Cole Ragans
LHP
KC
11
HRs Allowed
15.5%
HR Rate (Pool)
21.5%
Overall HR/FB
6.2
FIP
4.67
xFIP
+1.54
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.38
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
21.5%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
91th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
71.7%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
6.2
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
93th pctile
4.67
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+1.54
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
96th pctile
15.5%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
71
Pool Matchups
11
HRs Allowed (Pool)
8
Top-15 Matchups
3
HRs to Top-15
15.5%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 11.1% | 1.0 | 96.5mph | 101.2mph | 26.5° | 388ft | Down -4.4pp |
| Last 15 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 11.1% | 1.0 | 94.9mph | 104.1mph | 27.7° | 397ft | Down -4.4pp |
| Last 30 | 53 | 6 | 7 | 13.2% | 1.17 | 96.7mph | 104.4mph | 28.9° | 387ft | Down -2.3pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
97.8
Avg Max EV
111.6
Max EV Allowed
38
Hard-Hit Proxy · 71.7%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
104.3
Avg HR EV
27.1°
Avg HR Launch
384
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Daniel Schneemann | 106.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Brayan Rocchio | 102.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Bo Naylor | 102.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-06 | José Ramírez | 100.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Kyle Manzardo | 100.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Julio Rodríguez | 107.5mph | 105.9mph | 27° | 416ft | Yes |
| 2026-05-01 | Cole Young | 101.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Randy Arozarena | 96.5mph | 96.5mph | 26° | 359ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Randy Arozarena | #69 | 36 | T-Mobile Park | 96.5mph | 26.0° | 359.0ft |
| 2026-05-01 | Julio Rodríguez | #112 | 31 | T-Mobile Park | 105.9mph | 27.0° | 416.0ft |
| 2026-04-25 | Jo Adell | #201 | 33 | Kauffman Stadium | 110.0mph | 30.0° | 416.0ft |
| 2026-04-19 | Ben Rice | #1 | 90 | Yankee Stadium | 97.9mph | 33.0° | 350.0ft |
| 2026-04-19 | Aaron Judge | #2 | 90 | Yankee Stadium | 111.6mph | 30.0° | 425.0ft |
| 2026-04-19 | Trent Grisham | #32 | 66 | Yankee Stadium | 103.0mph | 34.0° | 369.0ft |
| 2026-04-08 | Angel Martinez | #186 | 30 | Progressive Field | 105.6mph | 22.0° | 374.0ft |
| 2026-04-02 | Matt Wallner | #3 | 51 | Kauffman Stadium | 106.8mph | 20.0° | 405.0ft |
| 2026-03-27 | Drake Baldwin | #21 | 44 | Truist Park | 110.2mph | 21.0° | 370.0ft |
| 2026-03-27 | Michael Harris II | #47 | 39 | Truist Park | 102.9mph | 22.0° | 372.0ft |
| 2026-03-27 | Ozzie Albies | #89 | 31 | Truist Park | 96.6mph | 33.0° | 367.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 404 | 55.8% | -0.9 | 83.4 | 30.0° | 4 |
| Changeup | 125 | 17.3% | +2.6 | 78.7 | 20.4° | 2 |
| Slider | 100 | 13.8% | +1.0 | 81.0 | 9.3° | 1 |
| Knuckle Curve | 59 | 8.1% | +7.0 | 88.7 | 19.4° | 3 |
| Cutter | 36 | 5.0% | +0.9 | 78.8 | -17.6° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
71.7%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Brayan Rocchio | #135 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Steven Kwan | #134 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Bo Naylor | #113 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Kyle Manzardo | #102 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Rhys Hoskins | #62 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | José Ramírez | #40 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Chase DeLauter | #32 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Angel Martínez | #27 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Daniel Schneemann | #17 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Julio Rodríguez | #112 | 31 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-01 | Leo Rivas | #100 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-01 | J.P. Crawford | #92 | 33 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Josh Naylor | #76 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Randy Arozarena | #69 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-01 | Cole Young | #64 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Cal Raleigh | #42 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Luke Raley | #23 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Dominic Canzone | #12 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Nolan Schanuel | #218 | 30 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Jo Adell | #201 | 33 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-25 | Logan O'Hoppe | #191 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Josh Lowe | #168 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Yoán Moncada | #144 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Zach Neto | #115 | 50 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Oswald Peraza | #98 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Jorge Soler | #94 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Mike Trout | #28 | 71 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Paul Goldschmidt | #101 | 50 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-19 | José Caballero | #88 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Austin Wells | #66 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Ryan McMahon | #60 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Cody Bellinger | #59 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Trent Grisham | #32 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-19 | Amed Rosario | #9 | 83 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Aaron Judge | #2 | 90 | 🔥 A+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-19 | Ben Rice | #1 | 90 | 🔥 A+ | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-14 | Gleyber Torres | #70 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Javier Baez | #65 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Colt Keith | #55 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Zach McKinstry | #50 | 46 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Dillon Dingler | #36 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Spencer Torkelson | #32 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Riley Greene | #17 | 56 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Kerry Carpenter | #4 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Brayan Rocchio | #213 | 27 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Steven Kwan | #210 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Angel Martinez | #186 | 30 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-04-08 | Nolan Jones | #149 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Daniel Schneemann | #134 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Bo Naylor | #118 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Jose Ramirez | #75 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Gabriel Arias | #60 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Kyle Manzardo | #56 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-02 | Christian Vazquez | #46 | 23 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-02 | Ryan Jeffers | #38 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-02 | Luke Keaschall | #35 | 31 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-02 | Royce Lewis | #25 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-02 | Edouard Julien | #21 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-02 | Brooks Lee | #20 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-02 | Trevor Larnach | #16 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-02 | Matt Wallner | #3 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-02 | Byron Buxton | #2 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Nick Allen | #108 | 10 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Ozzie Albies | #89 | 31 | ⚪ D | · — | 💥 |
| 2026-03-27 | Jurickson Profar | #62 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Austin Riley | #49 | 44 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Michael Harris II | #47 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-03-27 | Marcell Ozuna | #37 | 41 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Matt Olson | #32 | 48 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Drake Baldwin | #21 | 44 | ⚪ D | · — | 💥 |
| 2026-03-27 | Ronald Acuna Jr. | #6 | 51 | 🟠 C | · — | · |