2026
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15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
David Peterson
David Peterson LHP NYM
61 matchups scored · 7 game days · 8 listed today
6 HRs Allowed
9.8% HR Rate (Pool)
10.2% Overall HR/FB
3.37 FIP
3.71 xFIP
-0.34 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot ?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards. Pool + today context
0.86
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
10.2%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
28th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
65.4%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.37
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
26th pctile
3.71
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.34
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
30th pctile
9.8%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
61
Pool Matchups
6
HRs Allowed (Pool)
2
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
9.8%
HR Rate
Platoon Story
LHP · 8/8 using split data
2
Platoon Edge Bats
6
Same-Side Bats
0
Switch Hitters
6L / 2R
Listed Hands
2 of 8 listed batters have the platoon edge against a LHP.
Jackson Chourio William Contreras
Today Context
CHC @ MIL · 6:10p
1.12
Park Factor
2.0
Wind MPH · NNW
17.0%
Bullpen HR Flag
proxy_pa_leaders
Lineup Source
American Family Field Roof retractable 56°F Weather -1.0 BP FIP 4.84
Today's Threat Breakdown · 8 batters CHC @ MIL · 6:10p
# Batter Platoon Tier Score Batter HR/FB ?Batter HR/FB for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. Pitcher HR/FB ?Pitcher HR/FB allowed for this matchup. A vs LHH/vs RHH chip means a handedness split is shown; the profile card shows overall HR/FB. ISO Barrel Context Lineup BvP
12
LvL Same
🔵 C+ 68 16.7%vs LHP 33.3%vs LHH 0.273 9.1%
Park 1.12 Wind 2.0 NNW Roof retractable BP 17.0%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
 first look
13
RvL Edge
🔵 C+ 67 50.0%vs LHP 8.8%vs RHH 0.233 9.3%
Park 1.12 Wind 2.0 NNW Roof retractable BP 17.0%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
PA 1 HR 0
52
LvL Same
🟠 C 55 17.2% 33.3%vs LHH 0.153 9.0%
Park 1.12 Wind 2.0 NNW Roof retractable BP 17.0%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
 first look
62
LvL Same
🟠 C 53 12.5%vs LHP 33.3%vs LHH 0.196 7.5%
Park 1.12 Wind 2.0 NNW Roof retractable BP 17.0%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
PA 1 HR 0
80
RvL Edge
🟠 C 50 10.5%vs LHP 8.8%vs RHH 0.149 6.9%
Park 1.12 Wind 2.0 NNW Roof retractable BP 17.0%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
PA 1 HR 0
107
LvL Same Splits
⚪ D 43 33.3%vs LHP 33.3%vs LHH 0.134 6.3%
Park 1.12 Wind 2.0 NNW Roof retractable BP 17.0%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
PA 1 HR 0
169
LvL Same Splits
⚪ D 34 6.2% 33.3%vs LHH 0.098 5.1%
Park 1.12 Wind 2.0 NNW Roof retractable BP 17.0%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
 first look
180
LvL Same
⚪ D 31 12.5%vs LHP 33.3%vs LHH 0.093 3.9%
Park 1.12 Wind 2.0 NNW Roof retractable BP 17.0%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
PA 1 HR 0
American Family Field
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 8 1 2 25.0% 2.0 97.1mph 106.6mph 30.0° 404ft Up +15.2pp
Last 15 8 1 2 25.0% 2.0 97.1mph 106.6mph 30.0° 404ft Up +15.2pp
Last 30 17 2 2 11.8% 1.0 96.9mph 106.6mph 30.0° 404ft Up +2.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
52 tracked BBE from 61 pool matchups
98.0
Avg Max EV
114.6
Max EV Allowed
34
Hard-Hit Proxy · 65.4%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
104.2
Avg HR EV
29.3°
Avg HR Launch
396
Avg HR Distance
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-21 Bryce Harper 108.1mph 108.1mph 25° 390ft Yes
2026-06-21 Kyle Schwarber 105.1mph 105.1mph 35° 418ft Yes
2026-06-21 Brandon Marsh 101.8mph · · · ·
2026-06-21 Derek Hill 101.3mph · · · ·
2026-05-26 Elly De La Cruz 108.7mph · · · ·
2026-05-26 Eugenio Suárez 104.3mph · · · ·
2026-05-21 James Wood 111.7mph · · · ·
2026-05-21 Jacob Young 110.1mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
7 days · 6 total HRs
HRs Allowed
6 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-21 Kyle Schwarber #2 79 Citizens Bank Park 105.1mph 35.0° 418ft
2026-06-21 Bryce Harper #38 62 Citizens Bank Park 108.1mph 25.0° 390ft
2026-04-29 Curtis Mead #212 19 Citi Field 99.7mph 28.0° 392.0ft
2026-04-29 Brady House #232 16 Citi Field 106.0mph 25.0° 385.0ft
2026-04-13 Andy Pages #68 41 Dodger Stadium 97.0mph 30.0° 364.0ft
2026-04-02 Dominic Smith #42 24 Oracle Park 109.1mph 33.0° 430.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Sinker 341 28.8% +0.7 86.1 9.9° 3
Slider 295 24.9% -1.8 82.9 8.3° 1
Fastball 266 22.5% +2.4 80.1 21.4° 1
Curveball 149 12.6% +2.3 75.4 4.2° 1
Changeup 133 11.2% +3.4 79.4 9.0° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
