Trevor McDonald
RHP
SF
7
HRs Allowed
9.0%
HR Rate (Pool)
24.9%
Overall HR/FB
3.63
FIP
3.29
xFIP
+0.33
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.78
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
24.9%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
94th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
62.1%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.63
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
34th pctile
3.29
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.33
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
66th pctile
9.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
78
Pool Matchups
7
HRs Allowed (Pool)
4
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
9.0%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 95.7mph | · | · | · | Down -9.0pp |
| Last 15 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 8.3% | 0.67 | 95.0mph | 103.2mph | 30.0° | 394ft | Flat -0.7pp |
| Last 30 | 51 | 6 | 3 | 5.9% | 0.5 | 94.8mph | 103.6mph | 28.3° | 400ft | Down -3.1pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
95.3
Avg Max EV
114.4
Max EV Allowed
41
Hard-Hit Proxy · 62.1%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
105.1
Avg HR EV
28.6°
Avg HR Launch
412
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Kyle Stowers | 105.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Jakob Marsee | 103.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Ian Happ | 103.6mph | 103.6mph | 29° | 404ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-13 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | 102.7mph | 102.7mph | 31° | 385ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-13 | Alex Bregman | 100.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Michael Busch | 100.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Moisés Ballesteros | 102.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Jake Bauers | 108.9mph | 104.4mph | 25° | 412ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Ian Happ | #70 | 53 | Oracle Park | 103.6mph | 29.0° | 404ft |
| 2026-06-13 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #92 | 49 | Oracle Park | 102.7mph | 31.0° | 385ft |
| 2026-06-02 | Jake Bauers | #54 | 56 | American Family Field | 104.4mph | 25.0° | 412ft |
| 2026-05-16 | Brent Rooker | #30 | 69 | Sutter Health Park | 109.5mph | 32.0° | 407.0ft |
| 2026-05-11 | Max Muncy | #22 | 46 | Dodger Stadium | 104.1mph | 30.0° | 396.0ft |
| 2026-05-04 | Ramón Laureano | #190 | 6 | Oracle Park | 106.3mph | 29.0° | 447.0ft |
| 2026-05-04 | Jackson Merrill | #191 | 5 | Oracle Park | 105.2mph | 24.0° | 436.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 444 | 57.1% | -0.2 | 85.8 | 5.8° | 2 |
| Slider | 210 | 27.0% | -1.4 | 83.9 | 2.8° | 1 |
| Changeup | 110 | 14.1% | +4.0 | 73.6 | 4.1° | 2 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
62.1%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Otto Lopez | #194 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Jakob Marsee | #185 | 30 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Xavier Edwards | #182 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Joe Mack | #101 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Kyle Stowers | #78 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Owen Caissie | #61 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Esteury Ruiz | #31 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Nico Hoerner | #216 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Dansby Swanson | #207 | 23 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Carson Kelly | #203 | 25 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Moisés Ballesteros | #196 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Alex Bregman | #192 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Michael Busch | #165 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Seiya Suzuki | #115 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #92 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-13 | Ian Happ | #70 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-07 | Nico Hoerner | #212 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Carson Kelly | #198 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Alex Bregman | #172 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Moisés Ballesteros | #117 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Michael Busch | #113 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Seiya Suzuki | #57 | 55 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #39 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Ian Happ | #10 | 72 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Joey Ortiz | #245 | 15 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Luis Rengifo | #243 | 15 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-02 | David Hamilton | #235 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Sal Frelick | #217 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Christian Yelich | #153 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Brice Turang | #134 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Garrett Mitchell | #123 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | William Contreras | #117 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Jake Bauers | #54 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-27 | Tommy Troy | #269 | 8 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Jose Fernandez | #253 | 19 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Geraldo Perdomo | #232 | 27 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Aramis Garcia | #231 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Adrian Del Castillo | #206 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Ildemaro Vargas | #171 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Ryan Waldschmidt | #114 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Ketel Marte | #64 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Corbin Carroll | #44 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Luisangel Acuña | #253 | 14 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Edgar Quero | #242 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Chase Meidroth | #223 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Tristan Peters | #201 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Andrew Benintendi | #174 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Sam Antonacci | #157 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Miguel Vargas | #24 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Colson Montgomery | #22 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Munetaka Murakami | #9 | 72 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Jeff McNeil | #230 | 24 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Jacob Wilson | #138 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Lawrence Butler | #122 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Carlos Cortes | #52 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Brent Rooker | #30 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-16 | Tyler Soderstrom | #29 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Max Muncy | #25 | 74 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Nick Kurtz | #17 | 78 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Shea Langeliers | #2 | 90 | 🔥 A+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Alex Freeland | #63 | 31 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Hyeseong Kim | #60 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Kyle Tucker | #40 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Will Smith | #37 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Freddie Freeman | #32 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Shohei Ohtani | #31 | 44 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Max Muncy | #22 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-11 | Teoscar Hernández | #17 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Andy Pages | #11 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Jake Cronenworth | #198 | -2 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | #194 | 4 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Jackson Merrill | #191 | 5 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-04 | Ramón Laureano | #190 | 6 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-05-04 | Xander Bogaerts | #189 | 6 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Nick Castellanos | #184 | 8 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Manny Machado | #173 | 13 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Gavin Sheets | #163 | 16 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Miguel Andujar | #157 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |