PIT
@
9:10p
COL
Stadium Conditions
Coors Field
First pitch 9:10p
· roof open
Park 1.14×
Wind 4 mph cross
81°F
open
+15
13 mph · out
71°F
9:10p
Strong boost for HR environment
+15
13 mph · out
71°F
10:10p
Strong boost for HR environment
+15
13 mph · out
71°F
11:10p
Strong boost for HR environment
+15
13 mph · out
71°F
12:10a
Strong boost for HR environment
+15
13 mph · out
71°F
1:10a
Strong boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.25
81°F, wind 4 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 82 | 🟢 A | +225 | · | 2 | 0.265 | 90.1 | 13.4% | 27.5% vs RHP | 392 | 17.5% | 27.3% | 36.2% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 69 | 🔵 C+ | +350 | 🔥 HOT | 17 | 0.189 | 91.4 | 12.2% | 15.6% vs RHP | 408 | 13.0% | 25.0% | 24.3% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 63 | 🔵 C+ | +390 | 🌤️ WARM | 32 | 0.185 | 86.4 | 11.2% | 17.3% vs RHP | 391 | 11.3% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 63 | 🔵 C+ | +390 | 🌧️ COOL | 33 | 0.179 | 89.9 | 9.6% | 20.5% vs RHP | 378 | 17.8% | 18.2% | 16.3% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 67 | 0.114 | 89.4 | 11.0% | 14.8% vs RHP | 414 | 8.2% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 11 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 37 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 160 | 0.067 | 85.9 | 6.4% | 7.1% vs RHP | 389 | 3.0% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 39 |
| 7 |
|
Jake Mangum | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 193 | 0.050 | 83.1 | 3.4% | 9.1% vs RHP | 410 | 3.1% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 36 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 75 | 🟡 B | +320 | · | 9 | 0.287 | 90.9 | 10.0% | 37.8% vs RHP | 404 | 26.2% | 33.3% | 41.1% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Sterlin Thompson | 51 | 🟠 C | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 76 | 0.161 | 87.4 | 6.4% | 25.0% vs RHP | 396 | 14.3% | 33.3% | 21.2% | 11 |
| 3 |
|
Tj Rumfield | 44 | ⚪ D | +525 | ❄ COLD | 120 | 0.191 | 84.5 | 6.2% | 21.1% vs RHP | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 24.1% | 42 |
| 4 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar ⚡ | 41 | ⚪ D | +625 | ❄ COLD | 143 | 0.133 | 87.8 | 6.9% | 16.7% vs RHP | 422 | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Jake Mccarthy | 40 | ⚪ D | +750 | ❄ COLD | 151 | 0.150 | 84.7 | 5.6% | 12.5% vs RHP | 418 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 25 |
| 6 |
|
Troy Johnston | 38 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 157 | 0.151 | 89.2 | 4.0% | 10.3% vs RHP | 415 | 1.9% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 32 |
| 7 |
|
Willi Castro | 38 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 158 | 0.118 | 88.7 | 5.8% | 10.0% vs RHP | 422 | 5.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 36 |
| 8 |
|
Edouard Julien | 35 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 168 | 0.103 | 91.2 | 6.3% | 11.5% vs RHP | 389 | 3.3% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 18 |