98.3mph 105.8mph 30.0° 398ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 30 27 3 3 11.1% 1.0 96.3mph 105.0mph 30.7° 391ft Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
26 tracked BBE from 27 pool matchups
96.3
113.2
16
0
105.0
30.7°
391
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-04-26 Christian Walker 109.8mph 109.8mph 23° 432ft Yes
2026-04-26 Yordan Alvarez 107.8mph · · · ·
2026-04-26 Carlos Correa 103.9mph · · · ·
2026-04-26 Isaac Paredes 101.9mph 101.9mph 37° 364ft Yes
2026-04-21 Willson Contreras 113.2mph · · · ·
2026-04-21 Roman Anthony 106.2mph · · · ·
2026-04-21 Ceddanne Rafaela 102.5mph · · · ·
2026-04-21 Carlos Narváez 102.5mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
3 days · 3 total HRs
HRs Allowed
3 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-04-26 Christian Walker #66 58 Minute Maid Park 109.8mph 23.0° 432.0ft
2026-04-26 Isaac Paredes #143 42 Minute Maid Park 101.9mph 37.0° 364.0ft
2026-04-10 Yandy Díaz #127 39 Tropicana Field 103.3mph 32.0° 377.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 183 45.5% +0.3 89.1 26.6° 3
Changeup 87 21.6% -0.9 83.6 5.2° 1
Slider 87 21.6% +0.6 86.2 29.3° 1
Sinker 45 11.2% +5.9 82.2 16.2° 1
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
61.5%
61.5%
All Scored Matchups
27 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-04-26 Braden Shewmake #265 19 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-26 Dustin Harris #231 28 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-26 Daniel Johnson #170 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-26 Christian Vázquez #158 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-26 Isaac Paredes #143 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-26 Carlos Correa #129 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-26 Cam Smith #80 55 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-26 Christian Walker #66 58 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-26 Yordan Alvarez #6 77 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-21 Caleb Durbin #241 10 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-21 Carlos Narváez #207 21 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-21 Trevor Story #187 25 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-21 Ceddanne Rafaela #181 26 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-21 Marcelo Mayer #163 29 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-21 Jarren Duran #129 35 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-21 Roman Anthony #110 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-21 Wilyer Abreu #105 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-21 Willson Contreras #60 50 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-10 Chandler Simpson #247 11 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-10 Jonny DeLuca #246 25 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-10 Ben Williamson #240 20 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-10 Taylor Walls #235 24 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-10 Nick Fortes #230 28 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-10 Cedric Mullins #191 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-10 Jonathan Aranda #149 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-10 Yandy Díaz #127 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-10 Junior Caminero #62 53 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
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