2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Matthew Boyd LHP CHC
36 matchups scored · 4 game days
2 HRs Allowed
5.6% HR Rate (Pool)
18.4% Overall HR/FB
1.73 FIP
1.99 xFIP
-0.26 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
0.5
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
18.4%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
86th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
85.7%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
1.73
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
1th pctile
1.99
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.26
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
35th pctile
5.6%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
36
Pool Matchups
2
HRs Allowed (Pool)
2
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
5.6%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 18 2 2 11.1% 1.0 102.3mph 105.0mph 32.0° 417ft Up +5.5pp
Last 15 27 3 2 7.4% 0.67 101.1mph 105.0mph 32.0° 417ft Flat +1.8pp
Last 30 27 3 2 7.4% 0.67 101.1mph 105.0mph 32.0° 417ft Flat +1.8pp
Batted-Ball Damage
28 tracked BBE from 36 pool matchups
100.2
112.5
24
0
105.0
32.0°
417
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-05-03 Ketel Marte 107.6mph · · · ·
2026-05-03 Ildemaro Vargas 106.8mph · · · ·
2026-05-03 Nolan Arenado 104.7mph · · · ·
2026-05-03 Corbin Carroll 103.7mph · · · ·
2026-05-03 Adrian Del Castillo 101.5mph 101.5mph 38° 412ft Yes
2026-05-03 Geraldo Perdomo 100.2mph · · · ·
2026-04-27 Fernando Tatis Jr. 112.5mph · · · ·
2026-04-27 Gavin Sheets 108.6mph 108.6mph 26° 422ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
4 days · 2 total HRs
HRs Allowed
2 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-05-03 Adrian Del Castillo #46 38 Wrigley Field 101.5mph 38.0° 412.0ft
2026-04-27 Gavin Sheets #73 37 Petco Park 108.6mph 26.0° 422.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 258 49.9% +1.9 85.1 23.9° 2
Changeup 149 28.8% +0.3 77.4 11.6° 2
Slider 61 11.8% -0.4 81.3 7.3° 0
Curveball 45 8.7% -1.0 75.3 16.0° 1
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
85.7%
85.7%
All Scored Matchups
36 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-05-03 Geraldo Perdomo #110 29 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-03 Alek Thomas #88 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-03 Jose Fernandez #69 35 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-03 Nolan Arenado #52 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 Adrian Del Castillo #46 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-03 Jorge Barrosa #34 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 Corbin Carroll #29 41 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-03 Ketel Marte #28 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 Ildemaro Vargas #15 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-27 Freddy Fermin #141 10 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-27 Jake Cronenworth #138 15 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-27 Miguel Andujar #136 16 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-27 Manny Machado #105 26 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-27 Xander Bogaerts #95 29 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-27 Fernando Tatis Jr. #94 29 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-27 Jackson Merrill #83 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-27 Gavin Sheets #73 37 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-27 Ramón Laureano #52 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-22 J.T. Realmuto #212 23 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-22 Bryson Stott #197 25 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-22 Alec Bohm #180 28 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Trea Turner #151 34 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Justin Crawford #132 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Brandon Marsh #120 39 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-22 Adolis García #75 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-22 Bryce Harper #27 63 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Kyle Schwarber #6 73 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-01 Nolan Schanuel #203 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-01 Luis Rengifo #194 29 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-01 Jorge Soler #115 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-01 Yoan Moncada #105 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-01 Logan O'Hoppe #104 42 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-01 Zach Neto #95 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-01 Taylor Ward #89 51 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-01 Mike Trout #64 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-01 Jo Adell #53 54 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
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