2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Eric Lauer
Eric Lauer LHP TOR
88 matchups scored · 10 game days
14 HRs Allowed
15.9% HR Rate (Pool)
20.8% Overall HR/FB
6.55 FIP
5.45 xFIP
+1.10 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
1.4
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
20.8%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
90th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
71.8%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
6.55
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
96th pctile
5.45
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+1.10
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
91th pctile
15.9%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
88
Pool Matchups
14
HRs Allowed (Pool)
8
Top-15 Matchups
3
HRs to Top-15
15.9%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 9 1 1 11.1% 1.0 95.3mph 106.8mph 35.0° 394ft Down -4.8pp
Last 15 26 3 3 11.5% 1.0 94.5mph 106.9mph 32.7° 390ft Down -4.4pp
Last 30 43 5 6 14.0% 1.2 96.8mph 104.3mph 31.2° 385ft Flat -1.9pp
Batted-Ball Damage
71 tracked BBE from 88 pool matchups
96.8
113.2
51
0
104.3
27.6°
384
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-22 Byron Buxton 106.8mph 106.8mph 35° 394ft Yes
2026-06-22 Josh Bell 106.0mph · · · ·
2026-06-22 Royce Lewis 100.7mph · · · ·
2026-06-15 Junior Caminero 111.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-15 Ben Williamson 103.3mph · · · ·
2026-06-15 Yandy Díaz 102.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-09 Bryan Reynolds 111.6mph 111.6mph 23° 422ft Yes
2026-06-09 Jared Triolo 103.7mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
10 days · 14 total HRs
HRs Allowed
14 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-22 Byron Buxton #1 85 Target Field 106.8mph 35.0° 394ft
2026-06-09 Ryan O'Hearn #78 50 PNC Park 102.4mph 40.0° 355ft
2026-06-09 Bryan Reynolds #87 50 PNC Park 111.6mph 23.0° 422ft
2026-06-02 Corbin Carroll #57 56 Chase Field 97.8mph 32.0° 354ft
2026-05-26 Hunter Goodman #15 70 Dodger Stadium 105.1mph 31.0° 406.0ft
2026-05-26 Kyle Karros #171 37 Dodger Stadium 102.2mph 26.0° 379.0ft
2026-04-29 Willson Contreras #42 44 Rogers Centre 103.9mph 28.0° 406.0ft
2026-04-22 Mike Trout #2 82 Angel Stadium 113.2mph 24.0° 428.0ft
2026-04-22 Nolan Schanuel #150 34 Angel Stadium 102.4mph 23.0° 371.0ft
2026-04-17 Nolan Arenado #212 24 Chase Field 107.5mph 21.0° 382.0ft
2026-04-11 Trevor Larnach #126 40 Rogers Centre 105.1mph 25.0° 398.0ft
2026-04-11 Brooks Lee #159 37 Rogers Centre 94.9mph 29.0° 349.0ft
2026-04-11 Edouard Julien #163 38 Rogers Centre 102.3mph 27.0° 375.0ft
2026-03-29 Max Muncy #70 51 Rogers Centre 104.8mph 23.0° 362.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 470 45.5% -0.4 81.8 35.2° 9
Cutter 189 18.3% +1.7 78.8 25.9° 4
Changeup 171 16.5% +0.1 83.4 16.6° 0
Curveball 130 12.6% +1.2 82.1 10.4° 2
Slider 74 7.2% +3.5 84.5 23.3° 1
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
71.8%
71.8%
All Scored Matchups
88 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-22 Luke Keaschall #178 34 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-22 Victor Caratini #116 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-22 Trevor Larnach #87 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-22 Josh Bell #63 55 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-22 Brooks Lee #59 56 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-22 Ryan Kreidler #44 59 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-22 Royce Lewis #28 63 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-22 Kody Clemens #16 70 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-22 Byron Buxton #1 85 🟢 A 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-15 Chandler Simpson #137 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-15 Richie Palacios #129 31 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-15 Nick Fortes #99 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-15 Taylor Walls #94 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-15 Ben Williamson #83 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-15 Jonathan Aranda #40 57 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-15 Cedric Mullins #39 58 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-15 Yandy Díaz #30 60 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-15 Junior Caminero #11 72 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-09 Jared Triolo #224 17 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-09 Jake Mangum #194 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-09 Nick Gonzales #165 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-09 Marcell Ozuna #164 37 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-09 Bryan Reynolds #87 50 🟠 C 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-09 Ryan O'Hearn #78 50 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-09 Henry Davis #59 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-09 Brandon Lowe #24 64 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-02 Jose Fernandez #227 24 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-02 Geraldo Perdomo #194 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-02 Adrian Del Castillo #151 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-02 Ildemaro Vargas #135 41 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-02 Nolan Arenado #65 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-02 Gabriel Moreno #64 54 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-02 Corbin Carroll #57 56 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-02 Ketel Marte #51 57 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-26 Kyle Karros #171 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-26 Troy Johnston #169 37 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-26 Willi Castro #145 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-26 Ezequiel Tovar #92 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-26 Jake Mccarthy #87 47 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-26 Edouard Julien #86 47 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-26 Tj Rumfield #37 62 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-26 Hunter Goodman #15 70 🟡 B 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-26 Mickey Moniak #2 81 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-29 Roman Anthony #125 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-29 Jarren Duran #123 34 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-29 Trevor Story #122 34 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-29 Marcelo Mayer #115 35 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-29 Carlos Narváez #100 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-29 Ceddanne Rafaela #99 36 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-29 Caleb Durbin #74 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-29 Wilyer Abreu #65 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-29 Willson Contreras #42 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-22 Nolan Schanuel #150 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-22 Logan O'Hoppe #104 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-22 Jo Adell #71 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Yoán Moncada #68 49 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-22 Josh Lowe #45 56 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Zach Neto #28 62 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-22 Oswald Peraza #23 65 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-22 Jorge Soler #9 70 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Mike Trout #2 82 🟢 A ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-17 Geraldo Perdomo #253 10 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-17 Alek Thomas #219 23 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-17 Nolan Arenado #212 24 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-17 Jorge Barrosa #195 29 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-17 Ildemaro Vargas #167 34 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-17 Gabriel Moreno #157 36 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-17 Jose Fernandez #143 39 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-17 Ketel Marte #123 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-17 Corbin Carroll #96 48 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-11 Christian Vazquez #215 29 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-11 Ryan Jeffers #192 36 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-11 Luke Keaschall #174 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-11 Edouard Julien #163 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-11 Brooks Lee #159 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-11 Trevor Larnach #126 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-11 Royce Lewis #67 42 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-11 Byron Buxton #33 62 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-11 Matt Wallner #6 59 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-29 Darell Hernaiz #166 26 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-29 Jacob Wilson #119 32 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-29 Denzel Clarke #106 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-29 Brent Rooker #82 50 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-29 Max Muncy #70 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-03-29 Shea Langeliers #57 54 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-29 Tyler Soderstrom #53 47 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-29 Austin Wynns #29 52 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-29 Nick Kurtz #10 63 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
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