Ben Brown
RHP
CHC
4
HRs Allowed
6.0%
HR Rate (Pool)
3.3%
Overall HR/FB
2.51
FIP
3.26
xFIP
-0.75
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.5
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
3.3%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
3th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
76.3%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
2.51
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
8th pctile
3.26
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.75
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
13th pctile
6.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
67
Pool Matchups
4
HRs Allowed (Pool)
3
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
6.0%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 7.1% | 0.5 | 93.7mph | 98.2mph | 28.0° | 374ft | Flat +1.1pp |
| Last 15 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 9.1% | 0.67 | 95.1mph | 103.4mph | 28.5° | 380ft | Up +3.1pp |
| Last 30 | 40 | 5 | 3 | 7.5% | 0.6 | 98.3mph | 103.3mph | 28.0° | 391ft | Flat +1.5pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
98.5
Avg Max EV
112.0
Max EV Allowed
45
Hard-Hit Proxy · 76.3%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
102.8
Avg HR EV
30.0°
Avg HR Launch
386
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Kazuma Okamoto | 106.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Andrés Giménez | 105.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Davis Schneider | 101.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-19 | George Springer | 98.2mph | 98.2mph | 28° | 374ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-13 | Rafael Devers | 102.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Luis Arráez | 101.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Willy Adames | 100.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Rafael Devers | 108.6mph | 108.6mph | 29° | 387ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | George Springer | #110 | 47 | Wrigley Field | 98.2mph | 28.0° | 374ft |
| 2026-06-06 | Rafael Devers | #98 | 48 | Wrigley Field | 108.6mph | 29.0° | 387ft |
| 2026-05-25 | Henry Davis | #163 | 34 | PNC Park | 103.1mph | 27.0° | 413.0ft |
| 2026-05-19 | Brice Turang | #83 | 48 | Wrigley Field | 101.4mph | 36.0° | 370.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 374 | 37.0% | -0.5 | 85.9 | 22.6° | 1 |
| Knuckle Curve | 369 | 36.5% | -3.4 | 84.3 | 8.9° | 1 |
| Sinker | 207 | 20.5% | -2.1 | 81.1 | 6.8° | 0 |
| Changeup | 60 | 5.9% | -1.1 | 89.2 | 18.4° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
76.3%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Nathan Lukes | #212 | 17 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Andrés Giménez | #167 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Alejandro Kirk | #142 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | George Springer | #110 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-19 | Kazuma Okamoto | #89 | 49 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Jesús Sánchez | #73 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Davis Schneider | #57 | 55 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Luis Arráez | #217 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Drew Gilbert | #199 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Jung Hoo Lee | #190 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Rafael Devers | #144 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Willy Adames | #121 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Matt Chapman | #118 | 45 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Casey Schmitt | #105 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Drew Gilbert | #177 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Jung Hoo Lee | #149 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Matt Chapman | #146 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Rafael Devers | #98 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-06 | Bryce Eldridge | #71 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Willy Adames | #52 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Casey Schmitt | #22 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Eric Haase | #1 | 83 | 🟢 A | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Victor Scott II | #258 | 16 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Jimmy Crooks | #255 | 19 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Masyn Winn | #241 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Nolan Gorman | #193 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Alec Burleson | #146 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Bryan Torres | #139 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-30 | JJ Wetherholt | #129 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Iván Herrera | #63 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Jordan Walker | #29 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Jhostynxon Garcia | #233 | 5 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Nick Gonzales | #232 | 7 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Konnor Griffin | #219 | 19 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Bryan Reynolds | #206 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Marcell Ozuna | #178 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Henry Davis | #163 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-25 | Spencer Horwitz | #138 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Oneil Cruz | #96 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Brandon Lowe | #50 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-19 | David Hamilton | #255 | 11 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Joey Ortiz | #244 | 16 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Sal Frelick | #224 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Luis Rengifo | #213 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | William Contreras | #181 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Brice Turang | #83 | 48 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-05-19 | Gary Sánchez | #63 | 54 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Garrett Mitchell | #62 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Jake Bauers | #29 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Ha-Seong Kim | #133 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Mauricio Dubón | #118 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Mike Yastrzemski | #110 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Ozzie Albies | #88 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Dominic Smith | #59 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Austin Riley | #50 | 49 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Michael Harris II | #34 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Drake Baldwin | #14 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Matt Olson | #8 | 74 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Josh Smith | #236 | 8 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Evan Carter | #175 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Jake Burger | #160 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Wyatt Langford | #141 | 24 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Danny Jansen | #134 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Joc Pederson | #110 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Brandon Nimmo | #109 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Corey Seager | #81 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Josh Jung | #55 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |