Eric Lauer
LHP
TOR
14
HRs Allowed
15.9%
HR Rate (Pool)
20.8%
Overall HR/FB
6.55
FIP
5.45
xFIP
+1.10
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.4
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
20.8%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
90th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
71.8%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
6.55
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
96th pctile
5.45
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+1.10
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
91th pctile
15.9%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
88
Pool Matchups
14
HRs Allowed (Pool)
8
Top-15 Matchups
3
HRs to Top-15
15.9%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 11.1% | 1.0 | 95.3mph | 106.8mph | 35.0° | 394ft | Down -4.8pp |
| Last 15 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 11.5% | 1.0 | 94.5mph | 106.9mph | 32.7° | 390ft | Down -4.4pp |
| Last 30 | 43 | 5 | 6 | 14.0% | 1.2 | 96.8mph | 104.3mph | 31.2° | 385ft | Flat -1.9pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
96.8
Avg Max EV
113.2
Max EV Allowed
51
Hard-Hit Proxy · 71.8%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
104.3
Avg HR EV
27.6°
Avg HR Launch
384
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Byron Buxton | 106.8mph | 106.8mph | 35° | 394ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | Josh Bell | 106.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Royce Lewis | 100.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Junior Caminero | 111.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Ben Williamson | 103.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Yandy Díaz | 102.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Bryan Reynolds | 111.6mph | 111.6mph | 23° | 422ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-09 | Jared Triolo | 103.7mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Byron Buxton | #1 | 85 | Target Field | 106.8mph | 35.0° | 394ft |
| 2026-06-09 | Ryan O'Hearn | #78 | 50 | PNC Park | 102.4mph | 40.0° | 355ft |
| 2026-06-09 | Bryan Reynolds | #87 | 50 | PNC Park | 111.6mph | 23.0° | 422ft |
| 2026-06-02 | Corbin Carroll | #57 | 56 | Chase Field | 97.8mph | 32.0° | 354ft |
| 2026-05-26 | Hunter Goodman | #15 | 70 | Dodger Stadium | 105.1mph | 31.0° | 406.0ft |
| 2026-05-26 | Kyle Karros | #171 | 37 | Dodger Stadium | 102.2mph | 26.0° | 379.0ft |
| 2026-04-29 | Willson Contreras | #42 | 44 | Rogers Centre | 103.9mph | 28.0° | 406.0ft |
| 2026-04-22 | Mike Trout | #2 | 82 | Angel Stadium | 113.2mph | 24.0° | 428.0ft |
| 2026-04-22 | Nolan Schanuel | #150 | 34 | Angel Stadium | 102.4mph | 23.0° | 371.0ft |
| 2026-04-17 | Nolan Arenado | #212 | 24 | Chase Field | 107.5mph | 21.0° | 382.0ft |
| 2026-04-11 | Trevor Larnach | #126 | 40 | Rogers Centre | 105.1mph | 25.0° | 398.0ft |
| 2026-04-11 | Brooks Lee | #159 | 37 | Rogers Centre | 94.9mph | 29.0° | 349.0ft |
| 2026-04-11 | Edouard Julien | #163 | 38 | Rogers Centre | 102.3mph | 27.0° | 375.0ft |
| 2026-03-29 | Max Muncy | #70 | 51 | Rogers Centre | 104.8mph | 23.0° | 362.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 470 | 45.5% | -0.4 | 81.8 | 35.2° | 9 |
| Cutter | 189 | 18.3% | +1.7 | 78.8 | 25.9° | 4 |
| Changeup | 171 | 16.5% | +0.1 | 83.4 | 16.6° | 0 |
| Curveball | 130 | 12.6% | +1.2 | 82.1 | 10.4° | 2 |
| Slider | 74 | 7.2% | +3.5 | 84.5 | 23.3° | 1 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
71.8%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Luke Keaschall | #178 | 34 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Victor Caratini | #116 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Trevor Larnach | #87 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Josh Bell | #63 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Brooks Lee | #59 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Ryan Kreidler | #44 | 59 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Royce Lewis | #28 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Kody Clemens | #16 | 70 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Byron Buxton | #1 | 85 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-15 | Chandler Simpson | #137 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Richie Palacios | #129 | 31 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Nick Fortes | #99 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Taylor Walls | #94 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Ben Williamson | #83 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Jonathan Aranda | #40 | 57 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Cedric Mullins | #39 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Yandy Díaz | #30 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Junior Caminero | #11 | 72 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Jared Triolo | #224 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Jake Mangum | #194 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Nick Gonzales | #165 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Marcell Ozuna | #164 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Bryan Reynolds | #87 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-09 | Ryan O'Hearn | #78 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-09 | Henry Davis | #59 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Brandon Lowe | #24 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Jose Fernandez | #227 | 24 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Geraldo Perdomo | #194 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Adrian Del Castillo | #151 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Ildemaro Vargas | #135 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Nolan Arenado | #65 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Gabriel Moreno | #64 | 54 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Corbin Carroll | #57 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-02 | Ketel Marte | #51 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Kyle Karros | #171 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-26 | Troy Johnston | #169 | 37 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Willi Castro | #145 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Ezequiel Tovar | #92 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Jake Mccarthy | #87 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Edouard Julien | #86 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Tj Rumfield | #37 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Hunter Goodman | #15 | 70 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-26 | Mickey Moniak | #2 | 81 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Roman Anthony | #125 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Jarren Duran | #123 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Trevor Story | #122 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Marcelo Mayer | #115 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Carlos Narváez | #100 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #99 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Caleb Durbin | #74 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Wilyer Abreu | #65 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Willson Contreras | #42 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-22 | Nolan Schanuel | #150 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-22 | Logan O'Hoppe | #104 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Jo Adell | #71 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Yoán Moncada | #68 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Josh Lowe | #45 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Zach Neto | #28 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Oswald Peraza | #23 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Jorge Soler | #9 | 70 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Mike Trout | #2 | 82 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-17 | Geraldo Perdomo | #253 | 10 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Alek Thomas | #219 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Nolan Arenado | #212 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-17 | Jorge Barrosa | #195 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Ildemaro Vargas | #167 | 34 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Gabriel Moreno | #157 | 36 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Jose Fernandez | #143 | 39 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Ketel Marte | #123 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Corbin Carroll | #96 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Christian Vazquez | #215 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Ryan Jeffers | #192 | 36 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Luke Keaschall | #174 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Edouard Julien | #163 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-11 | Brooks Lee | #159 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-11 | Trevor Larnach | #126 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-11 | Royce Lewis | #67 | 42 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Byron Buxton | #33 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Matt Wallner | #6 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Darell Hernaiz | #166 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Jacob Wilson | #119 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Denzel Clarke | #106 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Brent Rooker | #82 | 50 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Max Muncy | #70 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-03-29 | Shea Langeliers | #57 | 54 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Tyler Soderstrom | #53 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Austin Wynns | #29 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Nick Kurtz | #10 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |