Ian Seymour
LHP
TB
5
HRs Allowed
18.5%
HR Rate (Pool)
13.8%
Overall HR/FB
4.15
FIP
4.26
xFIP
-0.11
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.67
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
13.8%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
63th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
73.1%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.15
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
55th pctile
4.26
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.11
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
43th pctile
18.5%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
27
Pool Matchups
5
HRs Allowed (Pool)
2
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
18.5%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 22.2% | 2.0 | 101.3mph | 104.8mph | 31.5° | 410ft | Up +3.7pp |
| Last 15 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 16.7% | 1.5 | 99.0mph | 104.3mph | 32.7° | 407ft | Flat -1.8pp |
| Last 30 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 16.7% | 1.5 | 99.0mph | 104.3mph | 32.7° | 407ft | Flat -1.8pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
98.9
Avg Max EV
110.9
Max EV Allowed
19
Hard-Hit Proxy · 73.1%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
103.6
Avg HR EV
31.0°
Avg HR Launch
405
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | James Wood | 110.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Dylan Crews | 109.6mph | 106.8mph | 25° | 442ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-20 | Andrés Chaparro | 109.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Jacob Young | 105.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-20 | CJ Abrams | 102.8mph | 102.8mph | 38° | 378ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-08 | Wilyer Abreu | 106.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Marcelo Mayer | 103.3mph | 103.3mph | 35° | 401ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-08 | Mickey Gasper | 102.3mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | CJ Abrams | #40 | 61 | Tropicana Field | 102.8mph | 38.0° | 378ft |
| 2026-06-20 | Dylan Crews | #60 | 56 | Tropicana Field | 106.8mph | 25.0° | 442ft |
| 2026-06-08 | Marcelo Mayer | #107 | 30 | Tropicana Field | 103.3mph | 35.0° | 401ft |
| 2026-05-15 | Connor Norby | #170 | 38 | Tropicana Field | 105.1mph | 27.0° | 412.0ft |
| 2026-05-15 | Jakob Marsee | #192 | 33 | Tropicana Field | 100.0mph | 30.0° | 394.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changeup | 271 | 33.2% | -2.5 | 77.9 | 15.7° | 0 |
| Fastball | 188 | 23.0% | +1.0 | 81.7 | 33.3° | 2 |
| Sweeper | 185 | 22.6% | -2.0 | 79.1 | 36.7° | 2 |
| Sinker | 120 | 14.7% | +0.6 | 76.7 | 20.0° | 2 |
| Slider | 32 | 3.9% | +2.7 | 77.2 | 19.5° | 1 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
73.1%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Nasim Nuñez | #212 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Andrés Chaparro | #171 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Daylen Lile | #134 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Jacob Young | #103 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Keibert Ruiz | #93 | 49 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Dylan Crews | #60 | 56 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-20 | CJ Abrams | #40 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-20 | Curtis Mead | #28 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | James Wood | #7 | 76 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Marcelo Mayer | #107 | 30 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-08 | Mickey Gasper | #104 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Caleb Durbin | #91 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Carlos Narváez | #85 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Isiah Kiner-Falefa | #80 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #66 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Wilyer Abreu | #55 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Jarren Duran | #18 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Willson Contreras | #9 | 73 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Christopher Morel | #252 | 14 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Kyle Stowers | #223 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Jakob Marsee | #192 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-15 | Connor Norby | #170 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-15 | Xavier Edwards | #163 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Otto Lopez | #141 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Joe Mack | #131 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Liam Hicks | #113 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Esteury Ruiz | #56 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |