2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
Tyler Phillips
Tyler Phillips RHP MIA
41 matchups scored · 5 game days
6 HRs Allowed
14.6% HR Rate (Pool)
6.7% Overall HR/FB
3.66 FIP
4.37 xFIP
-0.71 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
1.2
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
6.7%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
8th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
76.9%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.66
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
35th pctile
4.37
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.71
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
14th pctile
14.6%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
41
Pool Matchups
6
HRs Allowed (Pool)
2
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
14.6%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 16 2 4 25.0% 2.0 102.0mph 102.5mph 25.8° 402ft Up +10.4pp
Last 15 23 3 4 17.4% 1.33 97.7mph 102.5mph 25.8° 402ft Up +2.8pp
Last 30 41 5 6 14.6% 1.2 98.2mph 102.6mph 27.3° 393ft Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
39 tracked BBE from 41 pool matchups
98.2
111.4
30
0
102.6
27.3°
393
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-22 Jake Burger 111.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-22 Elias Díaz 109.3mph · · · ·
2026-06-22 Brandon Nimmo 107.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-22 Alejandro Osuna 106.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-22 Joc Pederson 104.7mph · · · ·
2026-06-22 Ezequiel Duran 103.4mph 103.4mph 29° 407ft Yes
2026-06-22 Wyatt Langford 102.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-16 Alec Bohm 105.7mph 105.7mph 27° 447ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
5 days · 6 total HRs
HRs Allowed
6 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-22 Ezequiel Duran #158 39 loanDepot Park 103.4mph 29.0° 407ft
2026-06-16 Kyle Schwarber #17 70 Citizens Bank Park 96.6mph 23.0° 352ft
2026-06-16 Brandon Marsh #106 48 Citizens Bank Park 104.4mph 24.0° 402ft
2026-06-16 Alec Bohm #114 47 Citizens Bank Park 105.7mph 27.0° 447ft
2026-05-30 Jared Young #217 33 Citi Field 105.2mph 25.0° 366ft
2026-05-30 Hayden Senger #267 12 Citi Field 100.5mph 36.0° 386ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Sinker 245 25.9% +2.8 84.7 5.4° 3
Splitter 227 24.0% -1.1 79.3 -2.8° 1
Sweeper 225 23.8% -2.2 83.7 32.8° 0
Curveball 163 17.2% +0.2 83.0 4.6° 0
Fastball 87 9.2% +2.1 83.7 21.2° 2
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
76.9%
76.9%
All Scored Matchups
41 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-22 Alejandro Osuna #212 12 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-22 Nicky Lopez #210 17 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-22 Josh Jung #162 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-22 Ezequiel Duran #158 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-22 Brandon Nimmo #131 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-22 Joc Pederson #81 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-22 Wyatt Langford #80 51 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-22 Elias Díaz #77 52 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-22 Jake Burger #76 52 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-16 Justin Crawford #215 22 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-16 Bryson Stott #158 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-16 Edmundo Sosa #152 39 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-16 Alec Bohm #114 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-16 Brandon Marsh #106 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-16 Bryce Harper #34 64 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-16 Kyle Schwarber #17 70 🟡 B 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-11 Geraldo Perdomo #118 25 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-11 Tommy Troy #115 26 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-11 Jorge Barrosa #96 34 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-11 Nolan Arenado #78 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-11 Ketel Marte #58 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-11 Gabriel Moreno #37 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-11 Corbin Carroll #11 67 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-30 Vidal Bruján #268 12 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-30 Hayden Senger #267 12 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-30 A.J. Ewing #242 24 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-05-30 Jared Young #217 33 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-30 Marcus Semien #206 35 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-30 Carson Benge #199 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-30 Mark Vientos #134 45 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-30 Bo Bichette #119 48 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-30 Juan Soto #13 75 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-24 Hayden Senger #285 11 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-24 A.J. Ewing #248 26 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-05-24 Marcus Semien #217 33 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-24 Carson Benge #184 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-24 Brett Baty #133 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-24 Tyrone Taylor #122 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-24 MJ Melendez #121 45 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-24 Bo Bichette #117 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-24 Mark Vientos #92 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
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