2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Max Scherzer
Max Scherzer RHP TOR
44 matchups scored · 5 game days
10 HRs Allowed
22.7% HR Rate (Pool)
24.4% Overall HR/FB
7.9 FIP
5.82 xFIP
+2.09 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
2.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
24.4%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
94th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
65.7%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
7.9
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
99th pctile
5.82
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+2.09
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
98th pctile
22.7%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
44
Pool Matchups
10
HRs Allowed (Pool)
6
Top-15 Matchups
4
HRs to Top-15
22.7%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 8 1 3 37.5% 3.0 97.5mph 103.1mph 31.3° 381ft Up +14.8pp
Last 15 8 1 3 37.5% 3.0 97.5mph 103.1mph 31.3° 381ft Up +14.8pp
Last 30 8 1 3 37.5% 3.0 97.5mph 103.1mph 31.3° 381ft Up +14.8pp
Batted-Ball Damage
35 tracked BBE from 44 pool matchups
98.2
110.9
23
0
104.6
30.6°
397
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-10 Kyle Schwarber 108.3mph 108.3mph 23° 423ft Yes
2026-06-10 Bryce Harper 104.8mph 99.8mph 42° 339ft Yes
2026-06-10 Alec Bohm 101.7mph 101.2mph 29° · Yes
2026-04-24 Bo Naylor 108.9mph · · · ·
2026-04-24 Rhys Hoskins 107.0mph · · · ·
2026-04-24 José Ramírez 106.2mph · · · ·
2026-04-24 Brayan Rocchio 105.8mph · · · ·
2026-04-24 Angel Martínez 105.2mph 105.2mph 35° 398ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
5 days · 10 total HRs
HRs Allowed
10 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-10 Kyle Schwarber #2 86 Rogers Centre 108.3mph 23.0° 423ft
2026-06-10 Bryce Harper #9 76 Rogers Centre 99.8mph 42.0° 339ft
2026-06-10 Alec Bohm #63 55 Rogers Centre 101.2mph 29.0° ·
2026-04-24 Daniel Schneemann #22 76 Rogers Centre 99.6mph 26.0° 366.0ft
2026-04-24 Angel Martínez #26 74 Rogers Centre 105.2mph 35.0° 398.0ft
2026-04-18 Corbin Carroll #127 46 Chase Field 102.3mph 33.0° 389.0ft
2026-04-06 Shohei Ohtani #1 72 Rogers Centre 107.8mph 25.0° 414.0ft
2026-04-06 Teoscar Hernandez #6 53 Rogers Centre 102.2mph 29.0° 371.0ft
2026-04-06 Freddie Freeman #39 51 Rogers Centre 108.5mph 35.0° 438.0ft
2026-03-31 Hunter Goodman #23 57 Rogers Centre 110.9mph 29.0° 435.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 240 48.2% +0.8 81.2 32.3° 3
Slider 110 22.1% +4.5 80.3 21.7° 4
Changeup 79 15.9% -0.6 80.0 -2.1° 0
Curveball 64 12.9% +2.8 83.7 21.6° 1
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
65.7%
65.7%
All Scored Matchups
44 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-10 Justin Crawford #168 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Trea Turner #110 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Alec Bohm #63 55 🟠 C 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-10 Bryson Stott #61 55 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-10 Adolis García #38 60 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-10 Brandon Marsh #15 72 🟡 B 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-10 Bryce Harper #9 76 🟡 B 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-10 Kyle Schwarber #2 86 🟢 A 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-24 Brayan Rocchio #129 48 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-24 Kyle Manzardo #128 48 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-24 George Valera #122 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Bo Naylor #71 60 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Rhys Hoskins #70 60 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-24 Chase DeLauter #43 67 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-24 Angel Martínez #26 74 🟡 B ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-24 Daniel Schneemann #22 76 🟡 B ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-24 José Ramírez #19 77 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-18 Alek Thomas #245 19 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-18 Geraldo Perdomo #232 23 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-18 Jorge Barrosa #214 28 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-18 Nolan Arenado #204 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-18 Ildemaro Vargas #197 32 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-18 Gabriel Moreno #176 36 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-18 Jose Fernandez #169 37 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-18 Ketel Marte #148 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-18 Corbin Carroll #127 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-06 Michael Conforto #121 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-06 Mookie Betts #71 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-06 Tommy Edman #53 39 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-06 Freddie Freeman #39 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-06 Will Smith #17 53 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-06 Andy Pages #16 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-06 Max Muncy #8 57 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-06 Teoscar Hernandez #6 53 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-06 Shohei Ohtani #1 72 🟡 B ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-03-31 Tyler Freeman #207 27 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-31 Ryan Ritter #200 27 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-31 Ezequiel Tovar #99 43 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-31 Kyle Farmer #81 39 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-31 Brenton Doyle #72 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-31 Jordan Beck #64 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-31 Michael Toglia #42 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-31 Mickey Moniak #32 58 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-31 Hunter Goodman #23 57 🟠 C 📈 WARM 💥
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