CHC
@
7:10p
NYM
Stadium Conditions
Citi Field
First pitch 7:10p
· roof open
Park 1.08×
Wind 16 mph slight_out
82°F
open
+10
10 mph · out
70°F
7:10p
Boost for HR environment
+10
10 mph · out
70°F
8:10p
Boost for HR environment
+10
10 mph · out
70°F
9:10p
Boost for HR environment
+10
10 mph · out
70°F
10:10p
Boost for HR environment
+10
10 mph · out
70°F
11:10p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.51
82°F, wind 16 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +4. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Juan Soto | 75 | 🟡 B | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 2 | 0.264 | 93.3 | 13.3% | 16.0% vs LHP | 399 | 20.3% | 23.1% | 30.3% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Mark Vientos | 62 | 🔵 C+ | +1000 | 🌧️ COOL | 13 | 0.177 | 89.5 | 11.0% | 23.8% vs LHP | 410 | 13.6% | 40.0% | 25.7% | 17 |
| 3 |
|
Francisco Alvarez | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 39 | 0.148 | 90.7 | 14.0% | 25.0% vs LHP | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.8% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Bo Bichette | 52 | 🟠 C | +1000 | 🌧️ COOL | 40 | 0.127 | 90.5 | 9.5% | 23.5% vs LHP | 382 | 11.5% | 35.7% | 19.0% | 45 |
| 5 |
|
Carson Benge | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 51 | 0.140 | 90.1 | 10.5% | 20.0% vs LHP | 399 | 9.2% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 39 |
| 6 |
|
Brett Baty | 37 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 93 | 0.086 | 88.8 | 9.3% | 0.0% vs LHP | 415 | 4.1% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
A.J. Ewing | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 100 | 0.110 | · | 7.4% | 12.5% vs LHP | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 34 |
| 8 |
|
Luis Torrens | 34 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 108 | 0.089 | 88.3 | 6.9% | 0.0% vs LHP | 413 | 4.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 17 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 69 | 🔵 C+ | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 5 | 0.237 | 91.5 | 8.1% | 22.4% vs RHP | 393 | 20.0% | 42.9% | 33.1% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Ian Happ | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | ❄ COLD | 14 | 0.240 | 90.0 | 8.6% | 27.1% vs RHP | 403 | 21.5% | 7.1% | 20.9% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Michael Busch | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 47 | 0.152 | 88.3 | 7.8% | 14.8% vs RHP | 400 | 12.3% | 21.4% | 13.6% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 49 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 50 | 0.149 | 89.2 | 6.0% | 15.9% vs RHP | 394 | 14.1% | 28.6% | 14.2% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Seiya Suzuki | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 52 | 0.173 | 89.5 | 6.9% | 23.5% vs RHP | 409 | 10.2% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Carson Kelly | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 75 | 0.114 | 88.5 | 6.2% | 5.3% vs RHP | 421 | 5.8% | 16.7% | 10.6% | 21 |
| 7 |
|
Alex Bregman | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 85 | 0.130 | 87.8 | 5.1% | 16.7% vs RHP | 395 | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 120 | 0.095 | 85.9 | 2.5% | 4.5% vs RHP | 383 | 5.1% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 43 |