Max Scherzer
RHP
TOR
10
HRs Allowed
22.7%
HR Rate (Pool)
24.4%
Overall HR/FB
7.9
FIP
5.82
xFIP
+2.09
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
2.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
24.4%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
94th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
65.7%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
7.9
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
99th pctile
5.82
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+2.09
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
98th pctile
22.7%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
44
Pool Matchups
10
HRs Allowed (Pool)
6
Top-15 Matchups
4
HRs to Top-15
22.7%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 37.5% | 3.0 | 97.5mph | 103.1mph | 31.3° | 381ft | Up +14.8pp |
| Last 15 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 37.5% | 3.0 | 97.5mph | 103.1mph | 31.3° | 381ft | Up +14.8pp |
| Last 30 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 37.5% | 3.0 | 97.5mph | 103.1mph | 31.3° | 381ft | Up +14.8pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
98.2
Avg Max EV
110.9
Max EV Allowed
23
Hard-Hit Proxy · 65.7%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
104.6
Avg HR EV
30.6°
Avg HR Launch
397
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Kyle Schwarber | 108.3mph | 108.3mph | 23° | 423ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-10 | Bryce Harper | 104.8mph | 99.8mph | 42° | 339ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-10 | Alec Bohm | 101.7mph | 101.2mph | 29° | · | Yes |
| 2026-04-24 | Bo Naylor | 108.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Rhys Hoskins | 107.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-24 | José Ramírez | 106.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Brayan Rocchio | 105.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Angel Martínez | 105.2mph | 105.2mph | 35° | 398ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Kyle Schwarber | #2 | 86 | Rogers Centre | 108.3mph | 23.0° | 423ft |
| 2026-06-10 | Bryce Harper | #9 | 76 | Rogers Centre | 99.8mph | 42.0° | 339ft |
| 2026-06-10 | Alec Bohm | #63 | 55 | Rogers Centre | 101.2mph | 29.0° | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Daniel Schneemann | #22 | 76 | Rogers Centre | 99.6mph | 26.0° | 366.0ft |
| 2026-04-24 | Angel Martínez | #26 | 74 | Rogers Centre | 105.2mph | 35.0° | 398.0ft |
| 2026-04-18 | Corbin Carroll | #127 | 46 | Chase Field | 102.3mph | 33.0° | 389.0ft |
| 2026-04-06 | Shohei Ohtani | #1 | 72 | Rogers Centre | 107.8mph | 25.0° | 414.0ft |
| 2026-04-06 | Teoscar Hernandez | #6 | 53 | Rogers Centre | 102.2mph | 29.0° | 371.0ft |
| 2026-04-06 | Freddie Freeman | #39 | 51 | Rogers Centre | 108.5mph | 35.0° | 438.0ft |
| 2026-03-31 | Hunter Goodman | #23 | 57 | Rogers Centre | 110.9mph | 29.0° | 435.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 240 | 48.2% | +0.8 | 81.2 | 32.3° | 3 |
| Slider | 110 | 22.1% | +4.5 | 80.3 | 21.7° | 4 |
| Changeup | 79 | 15.9% | -0.6 | 80.0 | -2.1° | 0 |
| Curveball | 64 | 12.9% | +2.8 | 83.7 | 21.6° | 1 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
65.7%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Justin Crawford | #168 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Trea Turner | #110 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Alec Bohm | #63 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-10 | Bryson Stott | #61 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Adolis García | #38 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Brandon Marsh | #15 | 72 | 🟡 B | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Bryce Harper | #9 | 76 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-10 | Kyle Schwarber | #2 | 86 | 🟢 A | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-24 | Brayan Rocchio | #129 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Kyle Manzardo | #128 | 48 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-24 | George Valera | #122 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Bo Naylor | #71 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Rhys Hoskins | #70 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Chase DeLauter | #43 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Angel Martínez | #26 | 74 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-24 | Daniel Schneemann | #22 | 76 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-24 | José Ramírez | #19 | 77 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Alek Thomas | #245 | 19 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Geraldo Perdomo | #232 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Jorge Barrosa | #214 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Nolan Arenado | #204 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Ildemaro Vargas | #197 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Gabriel Moreno | #176 | 36 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Jose Fernandez | #169 | 37 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Ketel Marte | #148 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Corbin Carroll | #127 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-06 | Michael Conforto | #121 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Mookie Betts | #71 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Tommy Edman | #53 | 39 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Freddie Freeman | #39 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-06 | Will Smith | #17 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Andy Pages | #16 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Max Muncy | #8 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Teoscar Hernandez | #6 | 53 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-06 | Shohei Ohtani | #1 | 72 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-03-31 | Tyler Freeman | #207 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Ryan Ritter | #200 | 27 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Ezequiel Tovar | #99 | 43 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Kyle Farmer | #81 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Brenton Doyle | #72 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Jordan Beck | #64 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Michael Toglia | #42 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Mickey Moniak | #32 | 58 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Hunter Goodman | #23 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |