Griffin Canning
RHP
SD
8
HRs Allowed
11.4%
HR Rate (Pool)
24.9%
Overall HR/FB
5.04
FIP
3.92
xFIP
+1.12
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
24.9%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
94th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
67.7%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.04
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
81th pctile
3.92
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+1.12
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
91th pctile
11.4%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
70
Pool Matchups
8
HRs Allowed (Pool)
5
Top-15 Matchups
2
HRs to Top-15
11.4%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 18.8% | 1.5 | 92.0mph | 103.3mph | 29.0° | 390ft | Up +7.4pp |
| Last 15 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 20.0% | 1.67 | 96.1mph | 107.0mph | 25.6° | 398ft | Up +8.6pp |
| Last 30 | 52 | 6 | 8 | 15.4% | 1.33 | 96.7mph | 105.7mph | 25.8° | 391ft | Up +4.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
95.6
Avg Max EV
113.8
Max EV Allowed
44
Hard-Hit Proxy · 67.7%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
105.7
Avg HR EV
25.8°
Avg HR Launch
391
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | Gunnar Henderson | 108.8mph | 108.8mph | 24° | 386ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-12 | Jackson Holliday | 104.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Tyler O'Neill | 101.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Samuel Basallo | 99.7mph | 99.7mph | 31° | 389ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-06 | Brett Baty | 102.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Juan Soto | 101.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Marcus Semien | 101.5mph | 101.5mph | 32° | 394ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-06 | Bo Bichette | 101.3mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | Samuel Basallo | #39 | 61 | Camden Yards | 99.7mph | 31.0° | 389ft |
| 2026-06-12 | Gunnar Henderson | #67 | 54 | Camden Yards | 108.8mph | 24.0° | 386ft |
| 2026-06-06 | Marcus Semien | #97 | 48 | Petco Park | 101.5mph | 32.0° | 394ft |
| 2026-05-31 | James Wood | #4 | 83 | Nationals Park | 113.8mph | 21.0° | 417ft |
| 2026-05-31 | Luis García Jr. | #118 | 47 | Nationals Park | 111.2mph | 20.0° | 402ft |
| 2026-05-25 | Kyle Schwarber | #2 | 80 | Petco Park | 106.8mph | 20.0° | 374.0ft |
| 2026-05-25 | Brandon Marsh | #195 | 28 | Petco Park | 102.0mph | 25.0° | 368.0ft |
| 2026-05-19 | Freddie Freeman | #145 | 38 | Petco Park | 101.6mph | 33.0° | 399.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slider | 198 | 26.2% | -0.1 | 86.9 | 7.7° | 1 |
| Fastball | 196 | 25.9% | +1.2 | 86.0 | 30.6° | 3 |
| Changeup | 177 | 23.4% | +3.2 | 87.2 | 0.5° | 2 |
| Sinker | 87 | 11.5% | +2.4 | 87.0 | 14.6° | 1 |
| Cutter | 36 | 4.8% | +1.7 | 90.1 | 22.5° | 1 |
| Sweeper | 36 | 4.8% | -0.9 | 70.5 | 8.0° | 0 |
| Knuckle Curve | 26 | 3.4% | -3.0 | 65.4 | 2.3° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
67.7%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | Taylor Ward | #135 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Tyler O'Neill | #96 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Gunnar Henderson | #67 | 54 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-12 | Samuel Basallo | #39 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-12 | Coby Mayo | #26 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Adley Rutschman | #24 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Jackson Holliday | #23 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Colton Cowser | #16 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Pete Alonso | #15 | 71 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Brett Baty | #184 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Bo Bichette | #166 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Luis Torrens | #121 | 44 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Marcus Semien | #97 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-06 | Mark Vientos | #85 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Carson Benge | #81 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-06 | Juan Soto | #4 | 73 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Jorbit Vivas | #122 | 47 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Luis García Jr. | #118 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-31 | Daylen Lile | #91 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | José Tena | #66 | 56 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Jacob Young | #49 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Keibert Ruiz | #37 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-31 | CJ Abrams | #27 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Curtis Mead | #14 | 73 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-31 | James Wood | #4 | 83 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-25 | Rafael Marchán | #222 | 19 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Adolis García | #203 | 26 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Brandon Marsh | #195 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-05-25 | Trea Turner | #149 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Justin Crawford | #141 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Bryson Stott | #110 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Alec Bohm | #103 | 45 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Bryce Harper | #25 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Kyle Schwarber | #2 | 80 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-19 | Hyeseong Kim | #222 | 24 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Kyle Tucker | #194 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Alex Freeland | #185 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Teoscar Hernández | #167 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Freddie Freeman | #145 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-05-19 | Will Smith | #114 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Shohei Ohtani | #60 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Andy Pages | #52 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Max Muncy | #34 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-14 | David Hamilton | #184 | 7 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Luis Rengifo | #158 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Sal Frelick | #129 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Andrew Vaughn | #124 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-14 | William Contreras | #123 | 30 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Garrett Mitchell | #101 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Brice Turang | #70 | 42 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Gary Sánchez | #57 | 46 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Jackson Chourio | #55 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Masyn Winn | #152 | 23 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Victor Scott II | #135 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Ivan Herrera | #123 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Nolan Gorman | #111 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Pedro Pagés | #101 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Alec Burleson | #100 | 31 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Nathan Church | #94 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-08 | JJ Wetherholt | #68 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Jordan Walker | #51 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Luisangel Acuña | #239 | 9 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Tristan Peters | #231 | 12 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Edgar Quero | #221 | 14 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Chase Meidroth | #220 | 14 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Everson Pereira | #193 | 19 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Andrew Benintendi | #167 | 24 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Miguel Vargas | #101 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Colson Montgomery | #83 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Munetaka Murakami | #58 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |