2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Cole Ragans
Cole Ragans LHP KC
71 matchups scored · 8 game days
11 HRs Allowed
15.5% HR Rate (Pool)
21.5% Overall HR/FB
6.2 FIP
4.67 xFIP
+1.54 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
1.38
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
21.5%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
91th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
71.7%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
6.2
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
93th pctile
4.67
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+1.54
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
96th pctile
15.5%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
71
Pool Matchups
11
HRs Allowed (Pool)
8
Top-15 Matchups
3
HRs to Top-15
15.5%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 18 2 2 11.1% 1.0 96.5mph 101.2mph 26.5° 388ft Down -4.4pp
Last 15 27 3 3 11.1% 1.0 94.9mph 104.1mph 27.7° 397ft Down -4.4pp
Last 30 53 6 7 13.2% 1.17 96.7mph 104.4mph 28.9° 387ft Down -2.3pp
Batted-Ball Damage
53 tracked BBE from 71 pool matchups
97.8
111.6
38
0
104.3
27.1°
384
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-05-06 Daniel Schneemann 106.4mph · · · ·
2026-05-06 Brayan Rocchio 102.9mph · · · ·
2026-05-06 Bo Naylor 102.4mph · · · ·
2026-05-06 José Ramírez 100.8mph · · · ·
2026-05-06 Kyle Manzardo 100.7mph · · · ·
2026-05-01 Julio Rodríguez 107.5mph 105.9mph 27° 416ft Yes
2026-05-01 Cole Young 101.4mph · · · ·
2026-05-01 Randy Arozarena 96.5mph 96.5mph 26° 359ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
8 days · 11 total HRs
HRs Allowed
11 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-05-01 Randy Arozarena #69 36 T-Mobile Park 96.5mph 26.0° 359.0ft
2026-05-01 Julio Rodríguez #112 31 T-Mobile Park 105.9mph 27.0° 416.0ft
2026-04-25 Jo Adell #201 33 Kauffman Stadium 110.0mph 30.0° 416.0ft
2026-04-19 Ben Rice #1 90 Yankee Stadium 97.9mph 33.0° 350.0ft
2026-04-19 Aaron Judge #2 90 Yankee Stadium 111.6mph 30.0° 425.0ft
2026-04-19 Trent Grisham #32 66 Yankee Stadium 103.0mph 34.0° 369.0ft
2026-04-08 Angel Martinez #186 30 Progressive Field 105.6mph 22.0° 374.0ft
2026-04-02 Matt Wallner #3 51 Kauffman Stadium 106.8mph 20.0° 405.0ft
2026-03-27 Drake Baldwin #21 44 Truist Park 110.2mph 21.0° 370.0ft
2026-03-27 Michael Harris II #47 39 Truist Park 102.9mph 22.0° 372.0ft
2026-03-27 Ozzie Albies #89 31 Truist Park 96.6mph 33.0° 367.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 404 55.8% -0.9 83.4 30.0° 4
Changeup 125 17.3% +2.6 78.7 20.4° 2
Slider 100 13.8% +1.0 81.0 9.3° 1
Knuckle Curve 59 8.1% +7.0 88.7 19.4° 3
Cutter 36 5.0% +0.9 78.8 -17.6° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
71.7%
71.7%
All Scored Matchups
71 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-05-06 Brayan Rocchio #135 32 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-06 Steven Kwan #134 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-06 Bo Naylor #113 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-06 Kyle Manzardo #102 36 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-06 Rhys Hoskins #62 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-06 José Ramírez #40 45 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-06 Chase DeLauter #32 47 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-06 Angel Martínez #27 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-06 Daniel Schneemann #17 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-01 Julio Rodríguez #112 31 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-01 Leo Rivas #100 32 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-01 J.P. Crawford #92 33 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-01 Josh Naylor #76 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-01 Randy Arozarena #69 36 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-01 Cole Young #64 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-01 Cal Raleigh #42 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-01 Luke Raley #23 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-01 Dominic Canzone #12 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-25 Nolan Schanuel #218 30 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-25 Jo Adell #201 33 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-25 Logan O'Hoppe #191 35 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-25 Josh Lowe #168 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-25 Yoán Moncada #144 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-25 Zach Neto #115 50 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-25 Oswald Peraza #98 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-25 Jorge Soler #94 55 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-25 Mike Trout #28 71 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 Paul Goldschmidt #101 50 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-19 José Caballero #88 52 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-19 Austin Wells #66 57 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-19 Ryan McMahon #60 60 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-19 Cody Bellinger #59 60 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 Trent Grisham #32 66 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-19 Amed Rosario #9 83 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 Aaron Judge #2 90 🔥 A+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-19 Ben Rice #1 90 🔥 A+ 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-14 Gleyber Torres #70 41 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-14 Javier Baez #65 25 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-14 Colt Keith #55 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-14 Zach McKinstry #50 46 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-14 Dillon Dingler #36 56 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-14 Spencer Torkelson #32 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-14 Riley Greene #17 56 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-14 Kerry Carpenter #4 65 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-08 Brayan Rocchio #213 27 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-08 Steven Kwan #210 24 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-08 Angel Martinez #186 30 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-04-08 Nolan Jones #149 30 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-08 Daniel Schneemann #134 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-08 Bo Naylor #118 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-08 Jose Ramirez #75 43 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-08 Gabriel Arias #60 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-08 Kyle Manzardo #56 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-02 Christian Vazquez #46 23 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-02 Ryan Jeffers #38 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-02 Luke Keaschall #35 31 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-02 Royce Lewis #25 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-02 Edouard Julien #21 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-02 Brooks Lee #20 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-02 Trevor Larnach #16 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-02 Matt Wallner #3 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-02 Byron Buxton #2 56 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-27 Nick Allen #108 10 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-27 Ozzie Albies #89 31 ⚪ D · — 💥
2026-03-27 Jurickson Profar #62 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-27 Austin Riley #49 44 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-27 Michael Harris II #47 39 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-03-27 Marcell Ozuna #37 41 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-27 Matt Olson #32 48 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-27 Drake Baldwin #21 44 ⚪ D · — 💥
2026-03-27 Ronald Acuna Jr. #6 51 🟠 C · — ·
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