AZ
@
6:45p
STL
Stadium Conditions
Busch Stadium
First pitch 6:45p
· roof open
Park 0.83×
Wind 1 mph in
87°F
open
-9
5 mph · in
72°F
6:45p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
5 mph · in
72°F
7:45p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
5 mph · in
72°F
8:45p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
5 mph · in
72°F
9:45p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
5 mph · in
72°F
10:45p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Neutral · Combined 1.00
87°F, wind 1 mph WNW (in) — modifier: +2 — mild park boost, weather flat.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 12 | 0.238 | 93.9 | 11.6% | 30.2% vs RHP | 408 | 18.2% | 7.7% | 16.4% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Alec Burleson | 57 | 🟠 C | · | · | 26 | 0.202 | 91.7 | 10.3% | 23.1% vs RHP | 405 | 17.6% | 27.3% | 15.0% | 46 |
| 3 |
|
Lars Nootbaar | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 61 | 0.182 | 94.6 | 10.8% | 10.0% vs RHP | 439 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 74 | 0.168 | 89.9 | 8.3% | 19.4% vs RHP | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.3% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
Nathan Church | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 84 | 0.142 | 85.9 | 9.5% | 22.7% vs RHP | 387 | 6.5% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 21 |
| 6 |
|
Jj Wetherholt | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 86 | 0.151 | 90.0 | 8.5% | 19.6% vs RHP | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.0% | 45 |
| 7 |
|
Masyn Winn | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 117 | 0.092 | 87.7 | 5.8% | 13.6% vs RHP | 389 | 4.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 40 |
| 8 |
|
José Fermín | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 122 | 0.094 | 85.7 | 3.3% | 20.0% vs RHP | 372 | 5.3% | 20.0% | 8.1% | 22 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Corbin Carroll | 59 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 23 | 0.256 | 91.8 | 10.9% | 25.0% vs RHP | 406 | 16.9% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 40 |
| 2 |
|
Ketel Marte | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 53 | 0.188 | 91.3 | 10.0% | 14.3% vs RHP | 413 | 13.1% | 15.4% | 10.1% | 48 |
| 3 |
|
Gabriel Moreno | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 56 | 0.200 | 90.3 | 9.6% | 17.6% vs RHP | 395 | 11.4% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Jorge Barrosa | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 82 | 0.184 | 86.5 | 8.1% | 13.3% vs RHP | 376 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 16.4% | 8 |
| 5 |
|
Nolan Arenado | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 98 | 0.157 | 85.5 | 7.6% | 15.4% vs RHP | 400 | 9.7% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 40 |
| 6 |
|
Ildemaro Vargas | 34 | ⚪ D | · | · | 107 | 0.158 | 86.9 | 6.3% | 11.1% vs RHP | 399 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Adrian Del Castillo | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 111 | 0.117 | 89.3 | 7.8% | 16.7% vs RHP | 396 | 8.1% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 12 |
| 8 |
|
Geraldo Perdomo | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 125 | 0.105 | 87.2 | 5.0% | 7.9% vs RHP | 379 | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 37 |