2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
Ben Brown
Ben Brown RHP CHC
67 matchups scored · 8 game days
4 HRs Allowed
6.0% HR Rate (Pool)
3.3% Overall HR/FB
2.51 FIP
3.26 xFIP
-0.75 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
0.5
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
3.3%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
3th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
76.3%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
2.51
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
8th pctile
3.26
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.75
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
13th pctile
6.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
67
Pool Matchups
4
HRs Allowed (Pool)
3
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
6.0%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 14 2 1 7.1% 0.5 93.7mph 98.2mph 28.0° 374ft Flat +1.1pp
Last 15 22 3 2 9.1% 0.67 95.1mph 103.4mph 28.5° 380ft Up +3.1pp
Last 30 40 5 3 7.5% 0.6 98.3mph 103.3mph 28.0° 391ft Flat +1.5pp
Batted-Ball Damage
59 tracked BBE from 67 pool matchups
98.5
112.0
45
0
102.8
30.0°
386
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-19 Kazuma Okamoto 106.8mph · · · ·
2026-06-19 Andrés Giménez 105.0mph · · · ·
2026-06-19 Davis Schneider 101.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-19 George Springer 98.2mph 98.2mph 28° 374ft Yes
2026-06-13 Rafael Devers 102.9mph · · · ·
2026-06-13 Luis Arráez 101.1mph · · · ·
2026-06-13 Willy Adames 100.3mph · · · ·
2026-06-06 Rafael Devers 108.6mph 108.6mph 29° 387ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
8 days · 4 total HRs
HRs Allowed
4 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-19 George Springer #110 47 Wrigley Field 98.2mph 28.0° 374ft
2026-06-06 Rafael Devers #98 48 Wrigley Field 108.6mph 29.0° 387ft
2026-05-25 Henry Davis #163 34 PNC Park 103.1mph 27.0° 413.0ft
2026-05-19 Brice Turang #83 48 Wrigley Field 101.4mph 36.0° 370.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 374 37.0% -0.5 85.9 22.6° 1
Knuckle Curve 369 36.5% -3.4 84.3 8.9° 1
Sinker 207 20.5% -2.1 81.1 6.8° 0
Changeup 60 5.9% -1.1 89.2 18.4° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
76.3%
76.3%
All Scored Matchups
67 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-19 Nathan Lukes #212 17 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-19 Andrés Giménez #167 34 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-19 Alejandro Kirk #142 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 George Springer #110 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-19 Kazuma Okamoto #89 49 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-19 Jesús Sánchez #73 52 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-19 Davis Schneider #57 55 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-13 Luis Arráez #217 22 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-13 Drew Gilbert #199 27 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-13 Jung Hoo Lee #190 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-13 Rafael Devers #144 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-13 Willy Adames #121 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-13 Matt Chapman #118 45 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-13 Casey Schmitt #105 47 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-06 Drew Gilbert #177 34 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-06 Jung Hoo Lee #149 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-06 Matt Chapman #146 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-06 Rafael Devers #98 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-06 Bryce Eldridge #71 52 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-06 Willy Adames #52 58 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-06 Casey Schmitt #22 66 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-06 Eric Haase #1 83 🟢 A 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-30 Victor Scott II #258 16 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-30 Jimmy Crooks #255 19 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-05-30 Masyn Winn #241 24 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-30 Nolan Gorman #193 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-30 Alec Burleson #146 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-30 Bryan Torres #139 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-30 JJ Wetherholt #129 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-30 Iván Herrera #63 58 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-30 Jordan Walker #29 65 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-25 Jhostynxon Garcia #233 5 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-25 Nick Gonzales #232 7 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-25 Konnor Griffin #219 19 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-25 Bryan Reynolds #206 24 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-25 Marcell Ozuna #178 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-25 Henry Davis #163 34 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-25 Spencer Horwitz #138 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-25 Oneil Cruz #96 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-25 Brandon Lowe #50 56 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-19 David Hamilton #255 11 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-19 Joey Ortiz #244 16 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-19 Sal Frelick #224 23 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-19 Luis Rengifo #213 26 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-19 William Contreras #181 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-19 Brice Turang #83 48 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-19 Gary Sánchez #63 54 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-19 Garrett Mitchell #62 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-19 Jake Bauers #29 65 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-14 Ha-Seong Kim #133 27 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-14 Mauricio Dubón #118 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-14 Mike Yastrzemski #110 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-14 Ozzie Albies #88 37 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-14 Dominic Smith #59 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-14 Austin Riley #50 49 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-14 Michael Harris II #34 54 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-14 Drake Baldwin #14 64 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-14 Matt Olson #8 74 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-08 Josh Smith #236 8 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-08 Evan Carter #175 20 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-08 Jake Burger #160 22 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-08 Wyatt Langford #141 24 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-05-08 Danny Jansen #134 26 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-08 Joc Pederson #110 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-08 Brandon Nimmo #109 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-08 Corey Seager #81 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-08 Josh Jung #55 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
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