2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Ryan Feltner
Ryan Feltner RHP COL
89 matchups scored · 10 game days
10 HRs Allowed
11.2% HR Rate (Pool)
17.4% Overall HR/FB
5.21 FIP
4.48 xFIP
+0.73 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
1.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
17.4%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
84th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
76.3%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.21
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
83th pctile
4.48
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.73
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
82th pctile
11.2%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
89
Pool Matchups
10
HRs Allowed (Pool)
7
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
11.2%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 17 2 1 5.9% 0.5 95.0mph 97.7mph 33.0° 386ft Down -5.3pp
Last 15 26 3 4 15.4% 1.33 97.0mph 103.6mph 27.5° 406ft Up +4.2pp
Last 30 44 5 5 11.4% 1.0 98.4mph 104.1mph 26.6° 409ft Flat +0.2pp
Batted-Ball Damage
76 tracked BBE from 89 pool matchups
97.8
111.8
58
0
104.6
27.3°
409
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-22 Marcelo Mayer 103.0mph · · · ·
2026-06-16 Seiya Suzuki 111.0mph · · · ·
2026-06-16 Michael Busch 102.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-16 Pete Crow-Armstrong 101.2mph 97.7mph 33° 386ft Yes
2026-06-11 Seiya Suzuki 107.7mph 107.7mph 23° 400ft Yes
2026-06-11 Carson Kelly 105.5mph 105.5mph 29° 428ft Yes
2026-06-11 Michael Busch 103.7mph · · · ·
2026-06-11 Alex Bregman 103.5mph 103.5mph 25° 410ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
10 days · 10 total HRs
HRs Allowed
10 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-16 Pete Crow-Armstrong #20 68 Wrigley Field 97.7mph 33.0° 386ft
2026-06-11 Seiya Suzuki #25 61 Coors Field 107.7mph 23.0° 400ft
2026-06-11 Alex Bregman #79 41 Coors Field 103.5mph 25.0° 410ft
2026-06-11 Carson Kelly #93 34 Coors Field 105.5mph 29.0° 428ft
2026-05-30 Drew Gilbert #190 37 Coors Field 105.9mph 23.0° 421ft
2026-04-23 Xander Bogaerts #27 54 Coors Field 104.2mph 24.0° 375.0ft
2026-04-18 Kyle Tucker #108 49 Coors Field 102.9mph 32.0° 435.0ft
2026-04-11 Manny Machado #123 33 Petco Park 104.5mph 30.0° 403.0ft
2026-04-06 Cam Smith #69 34 Coors Field 110.9mph 29.0° 462.0ft
2026-04-06 Mauricio Dubon #162 28 Coors Field 103.4mph 25.0° 372.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 209 25.8% +0.4 86.4 15.4° 4
Slider 197 24.3% -0.4 82.4 18.5° 1
Changeup 128 15.8% -1.5 76.4 0.2° 1
Sinker 108 13.3% -0.1 86.0 10.9° 0
Sweeper 96 11.9% -1.0 80.3 28.6° 0
Curveball 72 8.9% +1.9 83.7 9.9° 1
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
76.3%
76.3%
All Scored Matchups
89 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-22 Masataka Yoshida #171 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-22 Marcelo Mayer #143 41 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-22 Carlos Narváez #142 41 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-22 Caleb Durbin #93 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-22 Ceddanne Rafaela #64 55 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-22 Wilyer Abreu #45 59 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-22 Jarren Duran #31 62 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-22 Willson Contreras #8 74 🟡 B ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-16 Nico Hoerner #203 26 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-16 Dansby Swanson #166 36 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-16 Alex Bregman #163 37 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-16 Carson Kelly #161 38 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-16 Moisés Ballesteros #141 41 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-16 Michael Busch #76 54 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-16 Seiya Suzuki #43 61 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-16 Pete Crow-Armstrong #20 68 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-16 Ian Happ #16 70 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-11 Carson Kelly #93 34 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-06-11 Nico Hoerner #85 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-11 Alex Bregman #79 41 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-06-11 Dansby Swanson #73 43 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-11 Moisés Ballesteros #54 49 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-11 Michael Busch #35 54 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-11 Seiya Suzuki #25 61 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-11 Pete Crow-Armstrong #10 70 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-11 Ian Happ #2 84 🟢 A 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-05 Joey Ortiz #219 22 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-05 Luis Rengifo #215 24 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-05 Sal Frelick #171 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-05 David Hamilton #111 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-05 William Contreras #104 46 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-05 Christian Yelich #83 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-05 Garrett Mitchell #81 49 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 Brice Turang #76 50 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 Jake Bauers #11 71 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-30 Luis Arráez #207 35 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-30 Drew Gilbert #190 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-30 Jung Hoo Lee #183 38 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-30 Matt Chapman #152 43 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-30 Patrick Bailey #105 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-30 Heliot Ramos #45 62 🔵 C+ · — ·
2026-05-30 Rafael Devers #17 70 🟡 B 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-30 Willy Adames #16 71 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-30 Casey Schmitt #2 86 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-23 Freddy Fermin #74 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-23 Jake Cronenworth #64 43 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-23 Miguel Andujar #56 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-23 Manny Machado #47 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-23 Xander Bogaerts #27 54 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-23 Fernando Tatis Jr. #26 54 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-23 Ty France #23 55 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-23 Jackson Merrill #17 58 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-23 Ramón Laureano #6 71 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-18 Alex Freeland #131 45 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-18 Kyle Tucker #108 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-18 Will Smith #96 52 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-18 Mookie Betts #50 63 🔵 C+ · — ·
2026-04-18 Max Muncy #40 66 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-18 Andy Pages #31 70 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-18 Teoscar Hernández #25 72 🟡 B 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-18 Freddie Freeman #18 74 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-18 Shohei Ohtani #7 83 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-11 Luis Arraez #224 15 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-11 Jose Iglesias #209 13 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-11 Xander Bogaerts #208 23 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-11 Jake Cronenworth #203 23 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-11 Elias Diaz #160 24 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-11 Manny Machado #123 33 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-04-11 Jackson Merrill #117 34 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-11 Fernando Tatis Jr. #112 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-11 Gavin Sheets #92 31 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-06 Jake Meyers #187 28 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-06 Mauricio Dubon #162 28 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-04-06 Victor Caratini #117 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-06 Yainer Diaz #95 40 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-06 Jeremy Pena #82 40 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-06 Cam Smith #69 34 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-06 Isaac Paredes #50 43 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-06 Christian Walker #33 44 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-06 Jose Altuve #26 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-31 Ernie Clement #197 28 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-31 Myles Straw #185 28 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-31 Andres Gimenez #154 27 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-31 Alejandro Kirk #115 36 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-03-31 Nathan Lukes #112 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-31 Bo Bichette #93 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-31 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. #71 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-31 Addison Barger #62 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-03-31 George Springer #36 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
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