2026
Pricing
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15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
Mike Paredes
Mike Paredes RHP MIN
25 matchups scored · 3 game days · 9 listed today
1 HRs Allowed
4.0% HR Rate (Pool)
12.8% Overall HR/FB
5.2 FIP
5.46 xFIP
-0.26 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot ?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards. Pool + today context
0.33
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
12.8%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
52th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
79.2%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.2
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
84th pctile
5.46
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.26
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
34th pctile
4.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
25
Pool Matchups
1
HRs Allowed (Pool)
1
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
4.0%
HR Rate
Platoon Story
RHP · 9/9 using split data
5
Platoon Edge Bats
4
Same-Side Bats
1
Switch Hitters
4L / 4R
Listed Hands
5 of 9 listed batters have the platoon edge against a RHP.
Tj Rumfield Jake Mccarthy Willi Castro Troy Johnston Edouard Julien
Today Context
COL @ MIN · 6:10p
1.09
Park Factor
2.0
Wind MPH · E
11.0%
Bullpen HR Flag
proxy_pa_leaders
Lineup Source
Target Field Roof open 63°F Weather 0.0 BP FIP 4.27
Today's Threat Breakdown · 9 batters COL @ MIN · 6:10p
# Batter Platoon Tier Score Batter HR/FB ?Batter HR/FB for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. Pitcher HR/FB ?Pitcher HR/FB allowed for this matchup. A vs LHH/vs RHH chip means a handedness split is shown; the profile card shows overall HR/FB. ISO Barrel Context Lineup BvP
10
RvR Same
🔵 C+ 69 37.0%vs RHP 0.0%vs RHH 0.267 7.0%
Park 1.09 Wind 2.0 E Roof open BP 11.0%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
 first look
73
LvR Edge
🟠 C 50 21.1%vs RHP 16.7%vs LHH 0.199 4.4%
Park 1.09 Wind 2.0 E Roof open BP 11.0%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
 first look
96
LvR Edge
⚪ D 46 15.6%vs RHP 16.7%vs LHH 0.164 3.8%
Park 1.09 Wind 2.0 E Roof open BP 11.0%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
 first look
113
SvR Edge
⚪ D 42 11.6%vs RHP 16.7%vs LHH 0.122 4.3%
Park 1.09 Wind 2.0 E Roof open BP 11.0%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
 first look
116
RvR Same Splits
⚪ D 42 18.2%vs RHP 0.0%vs RHH 0.137 4.9%
Park 1.09 Wind 2.0 E Roof open BP 11.0%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
 first look
122
RvR Same Splits
⚪ D 41 15.0%vs RHP 0.0%vs RHH 0.126 4.8%
Park 1.09 Wind 2.0 E Roof open BP 11.0%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
 first look
123
LvR Edge
⚪ D 40 10.0%vs RHP 16.7%vs LHH 0.151 2.8%
Park 1.09 Wind 2.0 E Roof open BP 11.0%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
 first look
157
LvR Edge
⚪ D 36 11.1%vs RHP 16.7%vs LHH 0.097 4.8%
Park 1.09 Wind 2.0 E Roof open BP 11.0%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
 first look
188
RvR Same
⚪ D 30 4.5%vs RHP 0.0%vs RHH 0.091 2.0%
Park 1.09 Wind 2.0 E Roof open BP 11.0%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
 first look
Target Field
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 16 2 1 6.2% 0.5 99.4mph 104.3mph 33.0° 394ft Up +2.2pp
Last 15 25 3 1 4.0% 0.33 97.8mph 104.3mph 33.0° 394ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 30 25 3 1 4.0% 0.33 97.8mph 104.3mph 33.0° 394ft Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
24 tracked BBE from 25 pool matchups
97.8
Avg Max EV
109.1
Max EV Allowed
19
Hard-Hit Proxy · 79.2%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
104.3
Avg HR EV
33.0°
Avg HR Launch
394
Avg HR Distance
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-21 Ketel Marte 109.1mph · · · ·
2026-06-21 Tommy Troy 106.2mph · · · ·
2026-06-21 Corbin Carroll 105.8mph · · · ·
2026-06-15 Jake Burger 104.9mph · · · ·
2026-06-15 Joc Pederson 104.3mph 104.3mph 33° 394ft Yes
2026-06-15 Brandon Nimmo 103.9mph · · · ·
2026-06-15 Alejandro Osuna 103.2mph · · · ·
2026-06-10 Dillon Dingler 105.2mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
3 days · 1 total HRs
HRs Allowed
1 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-15 Joc Pederson #62 51 Globe Life Field 104.3mph 33.0° 394ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 122 39.7% -0.8 86.6 23.9° 1
Changeup 70 22.8% +1.1 87.7 -4.3° 0
Sweeper 66 21.5% -1.1 80.2 21.8° 0
Cutter 49 16.0% -2.5 86.3 2.1° 1
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
79.2%
79.2%
All Scored Matchups
25 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-21 Pavin Smith #215 25 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-21 Geraldo Perdomo #197 30 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Ildemaro Vargas #176 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Jorge Barrosa #175 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-21 Nolan Arenado #166 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Tommy Troy #157 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Ketel Marte #108 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Gabriel Moreno #86 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-21 Corbin Carroll #32 63 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-15 Alejandro Osuna #148 12 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-15 Nicky Lopez #145 21 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-15 Josh Jung #118 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-15 Brandon Nimmo #92 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-15 Wyatt Langford #80 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-15 Joc Pederson #62 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-15 Jake Burger #59 52 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-10 Colt Keith #209 24 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Zach McKinstry #203 27 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-10 Zack Short #190 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-10 Gleyber Torres #149 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-10 Kevin McGonigle #138 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-10 Riley Greene #51 57 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-10 Spencer Torkelson #43 58 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-10 Kerry Carpenter #22 64 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Dillon Dingler #7 80 🟢 A 📈 WARM ·
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