Gage Jump
LHP
ATH
1
HRs Allowed
2.6%
HR Rate (Pool)
0.0%
Overall HR/FB
2.53
FIP
4.07
xFIP
-1.53
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.2
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
0.0%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
3th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
43.8%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
2.53
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
8th pctile
4.07
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-1.53
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
1th pctile
2.6%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
39
Pool Matchups
1
HRs Allowed (Pool)
2
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
2.6%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 7.1% | 0.5 | 95.8mph | 106.1mph | 30.0° | 416ft | Up +4.5pp |
| Last 15 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 4.5% | 0.33 | 96.1mph | 106.1mph | 30.0° | 416ft | Flat +1.9pp |
| Last 30 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 2.6% | 0.2 | 94.2mph | 106.1mph | 30.0° | 416ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
94.2
Avg Max EV
107.3
Max EV Allowed
14
Hard-Hit Proxy · 43.8%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
106.1
Avg HR EV
30.0°
Avg HR Launch
416
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Rafael Devers | 106.1mph | 106.1mph | 30° | 416ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | Jung Hoo Lee | 102.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Casey Schmitt | 101.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Zach Neto | 106.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Kyle Karros | 104.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Cam Smith | 107.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Jeremy Peña | 104.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | 105.1mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Rafael Devers | #189 | 35 | Oracle Park | 106.1mph | 30.0° | 416ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 215 | 48.5% | -2.5 | 82.3 | 30.6° | 0 |
| Slider | 110 | 24.8% | -1.9 | 85.2 | 13.7° | 0 |
| Curveball | 54 | 12.2% | -1.5 | 72.5 | 2.6° | 0 |
| Changeup | 38 | 8.6% | -0.3 | 74.8 | 4.1° | 0 |
| Sweeper | 26 | 5.9% | +2.8 | 88.1 | 9.4° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
43.8%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Drew Gilbert | #249 | 16 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Luis Arráez | #245 | 19 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Jung Hoo Lee | #240 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Matt Chapman | #227 | 27 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Willy Adames | #190 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Rafael Devers | #189 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-24 | Casey Schmitt | #166 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Nolan Schanuel | #111 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Logan O'Hoppe | #98 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Jo Adell | #92 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Oswald Peraza | #90 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Vaughn Grissom | #79 | 42 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Zach Neto | #26 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Mike Trout | #21 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Willi Castro | #206 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Edouard Julien | #162 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Tj Rumfield | #155 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Troy Johnston | #146 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Kyle Karros | #131 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Ezequiel Tovar | #110 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Jake Mccarthy | #105 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Hunter Goodman | #10 | 74 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Christian Vázquez | #221 | 21 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Brice Matthews | #203 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Jake Meyers | #192 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Nick Allen | #189 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Cam Smith | #156 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Jeremy Peña | #144 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Isaac Paredes | #84 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Christian Walker | #59 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Kevin Alcántara | #251 | 6 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Nico Hoerner | #238 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Carson Kelly | #229 | 22 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Alex Bregman | #212 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Dansby Swanson | #193 | 31 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Seiya Suzuki | #163 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Michael Busch | #99 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #79 | 51 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Ian Happ | #14 | 70 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |