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Study Day
📅 2026-06-24
0
Top-5 Hits
2
Top-15 Hits
31
HRs in Slate
91%
Coverage
254
Scored
What Happened
A high-volume day with 31 HRs across scored matchups.
Pitcher vulnerability was the dominant signal — multiple arms with elevated FIP and HR/FB rates.
Why It Worked
Pitcher Vulnerability
6 of the top 15 faced pitchers with FIP ≥ 4.50
Warm Weather
7 top-15 batters played in 75°F+ conditions
HR-Friendly Parks
9 top-15 matchups in parks with factor ≥ 1.05
Stacking Opportunities
2 same-pitcher stacks for parlay potential
🔥 High Conviction Day
0 matchups met the Golden criteria (pitcher FIP > 5.0 AND HR/FB > 20%).
Stack Alerts:
Joe Ryan: {'batter': 'Shohei Ohtani', 'rank': 2, 'score': 76.0}, {'batter': 'Max Muncy', 'rank': 10, 'score': 70.0}
Rhett Lowder: {'batter': 'Jake Bauers', 'rank': 14, 'score': 67.0}, {'batter': 'Jackson Chourio', 'rank': 15, 'score': 67.0}
Top 15 Matchups
| # | Result | Batter | Pitcher | HR/FB | Score | FIP | Park | Form | Barrel | HR Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | Kazuma Okamoto | Mike Burrows | 33.2% | 77 | 5.5 | 1.18 | · | 11.4% | |
| 2 | — | Shohei Ohtani | Joe Ryan | 32.4% | 76 | 3.0 | 1.06 | 🔥 | 14.0% | |
| 3 | — | James Wood | Aaron Nola | 35.5% | 74 | 4.8 | 0.99 | · | 14.7% | |
| 4 | — | Willson Contreras | Kyle Freeland | 36.1% | 72 | 5.0 | 1.13 | 🌧️ | 11.0% | |
| 5 | — | Yordan Alvarez | Trey Yesavage | 27.9% | 72 | 3.8 | 1.18 | 🌧️ | 9.5% | |
| 6 | — | Juan Soto | Shota Imanaga | 27.7% | 72 | 4.5 | 0.98 | 🌧️ | 12.3% | |
| 7 | — | Byron Buxton | Shohei Ohtani | 29.5% | 71 | 2.5 | 1.06 | · | 8.5% | |
| 8 | — | Dillon Dingler | Ryan Weathers | 22.4% | 70 | 4.4 | 0.99 | · | 12.6% | |
| 9 | — | Hunter Goodman | Ranger Suarez | 32.8% | 70 | 3.2 | 1.13 | · | 9.8% | |
| 10 | ✅ | Max Muncy | Joe Ryan | 32.3% | 70 | 3.0 | 1.06 | 🌧️ | 13.3% | 106.7 mph · 416ft · 27.0° |
| 11 | — | Colson Montgomery | Tanner Bibee | 31.2% | 70 | 4.9 | 0.92 | 🌤️ | 12.4% | |
| 12 | — | Bryce Harper | WSH Bullpen Proxy | 30.4% | 68 | 4.8 | 0.99 | 🌧️ | 12.3% | |
| 13 | — | Ben Rice | Tarik Skubal | 33.4% | 67 | 2.6 | 0.99 | 🌧️ | 9.8% | |
| 14 | ✅ | Jake Bauers | Rhett Lowder | 23.3% | 67 | 4.3 | 1.06 | 🌤️ | 10.2% | 109.8 mph · 428ft · 26.0° |
| 15 | — | Jackson Chourio | Rhett Lowder | 21.2% | 67 | 4.3 | 1.06 | 🌧️ | 10.4% |
All 31 HRs in Slate
Show all ranked picks that hit
| # | Batter | HR/FB | EV | Dist | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Max Muncy | 32.3% | 106.7 | 416ft | 27.0° |
| 14 | Jake Bauers | 23.3% | 109.8 | 428ft | 26.0° |
| 22 | Jorge Soler | 23.2% | 95.6 | 366ft | 28.0° |
| 24 | Curtis Mead | 30.3% | 102.8 | 394ft | 31.0° |
| 46 | Spencer Steer | 25.6% | 103.5 | 400ft | 27.0° |
| 48 | Joc Pederson | 17.2% | 102.0 | 426ft | 28.0° |
| 49 | Paul Goldschmidt | 28.5% | 104.9 | 427ft | 30.0° |
| 50 | Wyatt Langford | 23.6% | 106.5 | 437ft | 27.0° |
| 55 | Mark Vientos | 20.9% | 108.4 | 416ft | 23.0° |
| 78 | Samuel Basallo | 14.3% | 112.5 | 373ft | 22.0° |
| 91 | Ketel Marte | 11.6% | 109.3 | 416ft | 20.0° |
| 96 | Jared Young | 12.5% | 103.9 | 405ft | 23.0° |
| 100 | Francisco Alvarez | 9.8% | 106.5 | 437ft | 34.0° |
| 101 | Ty France | 18.4% | 107.7 | 417ft | 31.0° |
| 107 | Mookie Betts | 8.8% | 101.0 | 399ft | 28.0° |
| 113 | Francisco Álvarez | 13.2% | 106.5 | 437ft | 34.0° |
| 115 | Andruw Monasterio | 10.3% | 99.8 | 365ft | 26.0° |
| 118 | Bo Bichette | 16.2% | 106.3 | 411ft | 31.0° |
| 123 | William Contreras | 7.2% | 103.6 | 399ft | 26.0° |
| 129 | Michael Busch | 10.3% | 108.2 | 398ft | 25.0° |
| 149 | Dansby Swanson | 13.4% | 103.1 | 418ft | 35.0° |
| 152 | Bo Bichette | 9.2% | 106.3 | 411ft | 31.0° |
| 153 | Michael Busch | 9.1% | 108.2 | 398ft | 25.0° |
| 167 | Dansby Swanson | 12.9% | 103.1 | 418ft | 35.0° |
| 170 | Connor Wong | 7.8% | 102.7 | 380ft | 24.0° |
| 172 | Jasson Domínguez | 9.5% | 101.2 | 382ft | 32.0° |
| 180 | Nathan Lukes | 10.7% | 96.3 | 342ft | 40.0° |
| 185 | Otto Lopez | 7.9% | 106.2 | 427ft | 23.0° |
| 189 | Rafael Devers | 12.5% | 106.1 | 416ft | 30.0° |
| 206 | A. J. Ewing | 6.7% | 104.7 | 420ft | 34.0° |
| 248 | José Fermín | 5.8% | 99.8 | 387ft | 28.0° |