2026
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15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
Ryan Gusto
Ryan Gusto RHP MIA
24 matchups scored · 3 game days · 7 listed today
0 HRs Allowed
0.0% HR Rate (Pool)
4.8% Overall HR/FB
2.74 FIP
3.29 xFIP
-0.56 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot ?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards. Pool + today context
0.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
4.8%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
4th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
66.7%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
2.74
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
11th pctile
3.29
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.56
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
20th pctile
0.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
24
Pool Matchups
0
HRs Allowed (Pool)
1
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
0.0%
HR Rate
Platoon Story
RHP · 7/7 using split data
3
Platoon Edge Bats
4
Same-Side Bats
0
Switch Hitters
3L / 4R
Listed Hands
3 of 7 listed batters have the platoon edge against a RHP.
Alec Burleson Nathan Church Jj Wetherholt
Today Context
MIA @ STL · 6:15p
0.83
Park Factor
2.0
Wind MPH · W
10.8%
Bullpen HR Flag
proxy_pa_leaders
Lineup Source
Busch Stadium Roof open 74°F Weather 0.0 BP FIP 3.94
Today's Threat Breakdown · 7 batters MIA @ STL · 6:15p
# Batter Platoon Tier Score Batter HR/FB ?Batter HR/FB for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. Pitcher HR/FB ?Pitcher HR/FB allowed for this matchup. A vs LHH/vs RHH chip means a handedness split is shown; the profile card shows overall HR/FB. ISO Barrel Context Lineup BvP
44
RvR Same
🟠 C 57 30.2%vs RHP 20.0%vs RHH 0.235 12.5%
Park 0.83 Wind 2.0 W Roof open BP 10.8%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
 first look
78
LvR Edge
🟠 C 50 23.1%vs RHP 12.5%vs LHH 0.201 11.0%
Park 0.83 Wind 2.0 W Roof open BP 10.8%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
 first look
147
RvR Same
⚪ D 37 19.4%vs RHP 20.0%vs RHH 0.166 9.0%
Park 0.83 Wind 2.0 W Roof open BP 10.8%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
 first look
158
LvR Edge Splits
⚪ D 36 22.7%vs RHP 12.5%vs LHH 0.141 10.2%
Park 0.83 Wind 2.0 W Roof open BP 10.8%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
 first look
163
LvR Edge
⚪ D 35 19.6%vs RHP 12.5%vs LHH 0.149 9.0%
Park 0.83 Wind 2.0 W Roof open BP 10.8%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
 first look
179
RvR Same Splits
⚪ D 31 20.0%vs RHP 20.0%vs RHH 0.134 8.3%
Park 0.83 Wind 2.0 W Roof open BP 10.8%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
 first look
202
RvR Same
⚪ D 26 13.6%vs RHP 20.0%vs RHH 0.091 6.2%
Park 0.83 Wind 2.0 W Roof open BP 10.8%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
 first look
Busch Stadium
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 15 2 0 0.0% 0.0 95.8mph · · · Flat +0.0pp
Last 15 24 3 0 0.0% 0.0 93.5mph · · · Flat +0.0pp
Last 30 24 3 0 0.0% 0.0 93.5mph · · · Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
24 tracked BBE from 24 pool matchups
93.5
Avg Max EV
108.9
Max EV Allowed
16
Hard-Hit Proxy · 66.7%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
—
Avg HR EV
—
Avg HR Launch
—
Avg HR Distance
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-21 Bryce Eldridge 103.1mph · · · ·
2026-06-21 Rafael Devers 102.2mph · · · ·
2026-06-21 Casey Schmitt 101.8mph · · · ·
2026-06-15 Kyle Schwarber 106.0mph · · · ·
2026-06-15 Brandon Marsh 102.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-10 Corbin Carroll 108.9mph · · · ·
2026-06-10 Ketel Marte 104.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-10 Ildemaro Vargas 100.9mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
3 days · 0 total HRs
HRs Allowed
0 home runs against scored batters
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 79 26.6% +0.3 84.7 31.4° 0
Changeup 57 19.2% -1.5 82.1 1.1° 0
Cutter 39 13.1% +1.2 85.6 8.8° 0
Sinker 39 13.1% -1.1 72.2 4.4° 0
Sweeper 33 11.1% -7.8 81.7 28.1° 0
Slider 31 10.4% +10.5 91.6 8.5° 1
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
66.7%
66.7%
All Scored Matchups
24 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-21 Daniel Susac #206 29 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Drew Gilbert #195 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Jung Hoo Lee #189 34 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-21 Matt Chapman #101 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-21 Rafael Devers #68 57 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-21 Willy Adames #63 58 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Casey Schmitt #43 61 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Bryce Eldridge #17 70 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-15 Justin Crawford #142 23 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-15 Trea Turner #130 31 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-15 Bryson Stott #87 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-15 Edmundo Sosa #85 44 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-15 Brandon Marsh #53 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-15 Bryce Harper #17 68 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-15 Kyle Schwarber #5 75 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Pavin Smith #229 15 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Geraldo Perdomo #218 22 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-10 Tommy Troy #183 30 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Ryan Waldschmidt #172 34 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-10 Ildemaro Vargas #115 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-10 Nolan Arenado #99 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-10 Ketel Marte #86 48 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Gabriel Moreno #62 55 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-10 Corbin Carroll #27 62 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
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