65.4%
65.4%
All Scored Matchups
61 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-21 Trea Turner #167 37 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-21 Derek Hill #136 42 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-21 Alec Bohm #127 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-21 Bryson Stott #124 44 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-21 Edmundo Sosa #102 47 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-21 Brandon Marsh #90 50 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Bryce Harper #38 62 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-21 Kyle Schwarber #2 79 🟡 B ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-26 Blake Dunn #194 32 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-26 Eugenio Suárez #191 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-26 Tyler Stephenson #143 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-26 Dane Myers #128 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-26 Matt McLain #126 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-26 Spencer Steer #122 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-26 Sal Stewart #60 52 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-26 Elly De La Cruz #41 61 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-26 JJ Bleday #28 64 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-21 Nasim Nuñez #116 8 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-21 Jorbit Vivas #101 23 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-21 Jacob Young #81 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-21 Brady House #57 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-21 Luis García Jr. #47 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-21 Curtis Mead #39 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-21 Daylen Lile #33 45 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-21 CJ Abrams #27 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-21 James Wood #5 70 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-29 Nasim Nuñez #260 6 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-29 Jacob Young #256 10 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-29 Luis García Jr. #244 13 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-29 Brady House #232 16 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-29 Jorbit Vivas #216 18 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-29 Curtis Mead #212 19 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-29 CJ Abrams #191 22 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-29 Daylen Lile #185 23 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-29 James Wood #104 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-13 Michael Conforto #82 31 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-13 Mookie Betts #81 35 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-13 Will Smith #76 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-13 Freddie Freeman #70 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-13 Andy Pages #68 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-13 Teoscar Hernández #59 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-13 Teoscar Hernandez #58 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-13 Shohei Ohtani #35 59 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-02 Patrick Bailey #50 21 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-02 Jung Hoo Lee #49 24 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-02 Tyler Fitzgerald #47 22 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-02 Dominic Smith #42 24 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-02 Wilmer Flores #39 25 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-02 Heliot Ramos #37 29 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-02 Casey Schmitt #36 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-02 Matt Chapman #28 35 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-02 Willy Adames #27 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-28 Jake Mangum #238 19 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-28 Nick Gonzales #231 24 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-28 Nick Yorke #215 20 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-28 Jared Triolo #213 29 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-28 Joey Bart #208 28 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-28 Bryan Reynolds #138 35 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-28 Ryan O'Hearn #135 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-28 Marcell Ozuna #118 37 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-28 Brandon Lowe #63 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
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