NYY
@
7:10p
BOS
Stadium Conditions
Fenway Park
First pitch 7:10p
· roof open
Park 0.95×
Wind 3 mph out
84°F
open
+1
6 mph · slight_out
69°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
6 mph · slight_out
69°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
6 mph · slight_out
69°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
6 mph · slight_out
69°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
6 mph · slight_out
69°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.04
84°F, wind 3 mph W (out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ben Rice | 78 | 🟡 B | +1000 | · | 1 | 0.314 | 91.9 | 12.8% | 45.5% vs LHP | 390 | 25.4% | 33.3% | 35.8% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Paul Goldschmidt | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 6 | 0.239 | 86.9 | 11.1% | 42.1% vs LHP | 390 | 20.9% | 45.5% | 32.4% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Amed Rosario | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 16 | 0.219 | 90.3 | 11.3% | 15.0% vs LHP | 399 | 12.5% | 25.0% | 19.3% | 14 |
| 4 |
|
Cody Bellinger | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 42 | 0.185 | 89.1 | 9.2% | 17.4% vs LHP | 379 | 12.5% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Jasson Dominguez | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 64 | 0.224 | 89.6 | 4.5% | 16.7% vs LHP | 353 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.2% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Austin Wells | 36 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 97 | 0.094 | 89.3 | 8.4% | 9.1% vs LHP | 377 | 8.0% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 7 |
| 7 |
|
Jose Caballero | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 105 | 0.137 | 83.9 | 5.6% | 30.0% vs LHP | 371 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.4% | 26 |
| 8 |
|
Anthony Volpe | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 109 | 0.103 | 88.4 | 6.7% | 14.3% vs LHP | 409 | 2.7% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 26 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 55 | 🟠 C | +1000 | 🌧️ COOL | 32 | 0.229 | 90.0 | 8.9% | 33.3% vs RHP | 402 | 18.9% | 16.7% | 27.1% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 47 | ⚪ D | +950 | · | 55 | 0.174 | 89.8 | 8.6% | 13.0% vs RHP | 402 | 13.5% | 27.3% | 14.0% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Jarren Duran | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 66 | 0.162 | 89.8 | 8.4% | 36.7% vs RHP | 396 | 14.9% | 18.2% | 14.5% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 37 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 92 | 0.168 | 86.4 | 6.0% | 15.4% vs RHP | 370 | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 40 |
| 5 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 115 | 0.138 | 85.2 | 4.4% | 17.4% vs RHP | 388 | 5.7% | 18.2% | 9.7% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Carlos Narvaez | 24 | ⚪ D | +1000 | 🌤️ WARM | 130 | 0.082 | 91.0 | 6.2% | 11.1% vs RHP | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 8 |
| 7 |
|
Marcelo Mayer | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 132 | 0.089 | 86.0 | 5.9% | 2.9% vs RHP | 388 | 3.7% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 22 |
| 8 |
|
Masataka Yoshida | 21 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 137 | 0.094 | 88.4 | 3.1% | 3.3% vs RHP | 393 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 16 |