2026
Pricing
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15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
Brandon Young
Brandon Young RHP BAL
104 matchups scored · 12 game days · 7 listed today
7 HRs Allowed
6.7% HR Rate (Pool)
15.6% Overall HR/FB
4.4 FIP
4.81 xFIP
-0.41 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot ?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards. Pool + today context
0.58
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
15.6%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
77th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
81.0%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.4
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
64th pctile
4.81
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.41
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
27th pctile
6.7%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
104
Pool Matchups
7
HRs Allowed (Pool)
12
Top-15 Matchups
3
HRs to Top-15
6.7%
HR Rate
Platoon Story
RHP · 7/7 using split data
5
Platoon Edge Bats
2
Same-Side Bats
2
Switch Hitters
3L / 2R
Listed Hands
5 of 7 listed batters have the platoon edge against a RHP.
James Wood Cj Abrams Keibert Ruiz Daylen Lile Nasim Nunez
Today Context
WSH @ BAL · 7:05p
1.30
Park Factor
2.3
Wind MPH · SSE
11.9%
Bullpen HR Flag
proxy_pa_leaders
Lineup Source
Camden Yards Roof open 74°F Weather 0.0 BP FIP 4.15
Today's Threat Breakdown · 7 batters WSH @ BAL · 7:05p
# Batter Platoon Tier Score Batter HR/FB ?Batter HR/FB for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. Pitcher HR/FB ?Pitcher HR/FB allowed for this matchup. A vs LHH/vs RHH chip means a handedness split is shown; the profile card shows overall HR/FB. ISO Barrel Context Lineup BvP
5
RvR Same
🟡 B 72 27.6%vs RHP 10.5%vs RHH 0.250 8.8%
Park 1.30 Wind 2.3 SSE Roof open BP 11.9%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
 first look
7
LvR Edge
🟡 B 71 34.1%vs RHP 11.8%vs LHH 0.240 12.4%
Park 1.30 Wind 2.3 SSE Roof open BP 11.9%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
PA 1 HR 0 EV 97.3
19
LvR Edge
🔵 C+ 64 28.6%vs RHP 11.8%vs LHH 0.234 8.2%
Park 1.30 Wind 2.3 SSE Roof open BP 11.9%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
 first look
68
SvR Edge
🟠 C 52 11.1%vs RHP 11.8%vs LHH 0.188 6.0%
Park 1.30 Wind 2.3 SSE Roof open BP 11.9%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
PA 1 HR 0 EV 104.8
101
LvR Edge
⚪ D 45 11.4%vs RHP 11.8%vs LHH 0.154 6.8%
Park 1.30 Wind 2.3 SSE Roof open BP 11.9%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
PA 1 HR 0 EV 90.0
105
RvR Same
⚪ D 44 20.6%vs RHP 10.5%vs RHH 0.144 6.4%
Park 1.30 Wind 2.3 SSE Roof open BP 11.9%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
PA 1 HR 1 EV 103.4
217
SvR Edge
⚪ D 20 0.0%vs RHP 11.8%vs LHH 0.043 ·
Park 1.30 Wind 2.3 SSE Roof open BP 11.9%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
 first look
Camden Yards
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 16 2 0 0.0% 0.0 92.9mph · · · Down -6.7pp
Last 15 24 3 0 0.0% 0.0 95.0mph · · · Down -6.7pp
Last 30 59 7 2 3.4% 0.29 98.4mph 105.1mph 28.5° 400ft Down -3.3pp
Batted-Ball Damage
84 tracked BBE from 104 pool matchups
99.6
Avg Max EV
110.8
Max EV Allowed
68
Hard-Hit Proxy · 81.0%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
105.0
Avg HR EV
26.4°
Avg HR Launch
401
Avg HR Distance
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-21 Freddie Freeman 104.8mph · · · ·
2026-06-21 Max Muncy 102.8mph · · · ·
2026-06-16 Dominic Canzone 101.8mph · · · ·
2026-06-10 Josh Naylor 104.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-10 Luke Raley 103.2mph · · · ·
2026-06-10 Randy Arozarena 102.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-10 Dominic Canzone 102.3mph · · · ·
2026-06-10 Cole Young 102.1mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
12 days · 7 total HRs
HRs Allowed
7 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-05 Brandon Valenzuela #102 46 Rogers Centre 106.2mph 24.0° 417ft
2026-05-24 Dillon Dingler #11 72 Camden Yards 104.0mph 33.0° 382.0ft
2026-05-17 Jacob Young #239 22 Nationals Park 103.4mph 26.0° 390.0ft
2026-05-11 Ben Rice #3 55 Camden Yards 100.6mph 26.0° 374.0ft
2026-04-30 Yordan Alvarez #10 75 Camden Yards 107.4mph 27.0° 424.0ft
2026-04-30 Cam Smith #131 18 Camden Yards 108.1mph 25.0° 414.0ft
2026-04-24 Wilyer Abreu #45 66 Camden Yards 105.4mph 24.0° 403.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 420 39.9% -2.5 82.9 33.5° 3
Splitter 214 20.3% -0.0 83.9 10.7° 0
Slider 154 14.6% +1.2 82.4 13.7° 2
Sinker 141 13.4% +1.9 80.2 11.7° 1
Curveball 123 11.7% +0.2 84.0 5.4° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
81.0%
81.0%
All Scored Matchups
104 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-21 Alex Freeland #149 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Kyle Tucker #128 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Mookie Betts #77 54 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-21 Andy Pages #57 59 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-21 Freddie Freeman #50 60 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-21 Ryan Ward #14 70 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-21 Max Muncy #6 75 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Shohei Ohtani #5 77 🟡 B 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-16 Cole Young #186 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-16 Josh Naylor #182 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-16 Cal Raleigh #129 44 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-06-16 Randy Arozarena #120 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-16 J. P. Crawford #112 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-16 Julio Rodríguez #95 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-16 Luke Raley #47 60 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-16 Dominic Canzone #18 70 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-10 Cole Young #154 37 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-10 Josh Naylor #125 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Patrick Wisdom #82 49 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Randy Arozarena #77 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-10 Mitch Garver #52 57 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-10 Julio Rodríguez #19 68 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-10 Luke Raley #10 