Matthew Boyd
LHP
CHC
2
HRs Allowed
5.6%
HR Rate (Pool)
18.4%
Overall HR/FB
1.73
FIP
1.99
xFIP
-0.26
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.5
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
18.4%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
86th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
85.7%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
1.73
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
1th pctile
1.99
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.26
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
35th pctile
5.6%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
36
Pool Matchups
2
HRs Allowed (Pool)
2
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
5.6%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 11.1% | 1.0 | 102.3mph | 105.0mph | 32.0° | 417ft | Up +5.5pp |
| Last 15 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 7.4% | 0.67 | 101.1mph | 105.0mph | 32.0° | 417ft | Flat +1.8pp |
| Last 30 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 7.4% | 0.67 | 101.1mph | 105.0mph | 32.0° | 417ft | Flat +1.8pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
100.2
Avg Max EV
112.5
Max EV Allowed
24
Hard-Hit Proxy · 85.7%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
105.0
Avg HR EV
32.0°
Avg HR Launch
417
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Ketel Marte | 107.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Ildemaro Vargas | 106.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Nolan Arenado | 104.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Corbin Carroll | 103.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Adrian Del Castillo | 101.5mph | 101.5mph | 38° | 412ft | Yes |
| 2026-05-03 | Geraldo Perdomo | 100.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | 112.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Gavin Sheets | 108.6mph | 108.6mph | 26° | 422ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Adrian Del Castillo | #46 | 38 | Wrigley Field | 101.5mph | 38.0° | 412.0ft |
| 2026-04-27 | Gavin Sheets | #73 | 37 | Petco Park | 108.6mph | 26.0° | 422.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 258 | 49.9% | +1.9 | 85.1 | 23.9° | 2 |
| Changeup | 149 | 28.8% | +0.3 | 77.4 | 11.6° | 2 |
| Slider | 61 | 11.8% | -0.4 | 81.3 | 7.3° | 0 |
| Curveball | 45 | 8.7% | -1.0 | 75.3 | 16.0° | 1 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
85.7%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Geraldo Perdomo | #110 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Alek Thomas | #88 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Jose Fernandez | #69 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Nolan Arenado | #52 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Adrian Del Castillo | #46 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-03 | Jorge Barrosa | #34 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Corbin Carroll | #29 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Ketel Marte | #28 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Ildemaro Vargas | #15 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Freddy Fermin | #141 | 10 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Jake Cronenworth | #138 | 15 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Miguel Andujar | #136 | 16 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Manny Machado | #105 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Xander Bogaerts | #95 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | #94 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Jackson Merrill | #83 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Gavin Sheets | #73 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-27 | Ramón Laureano | #52 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | J.T. Realmuto | #212 | 23 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Bryson Stott | #197 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Alec Bohm | #180 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Trea Turner | #151 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Justin Crawford | #132 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Brandon Marsh | #120 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Adolis García | #75 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Bryce Harper | #27 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Kyle Schwarber | #6 | 73 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Nolan Schanuel | #203 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Luis Rengifo | #194 | 29 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Jorge Soler | #115 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Yoan Moncada | #105 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Logan O'Hoppe | #104 | 42 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Zach Neto | #95 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Taylor Ward | #89 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Mike Trout | #64 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Jo Adell | #53 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |