Hunter Dobbins
RHP
STL
4
HRs Allowed
25.0%
HR Rate (Pool)
6.3%
Overall HR/FB
2.5
FIP
2.88
xFIP
-0.39
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
2.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
6.3%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
7th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
75.0%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
2.5
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
8th pctile
2.88
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.39
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
29th pctile
25.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
16
Pool Matchups
4
HRs Allowed (Pool)
0
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
25.0%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 42.9% | 3.0 | 101.3mph | 103.3mph | 28.7° | 389ft | Up +17.9pp |
| Last 15 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 42.9% | 3.0 | 101.3mph | 103.3mph | 28.7° | 389ft | Up +17.9pp |
| Last 30 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 42.9% | 3.0 | 101.3mph | 103.3mph | 28.7° | 389ft | Up +17.9pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
98.9
Avg Max EV
110.0
Max EV Allowed
12
Hard-Hit Proxy · 75.0%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
104.9
Avg HR EV
28.2°
Avg HR Launch
396
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | Juan Soto | 108.9mph | 101.2mph | 30° | 398ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-11 | Jared Young | 105.6mph | 105.6mph | 22° | 390ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-11 | Bo Bichette | 104.9mph | 103.0mph | 34° | 378ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-11 | MJ Melendez | 102.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Brandon Lowe | 110.0mph | 110.0mph | 27° | 416ft | Yes |
| 2026-04-30 | Konnor Griffin | 106.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Henry Davis | 104.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Bryan Reynolds | 101.1mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | Juan Soto | #17 | 64 | Citi Field | 101.2mph | 30.0° | 398ft |
| 2026-06-11 | Jared Young | #24 | 61 | Citi Field | 105.6mph | 22.0° | 390ft |
| 2026-06-11 | Bo Bichette | #89 | 37 | Citi Field | 103.0mph | 34.0° | 378ft |
| 2026-04-30 | Brandon Lowe | #78 | 30 | PNC Park | 110.0mph | 27.0° | 416.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 96 | 32.5% | +0.2 | 82.5 | 28.8° | 0 |
| Slider | 58 | 19.7% | -0.3 | 83.2 | 12.8° | 1 |
| Sinker | 40 | 13.6% | -8.8 | 87.1 | 3.9° | 0 |
| Sweeper | 37 | 12.5% | +4.9 | 91.6 | 22.5° | 1 |
| Splitter | 35 | 11.9% | +1.2 | 82.8 | 8.6° | 1 |
| Curveball | 29 | 9.8% | +2.2 | 82.8 | 25.7° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
75.0%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | Brett Baty | #102 | 31 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Bo Bichette | #89 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-11 | Carson Benge | #46 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Marcus Semien | #32 | 56 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Jared Young | #24 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-11 | MJ Melendez | #23 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Juan Soto | #17 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-30 | Henry Davis | #180 | 5 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Nick Gonzales | #179 | 6 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Bryan Reynolds | #177 | 8 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Jake Mangum | #165 | 14 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Konnor Griffin | #164 | 14 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Spencer Horwitz | #121 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Ryan O'Hearn | #84 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Brandon Lowe | #78 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-30 | Oneil Cruz | #36 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |