2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
CHC
@ 7:10p
NYM
Citi Field · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Citi Field

First pitch 7:10p · roof open
Park 1.08× Wind 16 mph slight_out 82°F open
+10
10 mph · out
70°F
7:10p
Boost for HR environment
+10
10 mph · out
70°F
8:10p
Boost for HR environment
+10
10 mph · out
70°F
9:10p
Boost for HR environment
+10
10 mph · out
70°F
10:10p
Boost for HR environment
+10
10 mph · out
70°F
11:10p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.51

82°F, wind 16 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +4. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Matthew Boyd LHP
1.61 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +1.04 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Juan Soto Juan Soto 75 🟡 B +950 🌧️ COOL 2 0.264 93.3 13.3% 16.0% vs LHP 399 20.3% 23.1% 30.3% 33
2 Mark Vientos Mark Vientos 62 🔵 C+ +1000 🌧️ COOL 13 0.177 89.5 11.0% 23.8% vs LHP 410 13.6% 40.0% 25.7% 17
3 Francisco Alvarez Francisco Alvarez 52 🟠 C · · 39 0.148 90.7 14.0% 25.0% vs LHP 405 0.0% 0.0% 21.8% 28
4 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 52 🟠 C +1000 🌧️ COOL 40 0.127 90.5 9.5% 23.5% vs LHP 382 11.5% 35.7% 19.0% 45
5 Carson Benge Carson Benge 49 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 51 0.140 90.1 10.5% 20.0% vs LHP 399 9.2% 14.3% 11.2% 39
6 Brett Baty Brett Baty 37 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 93 0.086 88.8 9.3% 0.0% vs LHP 415 4.1% 0.0% 7.3% 18
7 A.J. Ewing A.J. Ewing 35 ⚪ D · · 100 0.110 · 7.4% 12.5% vs LHP · 0.0% 0.0% 10.9% 34
8 Luis Torrens Luis Torrens 34 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 108 0.089 88.3 6.9% 0.0% vs LHP 413 4.0% 0.0% 7.8% 17
Freddy Peralta
Freddy Peralta RHP
1.28 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.28 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 69 🔵 C+ +850 🌧️ COOL 5 0.237 91.5 8.1% 22.4% vs RHP 393 20.0% 42.9% 33.1% 35
2 Ian Happ Ian Happ 62 🔵 C+ · ❄ COLD 14 0.240 90.0 8.6% 27.1% vs RHP 403 21.5% 7.1% 20.9% 32
3 Michael Busch Michael Busch 50 🟠 C · · 47 0.152 88.3 7.8% 14.8% vs RHP 400 12.3% 21.4% 13.6% 34
4 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 49 ⚪ D +950 🌤️ WARM 50 0.149 89.2 6.0% 15.9% vs RHP 394 14.1% 28.6% 14.2% 32
5 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 52 0.173 89.5 6.9% 23.5% vs RHP 409 10.2% 7.7% 10.7% 26
6 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 75 0.114 88.5 6.2% 5.3% vs RHP 421 5.8% 16.7% 10.6% 21
7 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 85 0.130 87.8 5.1% 16.7% vs RHP 395 6.4% 7.7% 7.5% 35
8 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 120 0.095 85.9 2.5% 4.5% vs RHP 383 5.1% 0.0% 6.2% 43
🏟️
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