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Study Day
📅 2026-06-23
0
Top-5 Hits
1
Top-15 Hits
31
HRs in Slate
84%
Coverage
235
Scored
What Happened
A high-volume day with 31 HRs across scored matchups.
Pitcher vulnerability was the dominant signal — multiple arms with elevated FIP and HR/FB rates.
Why It Worked
Pitcher Vulnerability
9 of the top 15 faced pitchers with FIP ≥ 4.50
Warm Weather
6 top-15 batters played in 75°F+ conditions
HR-Friendly Parks
7 top-15 matchups in parks with factor ≥ 1.05
Stacking Opportunities
2 same-pitcher stacks for parlay potential
🔥 High Conviction Day
0 matchups met the Golden criteria (pitcher FIP > 5.0 AND HR/FB > 20%).
Stack Alerts:
TOR Bullpen Proxy: {'batter': 'Yordan Alvarez', 'rank': 1, 'score': 87.0}, {'batter': 'Christian Walker', 'rank': 12, 'score': 70.0}
Nick Lodolo: {'batter': 'Jackson Chourio', 'rank': 3, 'score': 77.0}, {'batter': 'Jake Bauers', 'rank': 10, 'score': 72.0}
Top 15 Matchups
| # | Result | Batter | Pitcher | HR/FB | Score | FIP | Park | Form | Barrel | HR Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | Yordan Alvarez | TOR Bullpen Proxy | 32.2% | 87 | 4.0 | 1.16 | 🌧️ | 18.8% | |
| 2 | — | Kyle Schwarber | PJ Poulin | 35.6% | 82 | 5.2 | 0.99 | · | 15.3% | |
| 3 | — | Jackson Chourio | Nick Lodolo | 45.4% | 77 | 6.2 | 1.07 | 🌧️ | 11.2% | |
| 4 | — | JJ Bleday | Brandon Sproat | 35.0% | 77 | 5.4 | 1.07 | 🌧️ | 9.6% | |
| 5 | — | Juan Soto | Edward Cabrera | 34.4% | 76 | 5.7 | 0.94 | 🌧️ | 13.9% | |
| 6 | — | Hunter Goodman | Sonny Gray | 41.6% | 75 | 3.9 | 1.12 | · | 10.7% | |
| 7 | — | Willson Contreras | Sean Sullivan | 29.2% | 75 | 7.0 | 1.12 | ❄ | 13.0% | |
| 8 | — | Byron Buxton | Justin Wrobleski | 24.9% | 75 | 3.4 | 1.01 | 🌤️ | 12.0% | |
| 9 | — | Pete Alonso | Ryan Johnson | 31.0% | 72 | 7.1 | 1.02 | 🌧️ | 10.6% | |
| 10 | — | Jake Bauers | Nick Lodolo | 19.5% | 72 | 6.2 | 1.07 | 🌤️ | 10.9% | |
| 11 | ✅ | Pete Crow-Armstrong | Kodai Senga | 28.1% | 70 | 6.9 | 0.94 | 🌧️ | 11.6% | 101.9 mph · 409ft · 27.0° |
| 12 | — | Christian Walker | TOR Bullpen Proxy | 24.9% | 70 | 4.0 | 1.16 | 🌧️ | 10.7% | |
| 13 | — | Shohei Ohtani | Kendry Rojas | 21.9% | 70 | 3.5 | 1.01 | 🔥 | 12.0% | |
| 14 | — | Nick Kurtz | Robbie Ray | 23.5% | 69 | 5.0 | 0.86 | · | 14.4% | |
| 15 | — | Matt Olson | SD Bullpen Proxy | 25.2% | 69 | 4.2 | 0.91 | 🌧️ | 13.7% |
All 31 HRs in Slate
Show all ranked picks that hit
| # | Batter | HR/FB | EV | Dist | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | 28.1% | 101.9 | 409ft | 27.0° |
| 41 | Wilyer Abreu | 10.7% | 103.0 | 443ft | 34.0° |
| 49 | Owen Caissie | 18.2% | 100.8 | 367ft | 28.0° |
| 50 | Jac Caglianone | 17.2% | 110.0 | 416ft | 22.0° |
| 62 | Junior Caminero | 13.2% | 108.5 | 416ft | 38.0° |
| 71 | Cam Smith | 9.3% | 106.7 | 436ft | 25.0° |
| 72 | Miguel Vargas | 16.2% | 101.0 | 376ft | 33.0° |
| 81 | Daulton Varsho | 11.4% | 106.0 | 395ft | 30.0° |
| 91 | Brandon Marsh | 14.6% | 103.8 | 400ft | 28.0° |
| 95 | Francisco Alvarez | 10.5% | 105.2 | 403ft | 26.0° |
| 98 | Brooks Lee | 12.8% | 94.9 | 349ft | 33.0° |
| 99 | Joc Pederson | 12.5% | 106.7 | 384ft | 22.0° |
| 105 | Bo Bichette | 13.0% | 102.5 | 388ft | 23.0° |
| 117 | Heriberto Hernández | 16.4% | 103.2 | 416ft | 29.0° |
| 118 | Joe Mack | 11.0% | 103.0 | 395ft | 39.0° |
| 119 | Dansby Swanson | 8.9% | 104.4 | 380ft | 22.0° |
| 123 | Bryson Stott | 9.4% | 104.4 | 403ft | 31.0° |
| 127 | Ezequiel Tovar | 10.7% | 95.3 | 380ft | 29.0° |
| 146 | Willi Castro | 8.9% | 107.9 | 435ft | 27.0° |
| 147 | Brandon Nimmo | 8.7% | 105.9 | 412ft | 22.0° |
| 148 | Nick Loftin | 6.8% | 103.8 | 403ft | 29.0° |
| 169 | Taylor Trammell | 10.5% | 108.3 | 421ft | 35.0° |
| 170 | Victor Caratini | 10.2% | 100.4 | 369ft | 28.0° |
| 175 | Mauricio Dubón | 7.2% | 99.0 | 382ft | 34.0° |
| 176 | Cal Raleigh | 6.9% | 99.4 | 393ft | 32.0° |
| 181 | Yainer Diaz | 8.7% | 106.3 | 391ft | 25.0° |
| 183 | Nolan Schanuel | 7.2% | 98.0 | 382ft | 34.0° |
| 193 | Cole Young | 6.1% | 100.9 | 382ft | 36.0° |
| 200 | Jung Hoo Lee | 6.8% | 99.9 | 414ft | 30.0° |
| 222 | Jorbit Vivas | 8.1% | 103.5 | 410ft | 23.0° |
| 227 | Alex Call | 4.7% | 99.7 | 368ft | 26.0° |