2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
Jack Perkins
Jack Perkins RHP ATH
30 matchups scored · 4 game days · 8 listed today
6 HRs Allowed
20.0% HR Rate (Pool)
6.4% Overall HR/FB
3.25 FIP
3.79 xFIP
-0.54 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
1.5
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
6.4%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
7th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
58.3%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.25
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
23th pctile
3.79
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.54
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
21th pctile
20.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
30
Pool Matchups
6
HRs Allowed (Pool)
0
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
20.0%
HR Rate
Platoon Story
RHP · 8/8 using split data
2
6
0
2L / 6R
2 of 8 listed batters have the platoon edge against a RHP.
Josh Lowe Nolan Schanuel
Today Context
ATH @ LAA · 6:38p
0.99
5.0
14.8%
proxy_pa_leaders
Angel Stadium Roof open 64°F Weather 0.0 BP FIP 4.83
Today's Threat Breakdown · 8 batters ATH @ LAA · 6:38p
# Batter Platoon Tier Score Batter HR/FB ?Batter HR/FB for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. Pitcher HR/FB ?Pitcher HR/FB allowed for this matchup. A vs LHH/vs RHH chip means a handedness split is shown; the profile card shows overall HR/FB. ISO Barrel Context Lineup BvP
25
RvR Same
🔵 C+ 62 23.2%vs RHP 14.3%vs RHH 0.225 9.1%
Park 0.99 Wind 5.0 SW Roof open BP 14.8%
·
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PA 2 HR 2 EV 98.7
35
RvR Same
🟠 C 59 39.3%vs RHP 14.3%vs RHH 0.221 8.5%
Park 0.99 Wind 5.0 SW Roof open BP 14.8%
·
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PA 1 HR 0
127
RvR Same
⚪ D 40 10.0%vs RHP 14.3%vs RHH 0.134 7.2%
Park 0.99 Wind 5.0 SW Roof open BP 14.8%
·
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PA 2 HR 0 EV 96.5
136
RvR Same
⚪ D 39 11.1%vs RHP 14.3%vs RHH 0.152 7.3%
Park 0.99 Wind 5.0 SW Roof open BP 14.8%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
first look
144
RvR Same
⚪ D 38 16.7%vs RHP 14.3%vs RHH 0.144 6.4%
Park 0.99 Wind 5.0 SW Roof open BP 14.8%
·
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first look
151
RvR Same
⚪ D 37 14.3%vs RHP 14.3%vs RHH 0.119 8.3%
Park 0.99 Wind 5.0 SW Roof open BP 14.8%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
PA 2 HR 0 EV 98.4
156
LvR Edge
⚪ D 36 16.1%vs RHP 18.2%vs LHH 0.120 7.0%
Park 0.99 Wind 5.0 SW Roof open BP 14.8%
·
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first look
166
LvR Edge
⚪ D 35 15.4%vs RHP 18.2%vs LHH 0.128 3.9%
Park 0.99 Wind 5.0 SW Roof open BP 14.8%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
PA 2 HR 0 EV 96.3
Angel Stadium
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 14 2 5 35.7% 2.5 98.6mph 99.5mph 29.0° 384ft Up +15.7pp
Last 15 23 3 5 21.7% 1.67 96.2mph 99.5mph 29.0° 384ft Flat +1.7pp
Last 30 30 4 6 20.0% 1.5 95.5mph 100.2mph 30.5° 382ft Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
24 tracked BBE from 30 pool matchups
95.5
106.0
14
0
100.2
30.5°
382
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-21 Denzer Guzman 104.6mph 101.6mph 23° 416ft Yes
2026-06-21 Donovan Walton 99.5mph 99.5mph 34° 391ft Yes
2026-06-21 Zach Neto 98.7mph 94.4mph 33° 391ft Yes
2026-06-16 Ryan O'Hearn 106.0mph · · · ·
2026-06-16 Bryan Reynolds 105.4mph 97.3mph 31° 350ft Yes
2026-06-16 Brandon Lowe 104.6mph 104.6mph 24° 371ft Yes
2026-06-10 Joey Ortiz 101.1mph · · · ·
2026-06-05 Jeremy Peña 105.7mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
4 days · 6 total HRs
HRs Allowed
6 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-21 Zach Neto #19 68 Sutter Health Park 94.4mph 33.0° 391ft
2026-06-21 Donovan Walton #70 57 Sutter Health Park 99.5mph 34.0° 391ft
2026-06-21 Denzer Guzman #163 37 Sutter Health Park 101.6mph 23.0° 416ft
2026-06-16 Brandon Lowe #29 65 Sutter Health Park 104.6mph 24.0° 371ft
2026-06-16 Bryan Reynolds #82 53 Sutter Health Park 97.3mph 31.0° 350ft
2026-06-05 Isaac Paredes #125 43 Minute Maid Park 103.9mph 38.0° 376ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 290 38.1% +0.1 82.4 27.8° 2
Sweeper 242 31.8% -1.3 79.8 15.1° 1
Changeup 124 16.3% +0.5 82.5 -6.0° 0
Cutter 67 8.8% +2.3 81.9 14.9° 1
Slider 20 2.6% -6.1 79.0 -6.0° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
58.3%
58.3%
All Scored Matchups
30 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-21 Denzer Guzman #163 37 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-21 Nolan Schanuel #160 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-21 Wade Meckler #117 45 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Jo Adell #111 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Logan O'Hoppe #95 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-21 Donovan Walton #70 57 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-21 Zach Neto #19 68 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-16 Jake Mangum #220 18 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-16 Marcell Ozuna #185 32 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-16 Nick Gonzales #165 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-16 Ryan O'Hearn #100 49 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-16 Bryan Reynolds #82 53 🟠 C 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-16 Spencer Horwitz #77 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-16 Brandon Lowe #29 65 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-10 Luis Rengifo #224 19 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-10 Joey Ortiz #222 20 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Sal Frelick #186 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-10 Christian Yelich #162 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 William Contreras #137 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 David Hamilton #123 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-10 Garrett Mitchell #122 43 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-10 Brice Turang #69 53 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-10 Jake Bauers #16 71 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-05 Christian Vázquez #207 26 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-05 Nick Allen #183 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-05 Jake Meyers #175 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 Jeremy Peña #135 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-05 Cam Smith #133 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-05 Isaac Paredes #125 43 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-05 Christian Walker #31 64 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
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