Roki Sasaki
RHP
LAD
9
HRs Allowed
9.4%
HR Rate (Pool)
25.6%
Overall HR/FB
6.05
FIP
4.79
xFIP
+1.26
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.82
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
25.6%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
95th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
70.2%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
6.05
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
93th pctile
4.79
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+1.26
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
94th pctile
9.4%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
96
Pool Matchups
9
HRs Allowed (Pool)
11
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
9.4%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 22.2% | 2.0 | 101.8mph | 102.0mph | 37.0° | 375ft | Up +12.8pp |
| Last 15 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 12.5% | 1.0 | 98.5mph | 101.1mph | 33.7° | 379ft | Up +3.1pp |
| Last 30 | 42 | 5 | 4 | 9.5% | 0.8 | 94.2mph | 101.6mph | 32.0° | 386ft | Flat +0.1pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
97.3
Avg Max EV
112.8
Max EV Allowed
59
Hard-Hit Proxy · 70.2%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
103.5
Avg HR EV
28.4°
Avg HR Launch
400
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Samuel Basallo | 109.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Gunnar Henderson | 106.6mph | 106.6mph | 40° | 375ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-19 | Coby Mayo | 103.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Jeremiah Jackson | 103.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Pete Alonso | 97.5mph | 97.5mph | 34° | 375ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-12 | Chase Meidroth | 105.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Tristan Peters | 103.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Miguel Vargas | 102.0mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Pete Alonso | #9 | 75 | Dodger Stadium | 97.5mph | 34.0° | 375ft |
| 2026-06-19 | Gunnar Henderson | #18 | 68 | Dodger Stadium | 106.6mph | 40.0° | 375ft |
| 2026-06-12 | Andrew Benintendi | #59 | 57 | Rate Field | 99.2mph | 27.0° | 387ft |
| 2026-05-30 | Alec Bohm | #72 | 57 | Dodger Stadium | 103.0mph | 27.0° | 406ft |
| 2026-05-11 | Rafael Devers | #25 | 45 | Dodger Stadium | 102.7mph | 26.0° | 401.0ft |
| 2026-05-02 | Jordan Walker | #21 | 47 | Busch Stadium | 110.0mph | 17.0° | 372.0ft |
| 2026-04-25 | Seiya Suzuki | #50 | 64 | Dodger Stadium | 103.8mph | 25.0° | 404.0ft |
| 2026-04-19 | Mickey Moniak | #20 | 72 | Coors Field | 102.4mph | 30.0° | 428.0ft |
| 2026-04-19 | Kyle Karros | #141 | 43 | Coors Field | 105.9mph | 30.0° | 448.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 535 | 43.5% | +1.8 | 86.5 | 25.7° | 8 |
| Splitter | 266 | 21.6% | -1.2 | 81.8 | 1.9° | 2 |
| Slider | 259 | 21.1% | -0.2 | 79.3 | 11.6° | 1 |
| Forkball | 168 | 13.7% | +1.8 | 81.2 | 7.0° | 2 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
70.2%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Leody Taveras | #139 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Taylor Ward | #133 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Blaze Alexander | #58 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Adley Rutschman | #54 | 56 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Jeremiah Jackson | #39 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Samuel Basallo | #37 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Coby Mayo | #32 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Gunnar Henderson | #18 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-19 | Pete Alonso | #9 | 75 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-12 | Sam Antonacci | #201 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Chase Meidroth | #193 | 30 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Jacob Gonzalez | #175 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Tristan Peters | #174 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Drew Romo | #99 | 47 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Andrew Benintendi | #59 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-12 | Colson Montgomery | #25 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Miguel Vargas | #19 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Logan O'Hoppe | #82 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Jo Adell | #40 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Zach Neto | #30 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Oswald Peraza | #29 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Jorge Soler | #27 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Vaughn Grissom | #18 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Mike Trout | #2 | 81 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Justin Crawford | #201 | 35 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Adolis García | #162 | 41 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-30 | J. T. Realmuto | #89 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Alec Bohm | #72 | 57 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | 💥 |
| 2026-05-30 | Brandon Marsh | #71 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Bryson Stott | #66 | 57 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Trea Turner | #34 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Bryce Harper | #4 | 83 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Kyle Schwarber | #1 | 88 | 🟢 A | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | David Hamilton | #274 | 20 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Joey Ortiz | #263 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Sal Frelick | #241 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Brice Turang | #99 | 51 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Jackson Chourio | #94 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Andrew Vaughn | #83 | 54 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Gary Sánchez | #64 | 58 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Christian Yelich | #43 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Jake Bauers | #16 | 73 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Nolan Schanuel | #155 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Adam Frazier | #142 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Logan O'Hoppe | #141 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Yoán Moncada | #130 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Josh Lowe | #117 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Jo Adell | #57 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Zach Neto | #39 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Jorge Soler | #32 | 71 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Mike Trout | #5 | 90 | 🔥 A+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Patrick Bailey | #39 | 41 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Harrison Bader | #36 | 42 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Jung Hoo Lee | #35 | 42 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Luis Arraez | #26 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Rafael Devers | #25 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-11 | Willy Adames | #21 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Heliot Ramos | #15 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Matt Chapman | #10 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Casey Schmitt | #6 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Masyn Winn | #106 | 31 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Nolan Gorman | #85 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Victor Scott II | #83 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Alec Burleson | #75 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Ivan Herrera | #53 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Nathan Church | #42 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Pedro Pagés | #33 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-02 | JJ Wetherholt | #32 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Jordan Walker | #21 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-25 | Michael Busch | #123 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #118 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Alex Bregman | #74 | 59 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Nico Hoerner | #70 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Matt Shaw | #56 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Seiya Suzuki | #50 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-25 | Carson Kelly | #33 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Dansby Swanson | #14 | 78 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-25 | Ian Happ | #11 | 81 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Tyler Freeman | #181 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Kyle Karros | #141 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-19 | Jake McCarthy | #131 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | TJ Rumfield | #123 | 46 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Troy Johnston | #110 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Edouard Julien | #89 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Willi Castro | #72 | 57 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Hunter Goodman | #24 | 71 | 🟡 B | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Mickey Moniak | #20 | 72 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-03-30 | Brayan Rocchio | #132 | 34 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Steven Kwan | #127 | 31 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Nolan Jones | #121 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Angel Martinez | #88 | 37 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Bo Naylor | #44 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Daniel Schneemann | #31 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Jose Ramirez | #28 | 50 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Gabriel Arias | #24 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Kyle Manzardo | #6 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |