Luinder Avila
RHP
KC
5
HRs Allowed
9.8%
HR Rate (Pool)
7.8%
Overall HR/FB
4.34
FIP
4.72
xFIP
-0.38
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.83
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
7.8%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
11th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
62.5%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.34
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
62th pctile
4.72
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.38
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
28th pctile
9.8%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
51
Pool Matchups
5
HRs Allowed (Pool)
3
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
9.8%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 5.9% | 0.5 | 96.0mph | 108.5mph | 38.0° | 416ft | Down -3.9pp |
| Last 15 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 16.0% | 1.33 | 98.2mph | 106.1mph | 35.8° | 410ft | Up +6.2pp |
| Last 30 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 11.9% | 1.0 | 95.7mph | 104.5mph | 35.4° | 404ft | Up +2.1pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
96.2
Avg Max EV
109.3
Max EV Allowed
30
Hard-Hit Proxy · 62.5%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
104.5
Avg HR EV
35.4°
Avg HR Launch
404
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Junior Caminero | 109.3mph | 108.5mph | 38° | 416ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | Jonathan Aranda | 105.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Richie Palacios | 100.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | CJ Abrams | 104.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | James Wood | 104.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Daylen Lile | 104.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | José Tena | 101.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Keibert Ruiz | 101.2mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Junior Caminero | #62 | 55 | Tropicana Field | 108.5mph | 38.0° | 416ft |
| 2026-06-12 | Yordan Álvarez | #36 | 62 | Kauffman Stadium | 108.7mph | 31.0° | 419ft |
| 2026-06-12 | Christian Walker | #76 | 52 | Kauffman Stadium | 99.7mph | 40.0° | 370ft |
| 2026-06-12 | Brice Matthews | #214 | 24 | Kauffman Stadium | 107.5mph | 34.0° | 433ft |
| 2026-06-01 | JJ Bleday | #2 | 77 | Great American Ball Park | 98.3mph | 34.0° | 380ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 208 | 26.1% | +0.5 | 82.4 | 20.5° | 1 |
| Sinker | 203 | 25.5% | +0.9 | 84.6 | 12.6° | 0 |
| Slider | 199 | 25.0% | -0.3 | 77.9 | 13.7° | 1 |
| Curveball | 111 | 13.9% | +1.1 | 82.4 | 15.6° | 2 |
| Changeup | 76 | 9.5% | +0.7 | 85.9 | 5.6° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
62.5%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Chandler Simpson | #229 | 16 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Taylor Walls | #218 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Richie Palacios | #212 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Hunter Feduccia | #198 | 30 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Cedric Mullins | #182 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Yandy Díaz | #108 | 46 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Jonny DeLuca | #93 | 49 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Jonathan Aranda | #87 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Junior Caminero | #62 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-17 | Nasim Nuñez | #232 | 14 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | José Tena | #122 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Daylen Lile | #112 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Keibert Ruiz | #104 | 47 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-17 | CJ Abrams | #64 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Dylan Crews | #44 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Curtis Mead | #32 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | James Wood | #6 | 75 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Christian Vázquez | #226 | 19 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Brice Matthews | #214 | 24 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-12 | José Altuve | #195 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Jeremy Peña | #177 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Cam Smith | #104 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Isaac Paredes | #94 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Christian Walker | #76 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-12 | Yordan Álvarez | #36 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-06 | Trevor Larnach | #198 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Austin Martin | #193 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Josh Bell | #191 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Tristan Gray | #161 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Royce Lewis | #156 | 38 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Ryan Kreidler | #129 | 42 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Brooks Lee | #88 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Kody Clemens | #48 | 58 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Edwin Arroyo | #156 | 15 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Blake Dunn | #106 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Matt McLain | #85 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Tyler Stephenson | #64 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Spencer Steer | #63 | 47 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Eugenio Suárez | #60 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Sal Stewart | #22 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | JJ Bleday | #2 | 77 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-01 | Nathaniel Lowe | #1 | 78 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Joey Ortiz | #237 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Caleb Durbin | #234 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Sal Frelick | #232 | 21 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Isaac Collins | #228 | 26 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Jackson Chourio | #219 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-04 | William Contreras | #218 | 26 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Rhys Hoskins | #215 | 32 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Brice Turang | #214 | 27 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Christian Yelich | #205 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |