2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 10 Bo Bichette 4 HRs · 11 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 12 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs 1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 10 Bo Bichette 4 HRs · 11 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 12 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs
Zebby Matthews
Zebby Matthews RHP MIN
48 matchups scored · 6 game days
11 HRs Allowed
22.9% HR Rate (Pool)
17.2% Overall HR/FB
4.23 FIP
3.97 xFIP
+0.26 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
1.83
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
17.2%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
83th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
62.2%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.23
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
58th pctile
3.97
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.26
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
63th pctile
22.9%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
48
Pool Matchups
11
HRs Allowed (Pool)
4
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
22.9%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 14 2 2 14.3% 1.0 98.4mph 108.5mph 28.5° 418ft Down -8.6pp
Last 15 23 3 7 30.4% 2.33 98.6mph 100.9mph 30.1° 389ft Up +7.5pp
Last 30 48 6 11 22.9% 1.83 97.2mph 100.7mph 30.5° 383ft Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
45 tracked BBE from 48 pool matchups
97.2
112.8
28
0
100.7
30.5°
383
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-22 Shohei Ohtani 112.8mph 112.8mph 25° 414ft Yes
2026-06-22 Freddie Freeman 104.2mph 104.2mph 32° 423ft Yes
2026-06-22 Max Muncy 103.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-22 Andy Pages 101.8mph · · · ·
2026-06-16 Joc Pederson 106.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-16 Josh Jung 103.8mph · · · ·
2026-06-16 Brandon Nimmo 103.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-11 Dillon Dingler 104.9mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
6 days · 11 total HRs
HRs Allowed
11 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-22 Shohei Ohtani #5 77 Target Field 112.8mph 25.0° 414ft
2026-06-22 Freddie Freeman #50 58 Target Field 104.2mph 32.0° 423ft
2026-06-11 Riley Greene #30 56 Comerica Park 98.6mph 30.0° 356ft
2026-06-11 Spencer Torkelson #52 50 Comerica Park 95.6mph 30.0° 371ft
2026-06-11 Gleyber Torres #84 38 Comerica Park 100.5mph 30.0° 368ft
2026-06-11 Zach McKinstry #105 31 Comerica Park 93.2mph 33.0° 374ft
2026-06-11 Colt Keith #117 25 Comerica Park 101.5mph 31.0° 419ft
2026-05-31 Ryan O'Hearn #130 45 PNC Park 98.6mph 26.0° 354ft
2026-05-31 Nick Gonzales #268 11 PNC Park 103.5mph 26.0° 407ft
2026-05-25 Munetaka Murakami #32 62 Rate Field 105.7mph 41.0° 375.0ft
2026-05-25 Drew Romo #73 51 Rate Field 93.4mph 32.0° 352.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 278 36.9% -0.7 85.3 32.1° 3
Slider 159 21.1% -2.1 85.5 14.7° 2
Curveball 103 13.7% -0.9 81.5 22.3° 1
Changeup 96 12.7% +3.5 85.2 9.8° 2
Cutter 87 11.6% +1.9 85.6 14.4° 2
Sinker 30 4.0% +2.6 86.0 5.1° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
62.2%
62.2%
All Scored Matchups
48 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-22 Kyle Tucker #144 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-22 Mookie Betts #83 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-22 Dalton Rushing #58 56 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-22 Andy Pages #56 57 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-22 Freddie Freeman #50 58 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-22 Ryan Ward #20 67 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-22 Max Muncy #9 73 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-22 Shohei Ohtani #5 77 🟡 B 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-06-16 Ezequiel Duran #148 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-16 Josh Jung #136 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-16 Brandon Nimmo #123 45 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-16 Jake Burger #70 54 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-16 Kyle Higashioka #67 55 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-16 Joc Pederson #45 61 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-11 Colt Keith #117 25 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-11 Zach McKinstry #105 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-11 Gleyber Torres #84 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-11 Kevin McGonigle #83 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-11 Jake Rogers #65 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-11 Spencer Torkelson #52 50 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-11 Riley Greene #30 56 🟠 C 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-11 Kerry Carpenter #15 64 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-11 Dillon Dingler #4 79 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-05 Isaac Collins #198 29 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-05 Kyle Isbel #197 30 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 Nick Loftin #164 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 Vinnie Pasquantino #150 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 Carter Jensen #123 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 Jac Caglianone #96 47 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 Michael Massey #58 55 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Nick Gonzales #268 11 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-31 Jared Triolo #267 11 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Jake Mangum #252 23 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-31 Bryan Reynolds #137 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-31 Henry Davis #135 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-31 Ryan O'Hearn #130 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-31 Spencer Horwitz #102 50 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-31 Oneil Cruz #63 57 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-31 Brandon Lowe #53 61 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-25 Rikuu Nishida #229 12 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-05-25 Sam Antonacci #179 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-25 Andrew Benintendi #130 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-25 Chase Meidroth #108 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-25 Tristan Peters #98 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-25 Drew Romo #73 51 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-25 Munetaka Murakami #32 62 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-25 Colson Montgomery #29 63 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-25 Miguel Vargas #18 66 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
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