75 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Dominic Canzone #5 81 🟢 A 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-05 Daulton Varsho #186 32 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-05 Nathan Lukes #167 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-05 Andrés Giménez #165 36 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-05 Ernie Clement #120 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-05 George Springer #116 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-05 Brandon Valenzuela #102 46 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-05 Jesús Sánchez #56 56 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-05 Kazuma Okamoto #41 59 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-30 Tyler Heineman #215 33 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-30 Nathan Lukes #200 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-30 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. #181 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-30 Andrés Giménez #157 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-30 Daulton Varsho #153 43 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-30 George Springer #93 53 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-30 Ernie Clement #90 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-30 Jesús Sánchez #62 58 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-30 Kazuma Okamoto #49 61 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-24 Zach McKinstry #245 26 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-24 Colt Keith #243 27 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-24 Wenceel Pérez #190 36 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-24 Jake Rogers #154 40 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-24 Kevin McGonigle #130 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-24 Matt Vierling #80 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-24 Riley Greene #76 52 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-24 Zack Short #57 57 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-24 Dillon Dingler #11 72 🟡 B 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-23 colt keith #247 28 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-23 wenceel pérez #207 37 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-23 gleyber torres #164 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-23 kevin mcgonigle #154 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-23 matt vierling #115 49 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-23 spencer torkelson #89 53 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-23 riley greene #84 54 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-23 kerry carpenter #51 62 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-23 dillon dingler #14 74 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-17 Nasim Nuñez #265 9 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-17 Jacob Young #239 22 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-17 Luis García Jr. #144 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-17 Daylen Lile #133 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-17 Brady House #124 46 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-17 José Tena #83 54 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-17 Keibert Ruiz #76 55 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-17 CJ Abrams #71 56 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-17 James Wood #18 79 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-11 Ryan McMahon #47 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-11 Jazz Chisholm Jr. #46 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-11 Austin Wells #27 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-11 José Caballero #20 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-11 Trent Grisham #19 46 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-11 Cody Bellinger #18 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-11 Giancarlo Stanton #12 48 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-05-11 Ben Rice #3 55 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-11 Aaron Judge #1 61 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-06 Heriberto Hernández #263 8 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-06 Jakob Marsee #240 15 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-06 Graham Pauley #235 16 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-06 Owen Caissie #232 17 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-06 Xavier Edwards #231 17 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-06 Otto Lopez #188 23 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-06 Agustín Ramírez #181 24 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-06 Connor Norby #168 26 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-06 Liam Hicks #91 37 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-30 Carlos Correa #149 16 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-30 Cam Smith #131 18 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-04-30 Jose Altuve #104 25 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-30 Joey Loperfido #100 26 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-30 Yainer Diaz #72 32 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-30 Brice Matthews #38 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-30 Isaac Paredes #35 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-30 Christian Walker #14 72 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-30 Yordan Alvarez #10 75 🟡 B ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-24 Masataka Yoshida #167 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-24 Caleb Durbin #146 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-24 Trevor Story #139 46 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Ceddanne Rafaela #132 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Marcelo Mayer #102 54 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-24 Carlos Narváez #78 59 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-24 Jarren Duran #69 61 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-24 Wilyer Abreu #45 66 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-24 Willson Contreras #42 67 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
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