Zebby Matthews
RHP
MIN
11
HRs Allowed
22.9%
HR Rate (Pool)
17.2%
Overall HR/FB
4.23
FIP
3.97
xFIP
+0.26
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.83
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
17.2%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
83th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
62.2%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.23
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
58th pctile
3.97
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.26
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
63th pctile
22.9%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
48
Pool Matchups
11
HRs Allowed (Pool)
4
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
22.9%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 14.3% | 1.0 | 98.4mph | 108.5mph | 28.5° | 418ft | Down -8.6pp |
| Last 15 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 30.4% | 2.33 | 98.6mph | 100.9mph | 30.1° | 389ft | Up +7.5pp |
| Last 30 | 48 | 6 | 11 | 22.9% | 1.83 | 97.2mph | 100.7mph | 30.5° | 383ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
97.2
Avg Max EV
112.8
Max EV Allowed
28
Hard-Hit Proxy · 62.2%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
100.7
Avg HR EV
30.5°
Avg HR Launch
383
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Shohei Ohtani | 112.8mph | 112.8mph | 25° | 414ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | Freddie Freeman | 104.2mph | 104.2mph | 32° | 423ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | Max Muncy | 103.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Andy Pages | 101.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Joc Pederson | 106.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Josh Jung | 103.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Brandon Nimmo | 103.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Dillon Dingler | 104.9mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Shohei Ohtani | #5 | 77 | Target Field | 112.8mph | 25.0° | 414ft |
| 2026-06-22 | Freddie Freeman | #50 | 58 | Target Field | 104.2mph | 32.0° | 423ft |
| 2026-06-11 | Riley Greene | #30 | 56 | Comerica Park | 98.6mph | 30.0° | 356ft |
| 2026-06-11 | Spencer Torkelson | #52 | 50 | Comerica Park | 95.6mph | 30.0° | 371ft |
| 2026-06-11 | Gleyber Torres | #84 | 38 | Comerica Park | 100.5mph | 30.0° | 368ft |
| 2026-06-11 | Zach McKinstry | #105 | 31 | Comerica Park | 93.2mph | 33.0° | 374ft |
| 2026-06-11 | Colt Keith | #117 | 25 | Comerica Park | 101.5mph | 31.0° | 419ft |
| 2026-05-31 | Ryan O'Hearn | #130 | 45 | PNC Park | 98.6mph | 26.0° | 354ft |
| 2026-05-31 | Nick Gonzales | #268 | 11 | PNC Park | 103.5mph | 26.0° | 407ft |
| 2026-05-25 | Munetaka Murakami | #32 | 62 | Rate Field | 105.7mph | 41.0° | 375.0ft |
| 2026-05-25 | Drew Romo | #73 | 51 | Rate Field | 93.4mph | 32.0° | 352.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 278 | 36.9% | -0.7 | 85.3 | 32.1° | 3 |
| Slider | 159 | 21.1% | -2.1 | 85.5 | 14.7° | 2 |
| Curveball | 103 | 13.7% | -0.9 | 81.5 | 22.3° | 1 |
| Changeup | 96 | 12.7% | +3.5 | 85.2 | 9.8° | 2 |
| Cutter | 87 | 11.6% | +1.9 | 85.6 | 14.4° | 2 |
| Sinker | 30 | 4.0% | +2.6 | 86.0 | 5.1° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
62.2%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Kyle Tucker | #144 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Mookie Betts | #83 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Dalton Rushing | #58 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Andy Pages | #56 | 57 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Freddie Freeman | #50 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-22 | Ryan Ward | #20 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Max Muncy | #9 | 73 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Shohei Ohtani | #5 | 77 | 🟡 B | 🔥 HOT | 💥 |
| 2026-06-16 | Ezequiel Duran | #148 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Josh Jung | #136 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Brandon Nimmo | #123 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Jake Burger | #70 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Kyle Higashioka | #67 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Joc Pederson | #45 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Colt Keith | #117 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-11 | Zach McKinstry | #105 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-11 | Gleyber Torres | #84 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-11 | Kevin McGonigle | #83 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Jake Rogers | #65 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Spencer Torkelson | #52 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-11 | Riley Greene | #30 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-11 | Kerry Carpenter | #15 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Dillon Dingler | #4 | 79 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Isaac Collins | #198 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Kyle Isbel | #197 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Nick Loftin | #164 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Vinnie Pasquantino | #150 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Carter Jensen | #123 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Jac Caglianone | #96 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Michael Massey | #58 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Nick Gonzales | #268 | 11 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-31 | Jared Triolo | #267 | 11 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Jake Mangum | #252 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Bryan Reynolds | #137 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Henry Davis | #135 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Ryan O'Hearn | #130 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-31 | Spencer Horwitz | #102 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Oneil Cruz | #63 | 57 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Brandon Lowe | #53 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Rikuu Nishida | #229 | 12 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Sam Antonacci | #179 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Andrew Benintendi | #130 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Chase Meidroth | #108 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Tristan Peters | #98 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Drew Romo | #73 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-25 | Munetaka Murakami | #32 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-25 | Colson Montgomery | #29 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Miguel Vargas | #18 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |